want to hang out with me and @marthagimbel.bsky.social for 40m? i know, not long enough www.youtube.com/watch?v=0nQh...
Martha Gimbel
@marthagimbel.bsky.social
Sometimes Econ, sometimes rants, sometimes both. Current Budget Lab at Yale, former CEA, JEC, DOL, SF, Indeed.
this week i got to talk to @marthagimbel.bsky.social about our shared favorite topic/disease: US government debt www.youtube.com/watch?v=0nQh...
America Is Living On Borrowed Trust
YouTube video by Mary in America
youtube.com
In today's Receipts LIVE in a few minutes at 12:30pm ET, join @crampell.bsky.social and special guests Natasha Sarin and @marthagimbel.bsky.social talking the week's biggest economic and financial news:
BREAKING: Trump Shivs GOP Congress, Refuses to Sign Bipartisan Housing Bill | Receipts Live
Join Catherine Rampell and special guests Natasha Sarin and Martha Gimbel as they cover the week's biggest economic and financial stories.
lnk.thebulwark.com
If the U.S. were a company, would you invest in it? From profits and losses to employee satisfaction, when it come to USA Inc, is it buy, sell, or hold? @bradstone.bsky.social and I talk with @marthagimbel.bsky.social this week on Everybody’s Business from @bloomberg.com #economy #unemployment
Is A.I. creating jobs or killing them? Adding to inflation or fixing it? Boosting productivity or doing little? Nobody knows. And our data (public & private) isn't providing clear answers. My latest on the A.I. data gap and the challenge it poses for policymakers: www.nytimes.com/2026/07/02/b...
A.I. Is Reshaping the Economy. Good Luck Measuring How.
nytimes.com
Carried Interest has been a talking point in tax policy for at least 20 years. It is often viewed as a loophole that if closed would bring in revenue. At the @budgetlab.bsky.social we revisited the revenue implications of carried interest proposals with new tools.
NEW POD: What The Iran War Did To The Economy w/ @marthagimbel.bsky.social. When we last checked in on the economy, on Feb 23, we were talking about a soft landing and a well-balanced macroeconomy. Five days later, we went to war with Iran. Here's how things have changed...
What The Iran War Did To The Economy
In February, the economy looked well balanced. Since then, inflation has spiked.
gdpolitics.com
Do you have a favorite backronym, a rom-com explanation of the Straits of Hormuz crisis, or an obsession with the national debt? This episode, welcoming @marthagimbel.bsky.social, is for you! podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/b...
SAVE Act, VOA, and the Deficit
Podcast Episode · Sirens: A Bombshell production · March 20 · 1h 1m
podcasts.apple.com
How to Win a Trade War and....COFFEE? If you too like coffee, @barnesandnoble.com has a special 25% off deal on pre-orders with the code PREORDER25. The deal ends TODAY, so pre-order How to Win a Trade War now! 📚 👉 www.barnesandnoble.com/w/how-to-win... #BNPreorder
What do we know about AI’s impact on the labor market? Learn more TODAY! Join @hamiltonproject.org, Peter Orszag, @jedkolko.bsky.social, @marthagimbel.bsky.social, Bharat Chandar, and @bencasselman.bsky.social as they dive into the data: www.hamiltonproject.org/event/unders...
AI + work: Understanding AI’s impact on the labor market - The Hamilton Project
On March 10, the Budget Lab at Yale, The Hamilton Project, and Peterson Institute for International Economics will host an event on AI’s impact on the labor market.
hamiltonproject.org
What do we know about AI’s impact on the labor market? On March 10, Peter Orszag, @jedkolko.bsky.social, @marthagimbel.bsky.social, Bharat Chandar, and @bencasselman.bsky.social an.bsky.social will dive into the data and what we know: www.hamiltonproject.org/event/unders...
AI + work: Understanding AI’s impact on the labor market - The Hamilton Project
On March 10, the Budget Lab at Yale, The Hamilton Project, and Peterson Institute for International Economics will host an event on AI’s impact on the labor market.
hamiltonproject.org
What do we know about AI’s impact on the labor market? On March 10, Peter Orszag, @jedkolko.bsky.social, @marthagimbel.bsky.social, Bharat Chandar, and @bencasselman.bsky.social will dive into the data and what we know:
AI + work: Understanding AI’s impact on the labor market - The Hamilton Project
On March 10, the Budget Lab at Yale, The Hamilton Project, and Peterson Institute for International Economics will host an event on AI’s impact on the labor market.
hamiltonproject.org
Really looking forward to this event, in which we'll try to tackle one of the most important questions in the economy right now: What does A.I. mean for the labor market, both now and in the near future? Join us next week! www.hamiltonproject.org/event/unders... #EconSky
AI + work: Understanding AI’s impact on the labor market - The Hamilton Project
On March 10, the Budget Lab at Yale, The Hamilton Project, and Peterson Institute for International Economics will host an event on AI’s impact on the labor market.
hamiltonproject.org
Just so the Econ crew is aware - the homeowner here is Leo Feler
Catherine Rampell@crampell.bsky.social · 9mo agoIn a wealthy neighborhood in Chicago, immigration agents hopped the fence of a US citizen’s home and tried to pull a construction worker out a 2nd-story window. Homeowner came home to blood all over his house. www.msnbc.com/the-weekend-...
Hi all! We're still waiting on the official posting - but @budgetlab.bsky.social is looking for a new macro hire to add to our team! We're agnostic on level (Recent PhD, decades of experience, MA+ research experience, who knows?) - we care more about flexible thinking and curiosity
New from me @mollykinder.bsky.social Josh Kendall and Maddie Lee: how should we be tracking the impact of AI on the labor market? Tldr: no signs of major disruptions yet, but we plan to update our trackers monthly 1/
elmo from sesame street is standing in front of a wall of fire .
ALT: elmo from sesame street is standing in front of a wall of fire .
media.tenor.com
Ben Casselman@bencasselman.bsky.social · 10mo ago3. "Fine, we'll just rely on private data." (This one is @marthagimbel.bsky.social bait) There is lots of private data out there, and we'll be leaning on it heavily during a shutdown. But hardly anyone who has looked closely at these data thinks they can come close to replacing government sources.
3. "Fine, we'll just rely on private data." (This one is @marthagimbel.bsky.social bait) There is lots of private data out there, and we'll be leaning on it heavily during a shutdown. But hardly anyone who has looked closely at these data thinks they can come close to replacing government sources.
We’re excited to officially welcome @chloergibbs.bsky.social and @moniqueedavis-phd.bsky.social to the Upjohn Institute research team! Chloe brings deep expertise in education policy, while Monique’s research explores systemic inequality in economic outcomes. #EconSky
Upjohn Institute welcomes two new economists
Chloe Gibbs and Monique Davis join the research team
upjohn.org
Fed Fight: It’s Trump vs Jerome Powell. Why an Independent Fed matters @chafkin.bsky.social and I talk with @marthagimbel.bsky.social this week on Everybody’s Business from @businessweektr.bsky.social @bloomberg.com #jeromepowell #federalreserve #economy
cordelia is arguably the first mentally well person in the history of literature
If you’re questioning the integrity of BLS statistics “because ADP” I cannot help you
House/Senate are set to eliminate Grad PLUS, and put in place loan limits that would dramatically restrict graduate borrowing. Media coverage emphasizes impact this may have on very expensive programs like Medicine and Dentistry, but @peerresearch.bsky.social finds impact will be much(!) broader 1/
Scratching my head at the CEA estimate that their economic plan will lower debt/GDP by at least 3pp in FY 2025. There are only 3 months left in FY 2025. And tariff revenue < 0.5% of GDP. So would need about 12% annualized GDP growth in Q3 to hit this target.
CBO just released a dynamic estimate and the cost of OBBBA goes from $2.4 trillion to $2.8 trillion. But by convention they don’t include the costs of interest on new debt. If they do that - cost goes to $3.4 trillion. @budgetlab.bsky.social comparable estimate was $3.5 trillion. 1/
New analysis from @budgetlab.bsky.social: if you combine the distributional impact of tariffs so far with CBO's new OBBBA distribution, the bottom 80% of households see a decline in income, and the 9th decile is close to neutral. Only the top 10% see a clear net benefit. 1/3
Cynthia Erivo just rhymed “Odenkirk and watch Cole werk.” I’m satisfied!
New from @budgetlab.bsky.social: there's been a lot of debate on the macroeconomic impacts of the bill. We find that passing the bill generates SMALL amounts of growth from 2025-2027...but after that it's a drag on growth
A reminder that today is Tony’s day so if you don’t want theater tweets all night mute me now
I finally got the email I’ve been expecting for weeks: my baby’s diaper brand is throwing in the towel and raising prices due to “global economic factors and rising material costs”