Mermaid soldiers. My story starts with these guys rescuing a cat.
Miles Moore
@milesalanmoore.bsky.social
PhD Student @ Univ. of Colorado Boulder (USA) | mostly bayesian stuff, quantitative ecologist, computer scientist | plasticity, phenology, life history theory en | ASL | es http://milesalanmoore.github.io
I'm not a cardiologist nor an amyloid specialist. Luckily, you don't have to be to critically evaluate this paper out today in JAMA Cardiology and featured in JAMA+. jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
Machine Learning–Driven Risk Prediction Model in Transthyretin Amyloid Cardiomyopathy
This cohort study develops and validates a machine learning–based prediction model for patients with transthyretin cardiac amyloidosis (ATTR-CM).
jamanetwork.com
This one is an instant classic but I also just remember it for being a surprisingly hilarious read for a statistics paper. More room for being funny in papers please
I am making my group read @kokkonut.bsky.social primer on continuous time models in ecology (doi.org/10.1111/2041...). Clearest presentation of Gillespie algorithm I've seen.
After (mostly) recovering from the scars of drafting the conditional probability theory chapter a few years ago, I'm back in the probability theory game with my next chapter covering probability theory applied on product spaces.
New Probability Theory On Product Spaces Chapter | Michael Betancourt
New Probability Theory On Product Spaces Chapter by Michael Betancourt on Patreon. Join Michael Betancourt's community for exclusive content and updates.
patreon.com
Kudos to Forbes for covering this topic—I was interviewed and got to highlight recent work from our group led by Eliza Clark! www.forbes.com/sites/derekn...
The Next Green Revolution: Climate-Resilient Crops
American farmers face increasing climate volatility. Scientists are developing diverse solutions, integrating genetics, breeding, and engineering to adapt crops.
forbes.com
For examples of the priorsense package in use, see e.g. chapter 17 case study ("sleep study") from the Bayesian Workflow website: avehtari.github.io/Bayesian-Wor...
priorsense R package has now JOSS paper "priorsense: Efficient prior and likelihood sensitivity checks for Bayesian models in R" you can cite, too doi.org/10.21105/jos... with Noa Kallioinen, Topi Paananen, and @paulbuerkner.com priorsense achieved also a gold badge from @ropensci.org review!
Friendly reminder that everyone is welcome to join the probabilistic modeling Discord server to discuss all things probabilistic modeling, www.patreon.com/betanalpha/p....
Generative Modeling Discord Server | Michael Betancourt
[Despite my best efforts the invite link can sometimes expire. If you find that the link is no longer working then try clearing your cookie
patreon.com
Height does not impair the hydraulic system of the tallest tropical Dipterocarp trees www.science.org/doi/10.1126/... - good to see our #MetabolicScalingTheory predictions we made for scaling of hydraulic resistance and xylem anatomy hold up in some of the tallest trees #allometry #megabiota 🧪🌾🌐
Height does not impair the hydraulic system of the tallest tropical Dipterocarp trees
Half of the aboveground biomass in forests is stored in a disproportionately small number of very tall trees. These giants are predicted to be more vulnerable to drought-induced damage because height ...
science.org
Now is a good reminder that machine learning is a rebranding of statistical learning. Reinforcement learning is something I first came across in control theory. Many ML formulations are from information theory, a much more theoretically grounded discipline that's been around for decades.
There's a reason why "these are just statistical predictions" hasn't caught on in the discourse, and it's not the tech press. It's that people see them reading and writing and reasoning and scheming and they realize that the stochastic-parrots framing is outdated and inadequate to the moment
Solar produced a record 35.5% of Germany's electricity in June ☀️ That was more than all fossil fuels combined: Solar: 35.5% Fossil: 30.7% Other: 33.8% 10 years ago, solar reached a share of 11.6% in June, and has since tripled.
EXCELLENT: The Netherlands new OA policy seems to be well thought through obc.copim.pub/when-scaling... Policy explicitly recommends redirection & reallocation of funds from existing ‘big deal’ budgets towards community-driven alternatives, incl university-led diamond OA & Netherlands Uni Presses
When 'scaling small' becomes national policy
The Netherlands' new open access strategy echoes the principles the Open Book Collective was built on - 'scaling small' and community-led publishing
obc.copim.pub
The billionaire co-founder of AirBnB wants you to blame the babies of undocumented immigrants for starter homes being unaffordable.
🌊 An early-season marine heatwave is spreading across the Atlantic and Mediterranean. Some coastal waters near France and parts of the western Mediterranean are running more than 5°C above normal for this time of year. Summer hasn’t even started yet.
The concise history of modeling character evolution. Handy timeline. academic.oup.com/sysbio/advan... 🧪 #EvoBio #Paleobio
OK, so I was at the first court hearing over the NCAR lawsuit this morning in Denver. I, uh, am not a legal reporter so bear with me as I try to recap a few things. You can view all the court documents here: www.courtlistener.com/docket/72496...
University Corporation for Atmospheric Research v. National Science Foundation, 1:26-cv-01061 - CourtListener.com
Docket for University Corporation for Atmospheric Research v. National Science Foundation, 1:26-cv-01061 — Brought to you by Free Law Project, a non-profit dedicated to creating high quality open lega...
courtlistener.com
Just wanted to let you know that the IRS has audited every president annually for decades now to ensure there was no corruption and the reason you didn't know that was because only one president found that to be a problem
#StatsPubs No matter how many times you read it, this paper on hierarchical GAMs keeps giving. Clear model explanations together with R code (mgcv). So useful! doi.org/10.7717/peer... Thanks for writing @ericjpedersen.bsky.social, D. Miller, @gsimpson.bsky.social @noamross.net
#ecopubs Transforming #mutualism from peripheral to a core pillar of ecological theory doi.org/10.22541/aut...
Excited to share my first first-author paper: "Divergent regional trends in alpine tundra productivity linked to changes in snow-free season length and summer warming" doi.org/10.1088/2752... We examine NDVI data from 1984 - present across the alpine tundra of the Southern Rocky Mountains!
Divergent regional trends in alpine tundra productivity linked to changes in snow-free season length and summer warming
Divergent regional trends in alpine tundra productivity linked to changes in snow-free season length and summer warming, Moore, Miles A., Emery, Nancy C., Elmendorf, Sarah C.
doi.org
Excited to share my first first-author paper: "Divergent regional trends in alpine tundra productivity linked to changes in snow-free season length and summer warming" doi.org/10.1088/2752... We examine NDVI data from 1984 - present across the alpine tundra of the Southern Rocky Mountains!
Divergent regional trends in alpine tundra productivity linked to changes in snow-free season length and summer warming
Divergent regional trends in alpine tundra productivity linked to changes in snow-free season length and summer warming, Moore, Miles A., Emery, Nancy C., Elmendorf, Sarah C.
doi.org
A hantavirus outbreak is under investigation after cases linked to an expedition cruise ship. This situation is evolving fast, and so is the coverage. Some of it is helpful, some not. I helped put together a rapid evidence brief with The Evidence Collective. open.substack.com/pub/evidence...
Got hantavirus questions?
Here's a guide to help you stay informed and talk about it
open.substack.com
Sunny and warm weather has arrived. Time for my spring wardrobe
this wikipedia article has the incredible feature that each graph is more horrific than the last en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gamma_f...
Gamma function - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
Giving a short presentation later today to my institute's external advisory board. This slide summarizes the last 3 years of my department's efforts