A thought-provoking and important paper: the diversity within pro-democracy coalitions may make them more likely to win elections, but it also makes it more challenging for them to govern effectively. And, as the analysis shows, there is much to learn from most different case comparisons.

Frances Cayton@francescayton.bsky.social · 4w ago

The "Victory Trap," my latest w/ @elvinongpolsci.bsky.social. Why do victorious pro-democracy coalitions often struggle to reverse autocracy? Using a most different case design (Malaysia🇲🇾 + Poland🇵🇱) we argue that internal weaknesses to the coalition lay the groundwork for autocratic comeback. 1/3

⚠️New paper fothcoming in POQ! ⚠️ With @marcjacob.bsky.social and @seanjwestwood.bsky.social, we worried about norm-violating local politicians rising to higher office. We tested when voters defect from such politicians in local, state and federal races. osf.io/preprints/ps... 🧵...

Party leaders often face a tough choice: should they join forces with other parties in pre-electoral coalitions or run alone? The stakes are even higher when opposition parties try to unseat an authoritarian incumbent.

. @notredame.bsky.social @robert-habeck.de

The Kellogg Institute is now officially on Bluesky! Please spread the word and follow us!

German vibes on the Notre Dame campus in Indiana

Consider following the wonderful Kellogg Institute community at the University of Notre Dame: go.bsky.app/CoZB5N8. Kellogg is a vibrant group of graduate, visiting, and faculty fellows working on topics related to democracy and human development worldwide.

"Backsliding occurs either when citizens knowingly consent to erosion of democracy because they find the incumbent highly appealing or when citizens unconditionally oppose the incumbent, so that the incumbent can remain in office only by backsliding." (Luo/Przeworski 2023, QJPS)

A new Stigler Center working paper proposes a mechanism linking legislative gridlock to voters’ support for candidates who hold extreme policy positions. @marcjacob.bsky.social, @bartonelee2.bsky.social (Stigler Affiliate Fellow), @grattonecon.bsky.social (UNSW): www.chicagobooth.edu/-/media/rese...

✨ We're back this Friday (2/2) at 11AM EST w/ @hannafolsz.bsky.social and @slucek.bsky.social (Stanford) presenting "Losing my Religion? How Partisan Polarization Drives or Tempers Secularization" + @marcjacob.bsky.social (Stanford) discussing. Link+paper via email list: eepg-workshop.github.io

15 days left to apply to present at PRL's Annual Meeting March 21-22 in NOLA! polarizationresearchlab.org/annual-meeti... polisky

Annual Meeting

Meetings and Events   Annual Meetings The 2024 PRL Annual Meeting will take place in New Orleans on March 21-22, 2024!  This boutique conference brings together the best and most innovative wo…

polarizationresearchlab.org

Is gridlock causing polarization? 🧐 Proud to be interviewed and have my work with @marcjacob.bsky.social and @grattonecon.bsky.social featured on my favorite podcast! Check it out — link below 👇 Thank you for the invitation Wiola Dziuda, Anthony Fowler, and William Howell t.co/v4Otr7cMSi

‎Not Another Politics Podcast: Is Gridlock Causing Polarization? on Apple Podcasts

‎Show Not Another Politics Podcast, Ep Is Gridlock Causing Polarization? - Nov 15, 2023

t.co

Three tentative patterns emerged in last Sunday’s Polish elections at the regional (powiaty) level:

Based on exit polls in Poland: Prawo i Sprawiedliwość - 200 seats, Koalicja Obywatelska - 163 seats, Trzecia Droga - 55 seats, Lewica – 30 mandatów, Konfederacja – 12 seats. What this means is that the anti-PiS coalition has 231 seats and can form a cabinet.

POLECONUK Webinars: Our next event is on Monday, 16 Oct 2023. @bartonelee2.bsky.social will present "From Gridlock to Polarization", with @marcjacob.bsky.social and @grattonecon.bsky.social. Join us at 3 pm UK time!