novapsyche

@novapsyche444.bsky.social

A room with a sociological view.

Don't look now, but in the MI Senate primary race, which the AP has not yet called, Abdul El-Sayed is up less than a point. He leads Stevens 48.48% to 47.51%, with >95% of the vote total in (NYT). Wayne Cty, the most populous in the state, still has 6% outstanding. Most others are nearly complete.

Abdul El-Sayed is emotional delivering what was meant to be his victory speech. He's had catches in his delivery and wiped his eye at least once. With 77% of the vote tallied, he leads Stevens 49% to 46%.

I found a no-nonsense Toledo station tracking the Michigan primary results. This is great, as it's devoid of the hype that'd be found on, say, MS NOW or other such outlet. It'll play in the background. The evening is going to be very chill.

So many folks are trying to figure out what the image itself means instead of what the image communicates about the person posting it. Rachel Bitecofer got Gaza as a political issue wrong in 2024. As a consultant, she told Dems to ignore activists. This clearly has been eating at her for some time.

Post nicht verfügbar.

The more important part has always been the tax immunity deal. That must be struck in its entirety. The $1.776B bonanza was always a cover for and distraction from the lifetime tax exemption, which is enormously corrosive. The executive branch cannot be allowed to collude with itself.

Allison Gill@muellershewrote.com · 3d ago

BREAKING: Todd Blanche has released what he calls a rescission of the slush fund (left). The last lawsuit he mentions is mine (Gill v DOJ). This doesn't change the fact that the "settlement" setting up the fund is still in effect. On the right, Blanche is LEAVING IN PLACE Trump's tax immunity.

Simon Rosenberg, of Hopium Chronicles, blocked me in the last thirty minutes for pointing out clear flaws in his analysis of polls related to the MI Senate race. I was not rude but I was direct. Such a kneejerk reaction is a sign of a thin skin OR I hit too close to home. bsky.app/profile/nova...

@simonwdc.bsky.social
"I don't know what's going to happen in the MI Senate race but in the 3 general election polls released in recent days Stevens leads Rogers in all three, and El-Sayed trails Rogers in all three. Stevens outperforms El-Sayed by an average of 7 pts."

Rosenberg goes on to paste the toplines of the EPIC-MRA poll, showing Rogers v El-Sayed 46% to 43%, respectively, while Stevens v Rogers lists as 44% to 42%, respectively. Results were posted July 31, 2026.
novapsyche@novapsyche444.bsky.social · 3d ago

Simon, I watch your Hopium YouTube videos often. I respect your ground game quite a bit. But I am taken aback at your portrayal of these most recent GE polls. You know as well as the rest of us that 2 of the last 3 polls show a statistical tie among all candidates, as the margins don't exceed MoE.

The disentangling of this conflation, which happens with remarkable frequency, is direly needed if the Democratic party is to preserve anything resembling its current coalition. Stevens's equivocation is newsworthy because she's a candidate for a major office. But this legerdemain is not new.

Jen Taub@jentaub.bsky.social · 4d ago

“Stevens treated Jewish Americans, the Israeli government, and AIPAC as though they were the same thing, then used that confusion to turn a factual argument about campaign money into an accusation of antisemitism.” www.facebook.com/share/p/1Bwy...

It's already a stretch to automatically switch the term 'AIPAC' with anything to do with Jewishness when in fact the person means the actual PAC. Yet this user has an entire mythos about how El-Sayed must be making antisemitic dogwhistles w/ his 'ogre' quote (that references Fetterman!). 🧵

References a Politico article re: Abdul El-Sayed's now-infamous 'ogre' quote ("'Ideally you put one ogre on a pike, and then everyone else gets the message, and all of a sudden starts to sound a lot different,' El-Sayed added later, referencing how he could help propel the progressive movement.")

Conscience Collective:
"Ogre caricature, here's the quote. He said it, and you pair it with his AIPAC and tainted 'zionist' slurs (see above) it makes it easier to buy the next connection I'll offer

"Nazis loved to draw Jews as monstrous goblins or ogres - to dehumanize them and to scare children. But this predates Nazi propaganda, and has existed since probably even medieval times as the 'Blood Libel' - depicting Jewish people as kidnapping children to use their blood and flesh for rituals"

https://bsky.app/profile/consciencecoll.bsky.social/post/3mry32thrrk2l

It’s fun watching voices who attacked anyone who even expressed difficulty voting because they didn’t want to support genocide turn around and encourage people not to vote because they might lose a primary. Hopefully this vote blue no matter who nonsense has been exposed at this point.

I swear, people have lost their minds. The amount of PAC money in this single race is absolutely corrupting the information space. This undermines democracy. I find it incredible that the Detroit News published such an opinion piece. Then again, the News already endorsed Stevens.

News 📰@some-news.bsky.social · 6d ago

The mission of AIPAC is to advocate for the well-being of Israel and a mutually beneficial relationship between our two countries. Working against the election to one of the highest offices in the land of someone who hates Israel is in line with that purpose.

If this gets instituted, we’re going to see a study in a few years that says, “Black children, and children of color, were pepper sprayed at nineteen times the rate of white children,” and mfers are going to act surprised, despite how clearly every data point says this will be the case.

Hypervisible @hypervisible.blacksky.app · 7d ago

“The drones wouldn’t break up a schoolyard fight…But if one of the students pulled a knife, they could.”

Abdul El-Sayed leads Haley Stevens in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15 points, according to an Emerson/WLNS/WOODTV poll released this morning. Conducted July 26-27, it has a MoE of 3.7%. (McMorrow, who dropped out weeks ago, polled at 2%. 6% were undecided.) thehill.com/homenews/cam...

El-Sayed leads Stevens by 15 points in Michigan Senate primary: Poll

Progressive Abdul El-Sayed is leading Rep. Haley Stevens (D-Mich.) by 15 points ahead of next week’s Democratic primary for Michigan’s open Senate seat, according to a new poll.  An…

thehill.com

I don't want to hear one word from folks who have bemoaned Citizens United but who've pooh-poohed the impact of AIPAC spending $30M+ in the Michigan senate primary race. Not one word from this point forward about how money distorts politics. Come correct.