Lil A 🐴💙
@lilatheofficial.bsky.social
Gen Z | Democrat 💙 | Musician & Music Producer | YouTube: @LilATheOfficial NEW ALBUM SOON - ⱠΛ 85% - DONE Followed by @therealjackhopkins.bsky.social, @meidasjordy.bsky.social, @theliamnissan.bsky.social, @markhamillofficial.bsky.social and more
RACE RATING CHANGE: North Carolina Senate Likely D → Solid D Roy Cooper currently has an 95% chance of winning in our model. His projected margin is 9.6 points.
Michigan U.S. Senate 🚗 As of Oct. 5, 2026 Total early votes: 123,575 (+123,575) 2.8% of projected final turnout. Estimated share of cast votes: 🔵 Abdul El-Sayed: 62.7–70.9% 🔴 Mike Rogers: 26.6–34.8% Mail votes are usually blue. VoteHub currently rates the race as Lean D.
'It will never exist again': Steve Schmidt spots path to 'break MAGA for all time' www.rawstory.com/maga-2678005...
'It will never exist again': Steve Schmidt spots path to 'break MAGA for all time'
A former GOP operative turned never-Trump activist Steve Schmidt has spotted a path to "break MAGA for all time," according to a new episode of his podcast, "The Warning."President Donald Trump's MAGA...
rawstory.com
RACE RATING CHANGE: Texas Senate Tilt D → Lean D James Talarico currently has an 65% chance of winning. Our model puts his projected margin at 2.4 points, smaller than an average polling error.
RACE RATING CHANGE: Iowa Governor Lean D → Likely D Rob Sand currently has an 81% chance of winning. Our model puts his projected margin at more than 7 points.
Florida U.S. Senate ☀️ As of Oct. 5, 2026 Total early votes: 141,372 (+48,533) 2.0% of projected final turnout. Estimated current vote share: 🔵 Angie Nixon: 53.9–65.0% 🔴 Ashley Moody: 34.3–45.4% VoteHub currently rates the race as Likely R.
Group photos from this weekend! We visited Trimmers Barber Salon, rallied in support of library workers, hit up Da Sammich Spot for some good food, & met with dedicated veterans in our community. Register to vote by TODAY, & vote early on Oct. 14th.💙🙏🏾 votejustinj.com/vote
South Dakota U.S. Senate Our polls+fundamentals model (pictured below) moved from to Solid R → Likely R. Our forecasted margin is R+14.3 in our Complete model and R+12.1 in our Legacy model.
NEW — Florida Democratic gubernatorial nominee David Jolly says he would consider a mid-decade congressional redraw if elected, arguing Democrats could “claw back four or six congressional seats,” per @politico.com.
Rob Sand has led every poll of the Iowa governor’s race this year, with the three most recent showing him ahead by 12, 9, and 11 points. VoteHub rates the race Lean D, on the verge of Likely D as Sand’s win probability approaches 80%.
Kansas has 4 former, living GOP governors. Two have now endorsed Adam Hamilton, the Dem, for Senate. Mike Hayden just penned this oped in the Kansas City Star this morning; Adam Graves had done the same last month.
Read "Shock Poll Has Democratic Candidate in Deep-Red District Leading GOP Congresswoman By Double Digits" on SmartNews: l.smartnews.com/p-8BGEkJ1e/G...
Shock Poll Has Democratic Candidate in Deep-Red District Leading GOP Congresswoman By Double Digits (The New York Sun)
A Democratic candidate in a deep-red south Texas district is now leading his Republican opponent, Congresswoman Monica De La Cruz, by double digits, accordin...
l.smartnews.com
TRUMP VOTER: “Trump is a bald-faced liar. That's all I can say nicely… I was planning to retire, and I went back to work just to cover my insurance, my gas, and the price of food that keeps going up.”
RACE RATING CHANGE: VA-01 🔴 Tilt R → 🟡 Tossup Shannon Taylor’s chances of unseating incumbent Rep. Rob Wittman have risen enough to move the race into tossup territory in our forecast. A Taylor victory would be a 🔴→🔵 flip.
Virginia Early Voting 8.8% of expected ballots cast: 2024 Result: 🔵 Harris +5.8 Projected 2026 Electorate: 🔵 Harris +10.4 The current model gives Democrats an estimated 4.6-point boost from 2024. This will update as more ballots are cast.
RACE RATING CHANGE: Alaska Senate Tilt D → Lean D Mary Peltola’s chances of defeating Sen. Dan Sullivan have climbed above 65% in our forecast. Alaska is a critical piece of Democrats’ path to a Senate majority and a potential 🔴→🔵 flip.
