Jeff Gordon

@jeffgordon.bsky.social

Tax law, industrial policy, decarbonization, between state and market in American law. Assistant Professor at Vanderbilt Law School.

This whole long-ass thread is a great read for two interesting (and not necessarily mutually exclusive) takes on what's wrong with U.S. production capacity across many industries. (I'd love to see the author add a climate externalities layer, too!)

Jeff Gordon@jeffgordon.bsky.social · 5d ago

I have a new working paper up on SSRN, Tax and the Law of Market Cycles. The core idea is: what if we applied everything we've learned about countercyclical macroprudential regulation to the boom-bust cycles of physical commodities and heavy industries? papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

Great paper! A few comments — first overall meta-praise: we really need to develop methods of economic dirigisme that are consistent with the western liberal democratic tradition and that take into account both the imperfection of markets and of state guidance. This is right in that alley. 1/

Whoops, failed to post the one with the proposal: I propose a countercyclical excise tax/subsidy on new capacity additions, the core procyclical behavior. You can think of this as reversing current depreciation incentives. Firms should get negative depreciation at the top, bonus at the bottom.

Jeff Gordon@jeffgordon.bsky.social · 5d ago

I have a new working paper up on SSRN, Tax and the Law of Market Cycles. The core idea is: what if we applied everything we've learned about countercyclical macroprudential regulation to the boom-bust cycles of physical commodities and heavy industries? papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

I have a new working paper up on SSRN, Tax and the Law of Market Cycles. The core idea is: what if we applied everything we've learned about countercyclical macroprudential regulation to the boom-bust cycles of physical commodities and heavy industries? papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

Tax and the Law of Market Cycles

<p>The signature development in financial regulation over the past two decades has been the macroprudential turn: the recognition that healthy financial conditi

papers.ssrn.com

Industrial policy is often in tension with competition - a problem I call "the dilemma of picking winners." In this essay and the associated working paper, I propose a framework for doing industrial policy without entrenching the winners. lpeproject.org/blog/the-dil...

The Dilemma of Picking Winners

Industrial policy will often require picking winners: if there were already many domestic firms capable of producing the desired output, there would be no compelling reason for subsidy or special…

lpeproject.org

This is a logical fallacy. A resilient strategy is not an invincible one. IRA may fail but note it's over the shocked objections of the market. One cannot ignore the decades of tax credit extension, for example, and then cherry pick a black swan data point.

Albert Pinto@70sbachchan.bsky.social · last yr.

Sadly both the theories behind IRA have mostly failed 1. Deliverism: deliver jobs and investments to consolidate democratic voters -> win 2024 election 2. Poltiical Lock-In: deliver jobs and investments to red states & districts so that a IRA caucus inside the GOP would protect the clean economy

Remarkable graph from Berkeley Lab's annual report on solar deployment (through 2023). PPA prices have closely tracked the cost of electricity, suggesting very low profit margins for merchant generators. Tempting to call it cost of service regulation.

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Amazing opportunity for a creative litigator with interests in private law to break into legal academia and work with one of the smartest and most generous mentors imaginable (Daniel Markovits)

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Wow this is wild. James: "The Trump team didn't actually calculate tariff rates + non-tariff barriers, as they say they did. Instead, for every country, they just took our trade deficit with that country and divided it by the country's exports to us."

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Happy to see commentary on industrial policy from people who were in the room. Sam rightly argues that Congress should allow agencies more iterative processes rather than linear waterfalls.This complements Bharat Ramamurti's point that incumbents lobbied for a slower process in the first place.

Jennifer Pahlka@pahlkadot.bsky.social · last yr.

That viral clip from Ezra Klein on John Stewart about the 14 steps it takes to get rural broadband funding out the door? My guest author Sam Marullo worked at Commerce and has some perspective on this. Take a read: www.eatingpolicy.com/p/planning-i...

Figuring out how to reshape governance incentives towards high-output, low-margin strategies strikes me as a key desideratum, undoing perhaps the elimination of what shareholders take to be managerial agency costs. 19/