Jared Peterson

@jaredpeterson.bsky.social

Cognitive science | Naturalistic Decision Making | behavior change | jtpeterson.substack.com

Has anyone done a comprehensive analysis of factors that people think are, or think should be, ethically relevant when doing triage? eg likelihood of survival is relevant, some think "woman and children first", most think race is irrelevant, etc.

Cognitive Turn people. Are any of you reading about Naturalistic Decision Making? Started reading *A Cognitive Theory of Reasoning and Choice* and thought, "this is just a math-y version of Dataframe Theory of Sensemaking, and Recognition Primed Decision-Making.

Only someone as uninterested in the ring as Bombadil could resist the One Ring and throw it in Mount Doom. But such a person would never care enough to try. Basically, no one with main character energy could ever fulfill the quest. Which is why it falls to the unlikeliest of creatures; hobbits 1/

In economics, editors, referees, and authors often behave as if a published paper should reflect some kind of authoritative consensus. As a result, valuable debate happens in secret, and the resulting paper is an opaque compromise with anonymous co-authors called referees. 1/

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We did interviews with multiple people who refused to turn their camera on, responded with a delay, and even asked us to put the questions in the chat. Super obvious they were using an LLM. But it shocked us. They thought they could get away with pretending to be a medic during a live interview!

Sylvia Perry@sylviapperry.bsky.social · 2y ago

We’re collecting open-ended data on Prolific, and it has become clear to me that people are using chatGPT to answer the questions. This is so depressing. Like, is it really worth the time to copy and paste questions and answers instead of just…telling us what you think?

This is a really useful heuristic that I also use. For many academics, everything is a nail to be hit by their particular hammer. And if you criticize the hammer, the same defensive mechanisms are always present

Joe Bak-Coleman@jbakcoleman.bsky.social · 2y ago

All this is to say, the moment I can guess what someone’s response is to any form of criticism without the peculiarities of the criticism itself I kinda discount what it is they’re selling.

Three formal arguments for why there cannot be a finite set of cognitive biases. The lack of a finite set of biases is one reason I believe Heuristics and Biases cannot survive long term as a prescriptive paradigm. A paradigm of deviations must eventually collapse under its own weight.

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Read that new Gigerenzer paper and really enjoyed it. Mostly agree with everything. The Cold War context was interesting and new to me. But at some point it would be really nice if someone actually surveyed HB and FF researchers about what they actually believe

What percentage of published social psychology research do you believe reflects a true and justified insight? By 'true,' I mean findings that accurately capture some aspect of human nature. By 'justified,' I mean studies that are well-designed and methodologically sound. (Ignore Gettier)