Miles Moore

@milesalanmoore.bsky.social

PhD Student @ Univ. of Colorado Boulder (USA) | mostly bayesian stuff, quantitative ecologist, computer scientist | plasticity, phenology, life history theory en | ASL | es http://milesalanmoore.github.io

After (mostly) recovering from the scars of drafting the conditional probability theory chapter a few years ago, I'm back in the probability theory game with my next chapter covering probability theory applied on product spaces.

New Probability Theory On Product Spaces Chapter | Michael Betancourt

New Probability Theory On Product Spaces Chapter by Michael Betancourt on Patreon. Join Michael Betancourt's community for exclusive content and updates.

patreon.com

For examples of the priorsense package in use, see e.g. chapter 17 case study ("sleep study") from the Bayesian Workflow website: avehtari.github.io/Bayesian-Wor...

figure 10 from the linked page, showing prior sensitivity checks for three parameters
Aki Vehtari@avehtari.bsky.social · last mo.

priorsense R package has now JOSS paper "priorsense: Efficient prior and likelihood sensitivity checks for Bayesian models in R" you can cite, too doi.org/10.21105/jos... with Noa Kallioinen, Topi Paananen, and @paulbuerkner.com priorsense achieved also a gold badge from @ropensci.org review!

Now is a good reminder that machine learning is a rebranding of statistical learning. Reinforcement learning is something I first came across in control theory. Many ML formulations are from information theory, a much more theoretically grounded discipline that's been around for decades.

Casey Newton@caseynewton.bsky.social · last mo.

There's a reason why "these are just statistical predictions" hasn't caught on in the discourse, and it's not the tech press. It's that people see them reading and writing and reasoning and scheming and they realize that the stochastic-parrots framing is outdated and inadequate to the moment

Solar produced a record 35.5% of Germany's electricity in June ☀️ That was more than all fossil fuels combined: Solar: 35.5% Fossil: 30.7% Other: 33.8% 10 years ago, solar reached a share of 11.6% in June, and has since tripled.

Bild

EXCELLENT: The Netherlands new OA policy seems to be well thought through obc.copim.pub/when-scaling... Policy explicitly recommends redirection & reallocation of funds from existing ‘big deal’ budgets towards community-driven alternatives, incl university-led diamond OA & Netherlands Uni Presses

When 'scaling small' becomes national policy

The Netherlands' new open access strategy echoes the principles the Open Book Collective was built on - 'scaling small' and community-led publishing

obc.copim.pub

🌊 An early-season marine heatwave is spreading across the Atlantic and Mediterranean. Some coastal waters near France and parts of the western Mediterranean are running more than 5°C above normal for this time of year. Summer hasn’t even started yet.

Bild

Excited to share my first first-author paper: "Divergent regional trends in alpine tundra productivity linked to changes in snow-free season length and summer warming" doi.org/10.1088/2752... We examine NDVI data from 1984 - present across the alpine tundra of the Southern Rocky Mountains!

Divergent regional trends in alpine tundra productivity linked to changes in snow-free season length and summer warming

Divergent regional trends in alpine tundra productivity linked to changes in snow-free season length and summer warming, Moore, Miles A., Emery, Nancy C., Elmendorf, Sarah C.

doi.org

Excited to share my first first-author paper: "Divergent regional trends in alpine tundra productivity linked to changes in snow-free season length and summer warming" doi.org/10.1088/2752... We examine NDVI data from 1984 - present across the alpine tundra of the Southern Rocky Mountains!

Divergent regional trends in alpine tundra productivity linked to changes in snow-free season length and summer warming

Divergent regional trends in alpine tundra productivity linked to changes in snow-free season length and summer warming, Moore, Miles A., Emery, Nancy C., Elmendorf, Sarah C.

doi.org