I'm just Jeff, your friend who cares

@leffjakin.bsky.social

Attorney. Michigander turned North Carolinian. LGBT Affirming UCC Christian. FOT. He/Him.

On the one hand, if El-Sayed didn't connect with black voters, just like Bernie and every other Dem who came up short in the last decade, that's on him. On the other hand, Stevens' pitch to black voters was heavy on her connections to Obama, to the point of implying he endorsed her when he didn't.

Dana Houle@danahoule.bsky.social · 2d ago

I kinda think El-Sayed will win, but it’s a total guess, I have no confidence that’s correct. But here’s a prediction I make with great confidence: If Stevens wins narrowly, & it’s in part because she dominated w Black voters, this place is going to get real ugly.

It's a brave thing to step up and say someone who is being remembered so warmly and fondly by so many was someone who hurt and traumatized you, but at the same time it does not surprise me at all to see that kind of bravery coming from Neko Case.

Jane Ruffino@janeruffino.bsky.social · 2d ago

Neko Case, on point as always. And as a fellow bottom-dweller, the part about the class system for women rings especially true nekocase.substack.com/p/in-what-fu...

Old enough to remember when Chuck Edwards was the sober and responsible grown up choice to move this district past the antics of Madison Cawthorn.

Eric Michael Garcia@ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 2d ago

The Ethics Committee has released its report on Rep. Chuck Edwards (R-N.C.) #NC11 It finds that "there was substantial reason to believe Representative Edwards violated House Rules related to sexual harassment and hostile workplaces." ethics.house.gov/press-releas...

Pursuant to House Rule XI, clause 3(q)(2)(D), the Chairman of the Committee on Ethics, Representative Michael Guest, and the Ranking Member, Representative Mark DeSaulnier, submitted a report to the House of Representatives in the Matter of Allegations Relating to Representative Chuck Edwards.  The Report includes the findings of the Committee in this matter, along with the responsive views of Representative Edwards.  At the completion of its investigation, the Committee concluded there was substantial reason to believe Representative Edwards violated House Rules related to sexual harassment and hostile workplaces.  The Committee Rules provide for a process before the Committee can recommend that the House of Representatives sanction a Member.  However, the Member can waive any part of that process.  Although he disagrees with the Committee’s findings, Representative Edwards agreed to waive certain procedural steps, after reviewing a draft of the report several days prior, allowing the Committee to recommend a House-level sanction in relation to his conduct.

My best guess ranking of winnable Senate races, most to least likely to go/stay blue: 1. NC (Cooper) 2. GA (Ossoff - hold) 3. MI (TBD - hold) 4. OH (Brown) 5. ME (Jackson) 6. AK (Peltola) 7. TX (Talarico) 8. IA (Turek) 9. NE (Osborn - Indy) Need 6 to get to 51, 7 to survive a Fetterman defection.

Digital Ground Game@digitalgroundgame.org · 6d ago

NEW POLL 📊 Fox News Senate Polls (June/July) GEORGIA: 🔵 Ossoff 56% (+13) 🔴 Collins 43% NORTH CAROLINA: 🔵 Cooper 53% (+9) 🔴 Whatley 44% OHIO: 🔵 Brown 53% (+8) 🔴 Husted 45% IOWA: 🔵 Turek 50% (+4) 🔴 Hinson 46% (Fox News/Beacon Research/Shaw, A-rated, RV)

I genuinely don't get why it's so difficult, in Ohio or anywhere else, to say "subject to some basic oversight to ensure safety and fairness for all, trans girls ought to be able to play girls sports". Huge disappointment when Brown did it in 2024, huge disappointment with Acton now.

Katelyn Burns@katelynburns.com · 2w ago

For my newsletter, I wrote about Ohio Dem governor candidate Amy Acton adopting the right wing extremist framing of trans issues. www.burnsnotice.com/amy-acton-tr...