Frans Osinga

@osinga.bsky.social

Prof war studies Leiden Uni

Ukrainian intelligence estimates Russia can produce over 200 cruise and ballistic missiles a month. Its stocks include 600+ Oniks, 450+ Kalibr, 400 S-400 missiles, around 130 Iskander-M, 120+ Zircon, up to 100 Kh-101, plus around 50 Kinzhal and 50 North Korean missiles. #Ukraine

Bild

The Russian intelligence operation was planned and directed by the Russian Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) over an extended period. It involved collecting information about decision-making processes in Sweden to give Russian intelligence an opportunity to influence controversial issues.

🇪🇺🇺🇦 European countries increased their support for Ukraine in May and June to about €11 billion, - Kiel Institute Of this amount, 4.3 billion euros were allocated to military aid, and another 6.7 billion to financial and humanitarian support.

Bild

APPLEBAUM: United States, which used to be leader of democratic world, now plays neutral, ambiguous role at best. You can hear that Trump sympathizes with the autocrats. He instinctively prefers Putin to European democracies.

Satellite analysis indicates at least 7 vessels were likely hit at Novorossiysk: Admiral Makarov, Admiral Essen, a Project 266M minesweeper, experimental vessel Viktor Cherokov, a Project 22160 patrol ship, intelligence ship Priazovye and an unidentified dry cargo vessel. #Ukraine

NOELREPORTS@noelreports.com · last wk.

❗DniproOsint satellite analysis of the August 12 Novorossiysk strike shows hits on the NKHP grain terminal, naval base and Sheskharis oil terminal. Admiral Makarov and Admiral Essen were likely damaged near their Kalibr launchers, while several other Russian vessels also appear hit. #Ukraine

The article is about Russia systematically using drones to probe air defenses in Europe, looking for weaknesses to exploit. ​Why they call actual attacks "hybrid," though, is beyond me. Maybe if they just called them attacks, they’d actually have to do something about it. 🤷‍♀️

Bild

In July, it was discovered that Iran had hacked SS7 to identify the location of U.S. troops, directly informing kinetic strikes. How has Iran's cyber activity evolved to a more concerted, recalibrated approach, aligned with its wartime objectives? Read: https://bit.ly/4hQBLCS

How Tehran’s Use of Cyber Operations in the U.S.-Iran Conflict Has Evolved

Iran’s cyber apparatus has firmly regeared in direct support and alignment with Iran’s war effort against the United States, Israel, and regional rivals, and is using cyber operations to shape the ope...

bit.ly

‼️❄️ Before winter, Russia stockpiled 6,200+ "Geran" drones, — GUR Massive combined strikes can involve 600–1,000 drones, while during the buildup period, Russian Armed Forces launch approximately 150–200 drones in a single attack.

Bild