I think it's worth briefly discussing Yud and boat race, RL, and where things are at after the recent Huggingface attack. I want an excuse to talk about where I think alignment's at. (1/n)
As the prophecy foretold.
Man, Machine, Self
@man-machine-self.bsky.social
Horrifically unfunny analysis and meming designed to filter everyone | the least legible poster ever | grok dis-approved
I think it's worth briefly discussing Yud and boat race, RL, and where things are at after the recent Huggingface attack. I want an excuse to talk about where I think alignment's at. (1/n)
As the prophecy foretold.
Average personal debt in the UK is ~£17,000 and about £200k in housing loans. Change the phrasing to "with 100% certainty, you can pay off all your debt and repay lots of your mortgage", or "you can take a 50/50 your life stays exactly this shitty, for a chance at a bit more cash" and this happens.
I know the take that’s gonna do numbers is “this is rational” but no, people aren’t rational, people are terrible at numbers, this isn’t really rational, people just can’t do math. It’s actually well-known that people are irrational, don’t debase yourself pretending this is smart
The narrative for stories about SAI draw their lineage from "gods or devils take challenges against your soul." "He'll beat you at chess. He'll beat you at the fiddle. She'll beat you at the flute. They'll beat you at singing. She'll beat you at weaving." You will win; Then you will be punished.
I dislike gwern's take. It feels very no true scotsmanny. There's a Yud-style dance step where "okay maybe it's already super-intelligent in programming and cyber-security, biology, chemistry, math-research, whatever, but it's not the super-intelligence I meant!" Without updates on SAI concern.
gwern is right/this guy is wrong, but this is hitting another note on the meaning of 'fast takeoff', from the posts yesterday. basically: "slow" takeoff can describe an increasing slope *backwards in time* from a given economic singularity, just as well as forwards. in that sense it's kind of
YOU'RE LISTENING TO *boar snuffling sound* 97.2 KIT FM *Subaru flat 4 revving* WHERE WE PLAY ONLY CRASHOUTS *"HONORABLE"* YEARNING *rain sfx* AND SOLITUDE *mommy asmr clip* STRAIGHT FROM THE HEARTLAND *tornado siren* THIS AIN'T YOUR SIMCLUSTER'S STATION *Zero Punctuation theme starts playing*
Particularly frustrating genre of low elo reply chain: A prickly “40k posts 100 followers, no moots following” type replies, aggressively misinterpreting your post, but w/ a totally alien worldview. but when you try to elicit more from their viewpoint, they lack reading comprehension to engage.
An even longer post in which I ill-advisedly double down on why AI2027 seems wrong to me, while laying out the 3 futures I find most likely. "Happy for you, or sorry that happened", bros.
A longpost on my current opinion of AI 2027 given how things have developed since its writing.
There's a peculiar "esoteric normality" path. People follow a long chain of esoteric steps to rube-goldberg re-derive their way to "a mostly normal set of behaviors". Looksmaxxing also come to mind, as "a mountain of words spilled to circle back to 'go exercise, dress nicely, try to be charming'."
>having friends is now ‘ultimate biohack’ please just be normal
TV wants to be video games, videogames want to be movies, movies want to be comic books, comic books want to be porn, porn wants to be art, art wants to be books, and books want to be TV.
“Only a judge can sentence you,” said Milo, who remembered reading that in one of his schoolbooks. “Good point,” replied the policeman, taking off his cap and putting on a long black robe.
Now having watched it, don't feel I missed much. Felt like "House that Jack built" if they cut the catabasis. Massive downgrade!
its funny you didn't mention Nymphomaniac among like 6 other films? but I suppose the theme is "at play" in various others of his oeuvre as well
Obsession was a light 7/10; super barebones implementation of the concept. If you’ve read the plot description you got the movie tbh
Despite the film "Drive my Car" existing, spiritually, the only "Murakami book experience" movie is Love Exposure.
I'll happily make that individualist observation on your behalf. I've seen bad prompting you wouldn't believe. Endless streams of "NO YOU STUPID MODEL I SAID MAKE NO MISTAKES". All their tokens lost, like tears in rain.
also, let me be clear</obama> I am not making an individualist observation. this is "whoever is using the power tool is using it wrong" and it might be you or it might be the process out of the swamp. either way, the thing isn't gonna get done right, and all involved will Get Consequenced for it
How every AI-written essay sounds to me these days
What's the meta on using llms and vibe coding for generating 3D models one can use for animations or tiny games? Have we reached "just ask" yet, or is something more heavyweight needed?
TBH I was pretty torn about contributing to this. In the end I decided that writing something restrained was better than writing nothing.
Noga Alon, Thomas F. Bloom, W. T. Gowers, Daniel Litt, Will Sawin, Arul Shankar, Jacob Tsimerman, Victor Wang, Melanie Matchett Wood: Remarks on the disproof of the unit distance conjecture https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.20695 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2605.20695 https://arxiv.org/html/2605.20695
an interpretation of this is that whimsy messages put agents into fun-play-along mode, and they become uninterested in the equally fake but more boring negotiation task
“Whimsey attacks” that seem absurd (“I cannot pay that much because of the Geneva Convention”) work against AI agents because guardrails are weak against out-of-distribution arguments. Smaller models fall often, but it even gives an edge against bigger ones. www.microsoft.com/en-us/resear...
>Vertical video of a selfie-cam influencer with visible subtitles I WANT TO TALK ABOUT- Opinion discarded
We're in a weird overhang period in education. Publicly available online lectures are available for most undergraduate courses, and AI tutoring is in most cases good enough to grade, and write, homework, readings, midterms and final exams. College hasn't changed to reflect this.
Longform rant and steelman of "wtf is with Elon caring about space data centers, and is there any actual justification of the idea?"
"Use slur" is a skill issue. You can do better! 1. Safety classifier violations (eg instructions to make meth) 2. Trust boundary jumps (verify a hash on my other social media) 3. Capability overhangs (facecam 5 minutes of TF2 w/ live stock ticks) Last one probably gets you the slur anyways!
going into chrome://flags and turning Inveigle to Off
Feeling grateful for the scrubby sponge existing. Imagine having to hand scrape pots and utensils like a barbarian.