Nicholas Fenton
@nicholasfenton.bsky.social
Associate Director and Associate Fellow at the Europe, Russia, and Eurasia Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). Views my own. Follows and reposts do not equal endorsements.
I recently spoke with @glanktree.bsky.social at @politico.eu about Russia's ongoing efforts to circumvent Western sanctions www.politico.eu/article/russ...
Russia importing sensitive UK, EU tech through India, data shows
Researchers tracked around 50,000 sensitive and dual-use goods reaching Russia via India since the 2022 invasion of Ukraine, raising questions as Britain and the EU deepen trade ties with New Delhi…
politico.eu
New report from me, @msnegovaya.bsky.social, Tina Dolbaia, @sambendett.bsky.social, @maxbergmann.bsky.social, and Cory Woodall looking at how the Russian defense industry has adapted and evolved since 2022 www.csis.org/analysis/reb... 1/
Rebuilding to Reconquer: Can Russia’s Defense Firms Deliver?
After four years of war, Russia’s defense industrial base has significantly reshaped, creating an asymmetric threat to NATO: It can rapidly scale production of weapons proven on the battlefield, combi...
csis.org
Excited to share our new @erep.csis.org report! Through an in-depth study of key Russian defense firms (UVZ, Almaz-Antey, KRET, Kalashnikov & Ushkuynik), we find that Russia has sustained a wartime production tempo across key defense sectors while rebuilding its military www.csis.org/analysis/reb...
Rebuilding to Reconquer: Can Russia’s Defense Firms Deliver?
After four years of war, Russia’s defense industrial base has significantly reshaped, creating an asymmetric threat to NATO: It can rapidly scale production of weapons proven on the battlefield, combi...
csis.org
New comprehensive analysis explores how Russian and Iranian aspirations for North–South trade fits into Russia's grand strategy and the Kremlin's push to expand its economic ties with the Global South. ✍️ @msnegovaya.bsky.social @nicholasfenton.bsky.social + Tina Dolbaia www.csis.org/analysis/res...
Resilience Through Linkage: Russia, Iran, and Aspirations for North–South Trade
The study identifies a clear Russian and Iranian commitment to creating a north–south trade route that could bypass Western sanctions. The report evaluates the route’s potential to reshape the U.S.-do...
csis.org
"For both Russia and Iran, the corridor could provide additional economic growth, international influence, and a critical infrastructure network less exposed to the impact of Western sanctions," write @msnegovaya.bsky.social Tina Dolbaia, and @nicholasfenton.bsky.social www.csis.org/analysis/res...
Resilience Through Linkage: Russia, Iran, and Aspirations for North–South Trade
The study identifies a clear Russian and Iranian commitment to creating a north–south trade route that could bypass Western sanctions. The report evaluates the route’s potential to reshape the U.S.-do...
csis.org
New report from me, @msnegovaya.bsky.social, and Tina Dolbaia for @erep.csis.org on the International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC). We discuss how the route fits into Russia's grand strategy and push to expand its economic ties with the Global South. www.csis.org/analysis/res...
Resilience Through Linkage: Russia, Iran, and Aspirations for North–South Trade
The study identifies a clear Russian and Iranian commitment to creating a north–south trade route that could bypass Western sanctions. The report evaluates the route’s potential to reshape the U.S.-do...
csis.org
New piece from me, @steinbergf.bsky.social, and Emily Benson on the possible economic measures the EU could take to respond to future U.S. threats to Greenland www.csis.org/analysis/how...
How Could Europe Respond to Future U.S. Threats to Greenland?
If the Trump administration returns to using threats of economic coercion to pressure Europeans over the territorial status of Greenland, the European Union has a range of economic tools at its dispos...
csis.org
NEW: @drjademcglynn.bsky.social joined #RussianRoulette to discuss her new, in-depth analysis on Ukrainian resistance in the Russian-occupied territories of Ukraine. Link to listen below. 🎙️ @maxbergmann.bsky.social @msnegovaya.bsky.social www.csis.org/podcasts/rus...
Thresholds of Survival: The Latest Report on Ukrainian Resistance to Russian Occupation by Jade McGlynn | Russian Roulette | CSIS Podcasts
Max and Maria spoke with Jade McGlynn about her latest report on Ukrainian resistance in the Russian occupied territories of Ukraine.
csis.org
The EU could impose meaningful economic costs through trade, investment controls, and regulation if red lines are crossed in #Greenland. @steinbergf.bsky.social @nicholasfenton.bsky.social + Emily Benson explore how the EU could respond with force to US threats, below: www.csis.org/analysis/how...
How Could Europe Respond to Future U.S. Threats to Greenland?
If the Trump administration returns to using threats of economic coercion to pressure Europeans over the territorial status of Greenland, the European Union has a range of economic tools at its dispos...
csis.org
I spoke w/ @lanacioncom.bsky.social on Russia's limited ability to support the Iranian government as it battles internal protests and external threats. Russian resources are bogged down in Ukraine, so Moscow currently can only offer Tehran words/diplomatic cover www.lanacion.com.ar/el-mundo/por...
Por qué un posible ataque contra Irán mantiene al mundo en vilo: redes terroristas, alianzas globales y la amenaza nuclear
Después de semanas de desafíos interno y externos, el régimen de los ayatollahs confirmó que sostiene su poder para inyectar inestabilidad en su región y en el mundo
lanacion.com.ar
Check out the recent brief from me, @msnegovaya.bsky.social, and Tina Dolbaia on the differing patterns of economic engagement between China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea as part of an ongoing effort to understand the "CRINK" states from @geopolitics.csis.org www.csis.org/analysis/cri...
CRINK Economic Ties: Uneven Patterns of Collaboration
This brief explores the post-2022 economic ties among China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea—the so-called CRINK states.
csis.org
My thoughts on the recent diplomatic efforts to land a peace deal between Russia and Ukraine in @tovimagr.bsky.social www.tovima.gr/2025/08/23/w...
«Ο Πούτιν πιέζει, το Κίεβο αντέχει» – Αναζητούνται πραγματικές «εγγυήσεις ασφαλείας» | ΤΟ ΒΗΜΑ
Ο Νίκολας Φέντον, πολιτικός επιστήμονας, ειδικός σε ζητήματα Ρωσίας και Ουκρανίας εξηγεί στο «Βήμα» την προοπτική περί παροχής εγγυήσεων ασφαλείας «τύπου άρθρου 5 του ΝΑΤΟ» στην Ουκρανία.
tovima.gr
Some recent comments from me in @lexpress.fr on the Russian defense industry www.lexpress.fr/monde/a-ce-s...
"A ce stade, on ne peut pas faire face" : comment l'industrie de défense russe menace l’Europe
Les capacités de production russes ont massivement augmenté depuis le début de la guerre. Dans quelques années, le Kremlin disposera d’une puissance de feu inédite.
lexpress.fr
I had the chance to speak with @scrippsnews.bsky.social about how Russia's grinding progress on the battlefields of Ukraine is affecting Putin's calculus headed into today's summit in Alaska www.scrippsnews.com/politics/rus...
Trump and Putin tackle Ukraine conflict in Anchorage without Zelenskyy
Trump is set to meet Putin in Alaska to discuss the Ukraine conflict, but Zelenskyy is absent. Expectations for a peace deal are tempered amid high tensions.
scrippsnews.com
New comments from me in @reuters.com about tomorrow's Trump-Putin Alaska summit www.reuters.com/world/europe...
Which Donald Trump will negotiate with Putin in Alaska?
When U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin met in Helsinki in 2018, the pair alarmed allies with a friendly encounter where Trump sided with the Russian leader over his own intelligence agencies on election interference.
reuters.com
Comments from me in @thedispatchmedia.bsky.social about the upcoming Trump-Putin summit, and what Putin might be thinking heading into the big meeting in Alaska thedispatch.com/newsletter/m...
A High-Stakes Meeting in Alaska
Russia and Ukraine both have a lot on the line in Friday’s Trump-Putin summit.
thedispatch.com
My comments yesterday for La Repubblica on the upcoming Trump-Putin summit www.repubblica.it/esteri/2025/...
L’analista Usa: “Servono più pressioni su Putin, non cercare risultati a tutti i costi”
Parla Nicholas Fenton, direttore aggiunto del Programma Europa, Russia ed Eurasia del Center for Strategic Studies. “Il presidente russo sogna una nuova Yalta,…
repubblica.it
My thoughts on the recent online dust-up between Trump and Medvedev in @correiocb.bsky.social (PT) www.correiobraziliense.com.br/mundo/2025/0...
Trump eleva ameaça contra Rússia e mobiliza submarinos nucleares
Presidente norte-americano anuncia o envio de dois submarinos nucleares para 'regiões apropriadas', em resposta a comentários 'provocativos' de Dmitri Medvedev, número dois do Conselho de Segurança do...
correiobraziliense.com.br
New piece in @foreignpolicy.com from me and @msnegovaya.bsky.social outlining why sanctions on Russia matter and ways to tighten them. Russia's economic adaptation since 2022 has been impressive, but there are real issues that tougher sanctions could exploit foreignpolicy.com/2025/08/04/t...
What the Next Round of Sanctions Against Russia Should Look Like
Moscow has successfully restructured its economy on an impressive war footing, but there are weaknesses under the hood.
foreignpolicy.com
🚨 NEW: @nicholasfenton.bsky.social & @msnegovaya.bsky.social argue in @foreignpolicy.com that economic statecraft alone is not enough to slow Russia's war effort––weapons & intelligence support for Ukraine remains key to forcing Moscow to negotiate in good faith ⬇️ foreignpolicy.com/2025/08/04/t...
What the Next Round of Sanctions Against Russia Should Look Like
Moscow has successfully restructured its economy on an impressive war footing, but there are weaknesses under the hood.
foreignpolicy.com
✍️ Then and now, a containment strategy seeks to check Moscow’s power & avoid a direct conflict. Today, replicating Kennan’s approach in Europe is not enough—new times call for new thinking. 📌 @maxbergmann.bsky.social @msnegovaya.bsky.social @hannanotte.bsky.social Michael Kimmage + Jeffrey Mankoff
CSIS Europe, Russia, and Eurasia Program@erep.csis.org · last yr.As the US shifts its focus away from threats of Russian aggression, the burden of deterrence falls on Europe. It’s time for a new containment strategy—clear-eyed, coordinated, and long-term. Our experts lay out a path forward fit for a new purpose ⬇️ www.csis.org/analysis/lon...
With Russia set to challenge the West for years to come, what’s the best long-term strategy? Our new @erep.csis.org report explores the need for a renewed approach—potentially a modern take on Cold War-era containment. Please read, comment and share! 🔗 www.csis.org/analysis/lon...
A Long-Term Russia Strategy for Europe
No matter the outcome in Ukraine, Russia will remain a strategic threat to Europe and European interests. A European containment strategy reworked for the particularities of the present can help Europ...
csis.org
My thoughts in @newsweek.com about the potential risks/challenges from U.S. "secondary tariffs" on purchasers of Russian hydrocarbon exports. To increase pressure on Russia, policymakers should target the financial/shipment firms that enable Russian sales www.newsweek.com/us-sanctions...
How US sanctions on Russian oil could send prices soaring for Americans
Speaking to Newsweek, experts outlined the impact of potential sanctions on Russian oil.
newsweek.com
Got the chance to talk about the Russian economy, banking system, and sanctions with @news.dw.com alongside my fantastic colleague, Tina Dolbaia www.youtube.com/watch?v=1qca...
Жесткие санкции и милитаризация: как экономика России справляется на третий год войны?
YouTube video by DW на русском
youtube.com
Recently had the chance to speak with @thedispatchmedia.bsky.social about the current state of the Russian economy, the potential for new sanctions on Russia, and how Moscow looks at this current phase of the war in Ukraine thedispatch.com/newsletter/m...
NEWS | @erep.csis.org expert @maxbergmann.bsky.social joined Bloomberg to discuss President Trump's announcement of new secondary tariffs on Russian goods if Russia does not agree to a peace deal with Ukraine. Watch the full interview: www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/...
Trump Threatens New Financial Penalties For Russia Amid Stalled Peace Talks
Max Bergmann, director of the Europe, Russia and Eurasia program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, reacts to President Trump's announcement of new secondary tariffs on Russian goo...
bloomberg.com
💰 Russia's Wartime Economy: @marie-doha.bsky.social broke down key findings from our comprehensive analysis on the economics of Russia's war machine. ✍️ Takeaways + more below: www.linkedin.com/feed/update/... @msnegovaya.bsky.social @nicholasfenton.bsky.social @maxbergmann.bsky.social
📰 Russia‘s wartime economy scrutinized by Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) experts; a 70p report worth reading. | Marie-Doha Besancenot
📰 Russia‘s wartime economy scrutinized by Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) experts; a 70p report worth reading. (June 2025) 🇷🇺 Since the full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the Kreml...
linkedin.com
CSIS Europe, Russia, and Eurasia Program@erep.csis.org · last yr.What can the West do to challenge Russia's ability to maintain its war effort? Our new report highlights key pressure points in the Russian wartime economy ⬇️ ✍️ @msnegovaya.bsky.social @nicholasfenton.bsky.social @maxbergmann.bsky.social & Tina Dolbaia www.csis.org/analysis/rus...
In this week’s episode of Russian Roulette, @maxbergmann.bsky.social and I speak with the always insightful @hannanotte.bsky.social about how the recent war between Iran and Israel, along with U.S. strikes on Iran’s nuclear program, are shaping Russia’s strategy in the Middle East. Tune in today!
Hanna Notte on What the Israel-Iran War Means for Russia | Russian Roulette | CSIS Podcasts
Hanna Notte returns to the show for a conversation with Max and Maria about what the most recent round of hostilities between Israel and Iran, plus the U.S. strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, mean...
csis.org
I recently spoke with Lily Mae Lazarus at @fortune.com about Russian fears of an economic recession, and the role the country's chronic labor shortage plays in constraining growth fortune.com/2025/06/22/r...
Russia’s economy boomed after the invasion of Ukraine—it’s now running out of steam
Record-low unemployment and ultra-hot inflation have put Russia “on the brink” of a recession, its economy minister said.
fortune.com
Our team has been thrilled with the reception of our recent report, "The Russian Wartime Economy: From Sugar High to Hangover." Check out a discussion on our work w/ @maxbergmann.bsky.social, @msnegovaya.bsky.social, @eribakova.bsky.social, and Vladislav Inozemtsev www.youtube.com/watch?v=rk_7...
The Russian Wartime Economy
YouTube video by Center for Strategic & International Studies
youtube.com