Our new article is out in the JoGSS! We look at why armed groups use extreme forms of violence like beheadings and find that irregular leadership successions are a big factor in explaining escalation to extreme tactics. But groups deescalate as new leaders consolidate power. It's open access👇

Journal of Global Security Studies@journalofgss.bsky.social · 4w ago

Why do armed groups use extreme forms of violence? Read this #JOGSS article on how leadership transitions can shape the strategic use of extreme and costly violence, including beheadings, by jihadist organisations. 🔗 doi.org/10.1093/jogs...

Our latest publication with @markberlin2.bsky.social is out in @ispp-pops.bsky.social. We examine what happens when armed groups deny responsibility for violence and find that denials can erode trust in government and shape how people feel about violence. Read more here: doi.org/10.1111/pops...

Finn Klebe will be presenting our joint project that we’ve been developing over the past year. Join the panel tomorrow to hear about our dataset on defections across and co-membership among rebel and nonviolent resistance groups.

Finn Klebe@finnklebe.bsky.social · 11mo ago

Equally excited to share two projects that we are presenting for the first time. Come join us tomorrow 11 Sep 4:00pm for new data & analysis on the impact of rebel defection & co-membership on civilian victimization in conflict (new project w/ @ilaydaonder.bsky.social). 4-papers & great discussants!

We’re accepting submissions for Fall 2025 until August 14. If you’re on the market, it’s a great chance to practice your job talk with an audience! We also welcome paper presentations. Apply here: iu.co1.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_...

Junior Scholars in Quantitative Conflict Workshop@jqconworkshop.bsky.social · last yr.

📢 CALL FOR PRESENTATIONS | Junior Scholars in Quantitative Conflict Workshop Fall 2025 PhD students, postdocs & junior faculty: Present your research/practice job talk! 🗓️ Virtual: 1st & 3rd Thursdays, 1pm ET 📝 Deadline: Aug 14 Application below: #PoliSci #polisky #JobMarket #ConflictStudies

In our new article, we show that groups that claim credit for attacks have shorter lifespans. Not because of government crackdowns, but likely from internal breakdowns. These findings raise questions about how state threats shape terrorist behavior and whether the logic of deterrence really holds.

International Interactions@intlinteractions.bsky.social · last yr.

Do terrorist groups that actively claim credit for their violence thrive? @ilaydaonder.bsky.social and Nazli Avdan and Aaron Hoffman explore this question in a new paper in II! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

One of my recent articles has now been officially assigned page numbers in Journal of Conflict Resolution. 🔍 Key finding: The spatial distribution of loyal, disloyal, and wavering rebel supporters explains who gets targeted and where. Check it out here: doi.org/10.1177/0022...

Check out this new JoGSS article on rebel fragmentation! Using the PKK in Turkey as a case study, @ulaserdogdu.bsky.social identifies two pathways to rebel fragmentation: democratization creating divides over armed struggle and foreign military intervention empowering rival groups.

Ulaş Erdoğdu@ulaserdogdu.bsky.social · 2y ago

My first post here! Check out my recently published and very first solo-authored article on how democratization and foreign military intervention can result in rebel fragmentation in Journal of Global Security Studies. @polviolencepapers.bsky.social doi.org/10.1093/jogs...

Double trouble, couch snuggle…

Based on overwhelming community feedback (okay, 3 people), I’ve decided that @polviolencepapers.bsky.social will also cover new publications on political violence in addition to working papers. Tag the account when sharing your new articles to help grow this space!

Ilayda B. Onder@ilaydaonder.bsky.social · 2y ago

I’ve created @polviolencepapers.bsky.social to repost working papers on political violence. Since Bluesky doesn’t have a bookmark function yet, I thought we needed a dedicated space to store all those working papers often shared here.

Resharing this for those who missed it last night. Follow @polviolencepapers.bsky.social and share if you think this could be a useful resource. I’m trying to assess interest in this initiative.

Ilayda B. Onder@ilaydaonder.bsky.social · 2y ago

I’ve created @polviolencepapers.bsky.social to repost working papers on political violence. Since Bluesky doesn’t have a bookmark function yet, I thought we needed a dedicated space to store all those working papers often shared here.

I’ve created @polviolencepapers.bsky.social to repost working papers on political violence. Since Bluesky doesn’t have a bookmark function yet, I thought we needed a dedicated space to store all those working papers often shared here.

Our article on the lasting impact of rebel governance on post-conflict state and citizens' perceptions of state institutions now has page numbers and is open-access in Comparative Political Studies. Check out here: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

We are now accepting proposals for this year's Junior Scholars in Quantitative Conflict Workshop. Please share, apply, and volunteer, if you can, to serve as a discussant.

Excited to announce my new article, "How Civilian Loyalties Shape Rebel-Led Victimization of Rebel Constituencies," published in the Journal of Conflict Resolution! 🎉📚 doi.org/10.1177/0022...

How Civilian Loyalties Shape Rebel-Led Victimization of Rebel Constituencies - Ilayda B. Onder, 2024

Rebels rely on the support of their civilian constituency, but often victimize them to enforce compliance. Scholars know relatively little about how rebels stra...

doi.org

New publication! What is the long-term impact of rebel governance? We use survey data from Turkey to show that individual engagement with rebel governance institutions and personal conflict experience decrease future trust in the Turkish state. journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

It has been official for a while but I am happy to share that I will be joining the Department of Political Science at Texas A&M University as an Assistant Professor in Fall 2024. Thanks to everyone who has offered support throughout this process!

Polisky: please help us spread the word about the Saltzman Institute’s postdoc, and tell your best students to apply! www.siwps.org/programs/cal...

🎙️FYI @danigilbert.bsky.social also did an interview on the Politicology podcast talking about this piece and more on the hostage crisis: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/p...

‎Politicology: TAPPED: Why the Gaza hostage crisis is different on Apple Podcasts

‎Show Politicology, Ep TAPPED: Why the Gaza hostage crisis is different - Oct 13, 2023

podcasts.apple.com

Good Authority@goodauth.bsky.social · 3y ago

ICYMI, read @danigilbert.bsky.social's piece published today on Good Authority about how the hostage crisis in Gaza is different, what we know about Hamas hostage-taking, and Israel’s hostage recovery policy. NB: Good Authority has a CC license, so republish away! goodauthority.org/news/why-the...

My article titled "Signaling Resolve through Credit-Claiming" now has an issue number in International Interactions. I show that younger armed groups and groups that recently suffered leadership decapitation publicly claim more attacks to burnish their reputation. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Signaling Resolve through Credit-claiming

What explains when militant groups claim attacks? In this study, I argue that militant groups are more likely to claim attacks early in the organization’s lifespan and after major blows to reputati....

tandfonline.com

🚨New Publication🚨 My article is published online in Terrorism and Political Violence. Using original data on the counterinsurgency capacity of the Indian police, I show that militants switch to targeting civilians when faced with harsh counterinsurgency measures. www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1...

Target Hardening and Non-State Armed Groups’ Target Selection: Evidence from India

This study explores the variation in the non-state armed group (NSAGs)'s behavior concerning target selection. Scholars of transnational terrorism have investigated transnational NSAGs' target sele...

tandfonline.com

Honestly, this website could use some enhancements. We're still missing bookmarking and the ability to save draft posts for later sharing. I feel like if folks are going to use this platform for meaningful exchange of ideas/information, bookmarks are a must.

Today's the day! @goodauth.bsky.social is here! Good Authority is the successor to The Monkey Cage, a site about politics + political science founded in 2007 + published at The Washington Post from 2013-22. The spirit of TMC will carry on here. Excited to be on the team! goodauthority.org #polisky

Junior Scholars in International Security's (JSISE) call for proposals for Fall 2024 is open! Are you a junior scholar studying topics in international security? We have a space for you to receive feedback! 🗓 Deadline: September 25, 10 pm EST. 📎 Info on our website: sites.google.com/view/jsise-w...

Junior Scholars in International Security's (JSISE) call for proposals for Fall 2024 is open! Are you a junior scholar studying topics in international security? We have a space for you to receive feedback! 🗓 Deadline: September 25, 10 pm EST. 📎 Info on our website: sites.google.com/view/jsise-w...

My article titled "Signaling Resolve through Credit-Claiming" is now published online in International Interactions. I show that groups that are younger or have recently suffered the loss of a leader claim attacks to burnish their organizational reputation. www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1...

Signaling Resolve through Credit-claiming

What explains when militant groups claim attacks? In this study, I argue that militant groups are more likely to claim attacks early in the organization’s lifespan and after major blows to reputati....

tandfonline.com