This matches my experience that Claude is only useful for modelling work when its outputs pass first through my own understanding, which is also one way to catch its mishallucinations From: www.bostonreview.net/articles/kno...
Dr Nadiah Kristensen
@nadiah.bsky.social
modeller of ecology, evolution, and cooperation | she/her | 🤘 | 🐘 fediscience.org/@nadiah | nadiah.org
Knuth: "Shock! Shock! I learned yesterday that an open problem I'd been working on for several weeks had just been solved by Claude Opus 4.6 ... What a joy it is to learn not only that my conjecture has a nice solution but also to celebrate this dramatic advance in automatic deduction."
www-cs-faculty.stanford.edu
Nationally, 11-12% of Australian workers are in a very high-risk psychosocial safety climate. In universities, that jumps to 44%.
Census - Stress Cafe
Despite multiple government reviews – including the Australian Universities Accord and a Senate Inquiry – staff wellbeing in the workplace has received little direct attention. In response, the Austra...
stresscafe.net
I got an email celebrating a Faculty wellbeing initiative. Some lovely colleagues have been volunteering to do things like deliver flowers and citrus fruits to the tearooms to lift our spirits.
You'd think requiring everyone to agree to the fishing level would protect fish better, but this new paper shows consensus-based voting can lead to worse conservation outcomes when the fishery was already highly exploited. Congratulations to Irina Lerner on her first paper 🎉
Voting Systems Influence Conservation Outcomes for International Fisheries
Fishery stocks that range partly or entirely beyond national jurisdictions pose substantial coordination challenges. Regional Fishery Management Organizations (RFMOs) were created to coordinate the s...
conbio.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
We need $484 billion/year for nature-based climate solutions by 2030. But how do you convince investors when a single cyclone can erase years of restoration? Jordan Holdorf's new paper shows adaptive timing of investments can make risky projects financially viable.
Adaptive temporal optimization of restoration investments with blue carbon returns and climate risks
This framework provides a tool for conservation scientists to develop adaptive investment plans for restoration projects under climate risk. Using project-specific data, it shows how carbon markets c...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Claude (Opus 4.5) has started citing Grokipedia in its results.
I posted this👇 to a claim that genAI is better than Ctl+F to search historical docs. @tristanpalmgren.bsky.social replied with a genAI summary of my document and @bookllyfr.bsky.social asked if it was accurate. It turns out that it did exactly what genAI does: made stuff up & got stuff wrong.🧵
Ctl+F this
I wrote a blog post about a lecture introducing stability in ODE models and their numerical solution. The lecture transcript and code for figures are included. nadiah.org/2025/12/04/m...
Lecture notes on stability in the dynamics and Euler’s method
This semester, I had the opportunity to do 7 weeks of “interactive lectures” at QUT for MXB261 Modelling and Simulation Science, as well as one guest lecture on evolutionary game theory. In this blog ...
nadiah.org
🚨 Excited to share our new research! 🚨 We tackle a big question in conservation: how can we make smarter use of existing surveys to learn about places and species we haven’t yet been able to survey? 🏔️ 🔗 Read the paper here: doi.org/10.1111/2041...
Happy to share that our paper ‘a formal theory of group-level adaptation for obligate eusociality’ (with @andygardner.bsky.social) is now out in @jevbio.bsky.social advances. doi.org/10.1093/jeb/... #OpenAccess #Eusociality #GroupAdaptation #FormalDarwinism
Awesome, this is the second journal I’ve published in that has since let through egregious AI slop.
Rate your score on Factor Fexcectorn. Well done, Scientific Reports. pubpeer.com/publications...
Recently read a superstar outside my field, summarising their previous work modelling institutional change. A quite simple model, but it can capture, e.g., "strategic stability", where groups vote against a change that will benefit them bc it will open the door to future change that harms them.
Institutional change and institutional persistence
In this essay, we provide a simple conceptual framework to elucidate the forces that lead to institutional persistence and change. Our framework is ba…
sciencedirect.com
Why is altruism more common in nature than spite? This new paper gives a general mathematical explanation: the degree of negative assortment that can be achieved is constrained in a way that positive assortment is not, particularly in unbalanced populations. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Analytic solution for the stationary distribution of actions taken in iterated games with implementation errors, and code to automate the solution in SymPy. nadiah.org/2025/11/18/a...
Analytic solution for the stationary distribution in an iterated game with implementation errors
For the past year, I’ve been working in my spare time through a very interesting paper by Kleshnina et al. (2023). The paper concerns an evolutionary game theory model where individuals play an iterat...
nadiah.org
I wrote a blog post about an unpublished paper with a surprising result -- unequal sharing can promote cooperation. nadiah.org/2025/06/01/c...
Cooperation among unequals
In an unpublished paper, Staab et al. (2002) studied the effects of heterogeneity in endowments and productivities on cooperation. They were particularly interested in the effect of allowing players t...
nadiah.org
Quite the opening sentence from the Discussion:- "Repeated interactions alone cannot explain the evolution of one-shot cooperation because they cannot explain the evolution of repeated cooperation." www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Super-additive cooperation - Nature
Models show that human cooperation cannot evolve reliably under repeated interactions or under intergroup competitions, but combining the two mechanisms predicts a distinctive strategy, observed exper...
nature.com
Congratulations to my office-mate, Zach Carter, for making the cover of Nature Ecology & Evolution 🎉
Our October issue is now live: www.nature.com/natecolevol/... Featuring research on: 🧪 💧Wetland carbon sequestration 🌊Starfish diversity in the deep sea 🧬Genetic architecture of reproductive success Cover shows a colony of king penguins, from Carter et al. www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Watching “Animal Pride” hosted by Queer FoS at QUT
Turns out Alexander Magazinov has a long blog post about these guys (pretty sure it's the same paper mill): forbetterscience.com/2025/07/02/s...
Salesmen of Green Economy Bullshit
“This bullshit is a form of greenwashing, as policymakers might believe that with growing amount of “research” we are making progress. Except we are heading nowhere.” –…
forbetterscience.com
The plot thickens! I just found what seems to be the original version of the paper. It wasn’t just AI generated, it was plagiarised. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Ecological networks construction and optimization in the Longdong Loess Plateau: The advantages of self-organizing map and complex networks
Ecological networks (ENs) construction, which is the basis for sustainable regional development, is influenced by the accuracy of source identificatio…
sciencedirect.com
Check out the graphical abstract for a paper recently published in Ecological Modelling. I have papers published in Ecological Modelling. Never again, I guess.
Check out the graphical abstract for a paper recently published in Ecological Modelling. I have papers published in Ecological Modelling. Never again, I guess.
I got a lot out of last semester's Christian Nationalism course, so if you're interested in learning about climate action, direct action, and/or socially aware sci fi, check them out.
Good news everybody! Dark Times Academy’s September courses are here! This term's courses are about action and imagination in dark times, focusing on climate action, resistance, and creating vision – with a stellar lineup of guest lecturers. darktimesacademy.co....
My PhD student @leonielorenz.bsky.social (with Eva Geissen) has made this nice (free) online course to introduce mathematical modelling for biology: www.ebi.ac.uk/training/onl... Including both molecular and epidemiological examples
Mathematical modelling for biologists - Modelling concepts in biological research
Mathematical modelling for biologists - Modelling concepts in biological research
ebi.ac.uk
I'm interested in this online seminar next week. If you want to sign up for this seminar series, which is timed to suit researchers in Asia and Oceania, there's a Google form here -- forms.gle/WSnJS3bNK1b4... -- or you can follow @courtgt.bsky.social for updates.
From student to researcher, a #career in #science can come with a high price tag. @drcraigmc.bsky.social explores how wealth shapes opportunity in #STEM and proposes structural changes to support #equity and inclusion. 🧪 plos.io/4edGlY4
Too poor to science: How wealth determines who succeeds in STEM
From student to researcher, a career in science can come with a high price tag. This Perspective explores how persistent financial barriers limit who can succeed in science, revealing how wealth shape...
plos.io
I keep getting academic spam saying my recent paper has won the 'Best Research Paper Award'. Sucks to be them, though, I have low self-esteem, so I'd never fall for that. Here's the paper that didn't win an award.
Many-strategy games in groups with relatives and the evolution of coordinated cooperation
Humans often cooperate in groups with friends and family members with varying degrees of genetic relatedness. Past kin selection can also be relevant …
sciencedirect.com
Binmore's flair 🖤 "the community of spirit [of] modern communitarians and ancient moralists alike actually operates ... we are not bound together by iron shackles of duty and obligation, but by common understandings and conventions that propagate through societies like fungus through a rotten log"
@carlo-h.bsky.social has finished OCR-ing the Antarctic Treaty System documents, and he also indulges my dork-nostalgia for games like Myst, excessive adjectives and archaic prose.
biorxiv is down, in case anyone else has revisions due today. Either that or something has happened to my user account :-( On the plus side, guess I get to go home now :-)