@jrgingrich.bsky.social
For all of the whining about the triple lock the reality remains that British state pensions are both less generous and accordingly more ’affordable’ than most peer nations. Which is why the triple lock was brought in in the first place.
Hetan Shah@hetanshah.bsky.social · 7mo agoGreat piece on pressures on European state pension schemes including this chart showing comparative cost now and projection to 2070. UK costs relatively low in comparison to most others www.ft.com/content/9c3c...
Delighted to have published this brilliant and important collection
Giovanni Capoccia@gcapoccia.bsky.social · 4mo agoThe special issue of @cpsjournal.bsky.social “Back from the Brink: Countering Illiberalism in Liberal Democracies”, co-edited by myself and Isabela Mares, was just published. The issue includes 8 articles, many of which set new research agendas. A🧵w/overview 1/10 journals.sagepub.com/toc/CPS/curr...
Fascinating piece, check it out. The materialist in me is a little bummed that easing resource competition does not seem to help (the results are interesting to read in tandem with my paper on Austria with J. Ferwerda). On the other hand, suggests a fascinating research agenda on welfare chauvinism.
Gloria Gennaro@gloriagennaro.bsky.social · 4mo agoNew paper out in @thejop.bsky.social : "Immigration, Public Housing, and Support for the French National Front." How does expanding public housing affect far-right support? The answer depends heavily on local conditions, and specifically on local immigrant shares. Paper: doi.org/10.1086/736361
Do we understand the politics of this kind of cost-shock inflation (and the policies that might help address it)? I think not so much: www.annualreviews.org/content/jour...
The Politics of Inflation
Inflation returned to the foreground of political economies worldwide after 2019, after 30 years of relative quiescence. Inflation remains unpopular—including among those who are hurt by the policies ...
annualreviews.org
Daniela Gabor@danielagabor.bsky.social · 5mo agothink @zackpolanski.bsky.social should ask: 1. why is Labour allowing Bank of England to abdicate its public duties during crisis? 2. How are interest rate hikes going to deal with inflationary pressures triggered by oil shocks without inflicting massive further damage on our battered economy?
Very informative deep dive into the voters that have abandoned Labour for more progressive parties. Debunking some myths around who these people are and what they want.
Steve Akehurst@steveakehurst.bsky.social · 6mo agoNEW: After Gorton & Denton, how should we understand the threat to Labour's left? Big new @persuasionuk.bsky.social report out with @38degrees.bsky.social on 'progressive defectors' - Lab 2024 switchers to Greens, Plaid, SNP, Lib Dems. Who are they, who are they not & what's moving them? 🧵
1. A short thread on a Bluesky phenomenon that might be described as "They are a dead-eyed cultist who must be cast out lest the heresy take root!" OP has blocked me for mocking them - I'd usually obscure their name but since they themselves were quote-dunking to demand someone else be blocked ...
Henry Farrell@himself.bsky.social · 6mo agoBlock them all! Amazing strategy which is absolutely bound to work!
🚨Happy to finally see this out in the @ejprjournal.bsky.social (with @leonardocarella.bsky.social) ⁉️ Does growing up when immigration is salient make people vote for parties they agree with on immigration *for the rest of their lives*? doi.org/10.1017/S147...
From context to congruence: Immigration salience and voter socialization | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
From context to congruence: Immigration salience and voter socialization
doi.org
Minneapolitans are gathering on every block tonight at 7pm to hold a vigil for someone killed by our own government, for doing nothing but helping someone up off the ground. What would you say if you saw this in other country? What would you expect to happen to those responsible and accountable?
It’s -9 degrees. Downtown Minneapolis is packed for the anti-ICE rally and the crowd keeps growing
Having seen several abductions up close, it is really hard to convey how much the thing they’re doing is roaming in military convoys until they see someone who is alone and isn’t white, and then jumping out in large numbers, pulling them into a van, and screeching off, all in 90 seconds or so.
Amy Jo (AJ) Cousins@ajcousins.bsky.social · 7mo ago"“They specifically asked me if I knew where the Hmong families lived on my street & in the neighborhood.” Lugert-Thom responded, “I don’t know anything about that” & she said they then asked, “Well, what about the Asian families?”" "“I was a bit shaken & a bit shocked of what I was asked to do.”"
ICE has escalated from Arresting undocumented migrants with criminal records to Arresting undocumented migrants without criminal records to Arresting legal migrants to Arresting US citizens who 'look' like migrants to Arresting US citizens protesting ICE to Arresting random bystanders. Who's next?
Brendan Nyhan@brendannyhan.bsky.social · 7mo agoWhat is happening in America right now. The arbitrary power of a tyrant deployed against his political enemies.
EVENT: Blavatnik Book Launch: Billionaire Backlash Join Vice Dean Prof Pepper Culpepper for a conversation on the surprising story of how corporate scandals can change the way the world works for the better. 📆 29 Jan, 5:30pm Register ⬇️ https://ow.ly/jaQo50XRQzv
“Who would move to here from the US, Canada, Europe, South Korea or Australia for potentially lower wages, exorbitant visa fees and no certainty of being able to stay very long?” asks @benansell.bsky.social.
Labour’s Mr Micawber politics
The government hopes that ‘something will turn up’ to produce growth, but curbing immigration will only harm the economy
prospectmagazine.co.uk
As someone who criticised the government back in January for not having a clear growth strategy it is good to see Torsten set out in plain language what the govt’s strategy is and how it hangs together. This is much better and clearer communication.
Torsten Bell@torstenbell.bsky.social · 9mo agoThat is a lot of tweets. If you got this far you deserve a prize. Reasonable people will debate this growth strategy. But claiming there isn’t one is lazy nonsense. Higher growth matters because rising living standards are the goal, and higher investment is a key tool.
With the Progressive Politics Research Network, we have published 8 new research briefs on the politics of housing. What does a progressive agenda on housing look like? Which elements are important? What the hurdles are and how can they be overcome? politicscentre.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/progressive-...
For the Guardian, @jonhenley.bsky.social reports on our new research briefs on the politics of housing. Current policies too often treat housing as an asset. Housing as a social right has nearly disappeared from the agenda of even progressive parties. www.theguardian.com/world/2025/n...
European progressives must tackle housing crisis to beat far right, say researchers
Centre left can win broad support by addressing soaring house prices and rents, according to data analysis
theguardian.com
The abolition of the two-child benefit cap, which punishes children for their parents' circumstances, is the best part of the budget, potentially lifting almost half a million children out of poverty. It may also be the part that comes under fiercest attack. So it needs celebrating and defending.
Frances Ryan@francesryan.bsky.social · 9mo agoAnd the two child benefit limit is abolished. An enormous victory for those who have campaigned tirelessly for eight long years through successive governments. This will lift at least 450,000 children out of poverty. Fewer kids will be hungry. No more women forced to disclose their rape.
BREAKING: Colorado voters approved a ballot measure that would raise state income taxes on higher-earning households to fund free meals for all public school students. Follow AP for live updates.
Live updates: US voters head to the polls in first general election since Trump's return to power
One year after Donald Trump retook the presidency, 2025 Election Day includes closely watched races for New York City mayor, New Jersey governor and California's Proposition 50.
bit.ly
Fully repealing the two-child limit is by far the best way to ensure fewer children are growing up in poverty. Half measures have been mooted, but our modelling reveals that they would all still lead to an increase in child poverty by the end of the decade. Learn more ⤵️ buff.ly/qVc9CWs
Louise Murphy starts her presentation by noting that the number of young people not in education, employment or training (NEET) has risen by 195,000 over the past two years to reach 940,000. It is on track to hit one million for the first time since the aftermath of the financial crisis.
The costs of the UK’s Global Talent Visa looks a trifle high in comparison to competitor countries - largely through the Immigration Health Surcharge (which critics say is a form of double taxation as they contribute to the NHS through normal tax on their earnings)
Apropos of nothing, I really do think UK journalists and politicians need some reminding that mass deportation of LEGAL immigrants, particularly those with permanent status, is far more extreme than even Trump's America and would basically place Britain completely on its own among democracies.
Last month I went to Global Progress Action, where I found the global centre left less moribund than its UK equivalent, and wrote about it for @lrb.co.uk. www.lrb.co.uk/blog/2025/oc...
Morgan Jones | Starmer mixes it up
Global Progress Action was in London at the end of last month, filling Methodist Central Hall with politicians and think...
lrb.co.uk
"Since the wealthiest 10 per cent of the population own 85 per cent of US stocks, they enjoy the largest wealth effect when they go up... the latest data shows America’s consumer economy rests largely on ...[the spending of the] top 10 per cent" #AI #irrationalexuberance www.ft.com/content/6cc8...
America is now one big bet on AI
It’s seen as the magic fix for every threat to the US economy
ft.com
Carl Quintanilla@carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 10mo agoThe economy is increasingly reliant on the wealthiest 10%. (via MS) @mikezaccardi.bsky.social
JUST IN: The Republican Mayor of Fairbanks, Alaska’s second biggest city, lost re-election last night to a Democrat. Mayor David Pruhs is a conservative who fought protections for LGBTQ+ residents; he made comments this year drew condemnation this year from Alaska Natives. He lost to Mindy O'Neall.
