Paul DV

@paul-dv.bsky.social

Energy nerd. Weird coffee person. Telemark skier.

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forms.gle

Killing MACRS depreciation for clean energy forces all credit-eligible energy projects into transferability markets rather than into tax equity transactions. Fine for S/W. But seems bad for nuclear and geothermal... which have no transferability markets bc they're emerging tech.

BildBild

The infrastructure investments of the past four years represent the most significant progress since the Eisenhower era. But they are neither guaranteed nor permanent. If Congress and the Trump administration don’t act now, we won’t just cede economic advantage. We’ll see energy costs spike…

There has been a lot of questions about the Loan Programs Office and the work that they did over the last four years to process a record $108B of loans to help commercialize technology across the United States. A 🧵

Every year on Memorial Day, I share this video of French caretakers who take sand from Omaha Beach in Normandy, and scrub them into the letters to give them the gold coloring. They do this for all 9,386 US soldiers who died. France also gave us this land as American soil.

Highly doubtful that nuclear ITC phaseout for all post-2028 reactor starts will be sufficient to achieve industry liftoff, and it almost certainly kills most advanced reactor companies and the emerging US fusion industry.

Capacity accreditation is deep and nerdy and super important. What happened last PJM auction cycle was an ironic shift: gas underperformed in winter storm Elliot, so PJM assigned much lower capacity values to gas - dropping from ~90% to %60%. Now we had less capacity, so prices shot up #EnergySky

One of the world's biggest data center booms is quietly underway just outside of Reno. Some projects have been covered, but few outlets have recognized the full scope of the plans. The developments will require gigawatts of new electricity generation & could consume billions of gallons of water.

The data center boom in the desert

The AI race is transforming northwestern Nevada into one of the world's largest data-center markets—and sparking fears of water strains in the nation’s driest state.

technologyreview.com

Wall Street read the Ways and Means IRA language and thought it was "better than feared": tax credits still only phased out intead of being cancelled immediately. Some clean energy stocks even went up. Then they realized the langauge would kneecap the storage industry heatmap.news/economy/wall...

Is Wall Street Wrong About the IRA?

Investors are only just now starting to digest what the proposed cuts will mean, especially for energy storage.

heatmap.news

Let's be real: if Republicans pass the House budget bill as is, it will murder the US nuclear industry, ruin our chances of winning the AI race (by constraining power supply), concede the global auto sector to China, and vaporize about half a trillion dollars of US manufacturing investment...