Jakob Steffen

@jjsteffen.bsky.social

Fencing #PostKeynesian | MD J.S. Research KG | Scion of #Trier | political history buff 🇬🇧🇺🇲 | Dep. Chair Dt.-Britische Gesellschaft Ruhr | probably enjoying a pipe | blog: https://jakobsteffen.substack.com/

Used autos reduced core CPI by -0.3%-pt at annual rates in June. For context, Manheim's used auto price index is +19% ann. over the last three months vs +2% ann. for CPI used autos/trucks. Ex used auto, core prices up 3.1% ann., highest since the residual seasonality-impacted Jan spike to 5.5% ann.

Inflation Drivers (At Annual Rates, Current Weights)						
	Category	% of Core	Since 2/20	12m	3m	1m
% Change, Annualized	Services Ex Pandemic/Energy/Rent	30.4	1.47	1.46	1.40	2.53
	Rent Ex Hotels	43.5	4.71	3.90	3.83	3.46
	Pandemic Categories Ex Used Auto	2.5	0.35	-2.95	-13.40	-19.34
	New Autos	4.6	3.45	0.25	-2.52	-3.96
	Used Autos	2.5	5.02	2.79	-6.77	-7.78
	Durables Ex Autos	5.8	1.83	0.49	1.50	2.59
	All Other Core	10.8	0.87	0.66	0.82	1.20
	Core	100.0	3.88	2.91	2.41	2.77
						
Ann. Contrib. (% pt)	Services Ex Pandemic/Energy/Rent	30.4	0.58	0.57	0.62	1.26
	Rent Ex Hotels	43.5	2.66	2.20	2.43	2.47
	Pandemic Categories	2.5	0.01	-0.09	-0.49	-0.79
	New Autos	4.6	0.21	0.01	-0.17	-0.30
	Used Autos	2.5	0.16	0.09	-0.25	-0.32
	Durables Ex Autos	5.8	0.14	0.04	0.13	0.25
	All Other Core	10.8	0.12	0.09	0.13	0.21
	Core	100.0	3.88	2.91	2.41	2.77

'(...) he is an opportunist exploiting a nihilist moment of moral despair and cultural disorientation to install an anti-liberal value system that many millions perceive as a cure for nihilism itself.' This description of Trump by Sasha Mudd is the best I've read so far.

#Sunday observation: It would seem the purpose of all that modern communication technology is to enslave ourselves to the most irrelevant information. We expose us to a bombardment of messages clamouring for our attention real-time, even if it's only some friend passing on a not-really-funny meme 1/

Exactly! Together with Starmer's newly-found purpose as co-leader of a self-reliant Europe taking care of Ukraine, this is the moment to confront the public with the uncomfortable things to come - and I believe the public will be far more understanding than many might think.

James Ball@jamesrball.com · last yr.

Labour will need to raise taxes to rearm, just like they already would've had to raise taxes to properly deliver public services. They are better having this conversation with voters now, before a narrative that public services are being cut to fund defence takes hold.

After an attempt at a liberal, rules-based order, neo-realism takes over: In the clash between two superpowers and faced with a 'frenemy' who thinks but in terms of relative power, Europe (again) has the choice between bandwagoning or antagonising the US by appeasing China. @constelz.bsky.social