Tonight let us recognize Speaker Joanna McClinton, who for 42 months held together an ideologically diverse Democratic caucus to maintain a one-vote majority in the PA House. Surely one of the most talented legislative leaders in the country. Finally she has some breathing room.

Uncrewed@uncrewed.bsky.social · 2mo ago

THE DEMOCRATS HAVE FLIPPED PENNSYLVANIA'S #HD12 (Trump+18): Brandon Dukes (D)- 50.3% Scott Timko (R)- 49.7%

A factoid that will blow some minds - PA-03 results with white-majority wards EXCLUDED: 🥇 Chris Rabb - 34,647 - 36.80% 🥈 Sharif Street - 33,220 - 35.29% 🥉 Ala Stanford - 24,437 - 25.96%

So what happened? Street won West Philly, but Rabb won Center City by even more. Meanwhile, Stanford held up pretty well, limiting Street's margin in his best wards. And progressive wards posted huge margins for Rabb.

Pennsylvania Maps@pennsylvaniamaps.bsky.social · 5mo ago

If either Center City or West Philly votes decisively for Street, that should be enough to win him the election. But if Rabb fights to a draw or close to it in both areas, I expect him to be headed to Congress.

Mail vote in HD-195, where WFP-backed Sierra McNeil is challenging incumbent Keith Harris

With the eyes of the nation on PA-03 (my district), I'm gonna do a thread on each candidate's path to victory and how I'll be looking at the returns tonight Full disclosure that I canvassed for Chris Rabb in this race, but as PAMaps I'm aiming for objective analysis

🚨 MAJOR BREAKING NEWS🚨 The Commonwealth Court of Pennsylvania strikes down a law restricting Medicaid from funding abortion, and in doing so recognizes a "reproductive autonomy" as a fundamental right in the state constitution. www.inquirer.com/news/pennsyl...

Pa. court recognizes ‘reproductive autonomy’ as a right, strikes down ban on public funding for abortion

In a 4-3 ruling, the Commonwealth Court found that abortion access is a fundamental right guaranteed by the Pennsylvania Constitution.

inquirer.com

With 42/44 precincts reporting, Republican Andrea Verobish will be the next State Rep for Altoona and its environs. She leads by 15%, an underperformance of around 17% compared to Trump '24.

Today is the first time I've ever been to the Blair County election results page and that alone says something

I'm exhausted by all the efforts to rewrite the history of the 2022 US Senate primary in Pennsylvania, with folks insisting "we told you so!" as to Fetterman, that Conor Lamb was always the better choice, and generally ignoring Malcolm Kenyatta's historic candidacy. So let me say a few things. 🧵1/

Thread of stories run by Bari Weiss's group blog that did not ask the targets of (frequently uncorroborated) accusations for comment, let alone give them a preemptive veto over the story:

Bill Grueskin@bgrueskin.bsky.social · 10mo ago

In 2022, Bari Weiss ran this viral first-person piece by a top Levi’s executive. She claimed she was hounded out of the company because of her vocal stance on COVID restrictions. There are no quotes from the company. Or her colleagues. Not even a “no comment.” www.thefp.com/p/yesterday-...

Does he really think interrupting the Survivor finale for this will endear him to anyone?

Tuesday saw a seismic shift on the Susquehanna’s west bank Ancestrally Republican Cumberland County didn’t just vote for Democrats at the top of the ticket, it also elected Dems to 3 county-level offices Thread on the RECORDER OF DEEDS race and its State House implications (1/9)

~18% overperformance in the NY media market

BLUEZERNE COUNTY COUNCIL

Just spot-checking some fully-reported precincts in bellwether Northampton County, the Democratic judicial candidates are outperforming Biden by ~20%. This is looking like a landslide.

The races for PA Commonwealth and Superior Court have gotten surprisingly little attention. Those are hugely important and are likely to be much closer than the retention votes. If you need any more motivation to cast a ballot, here it is.

the actual contrast is between spanberger/mamdani (focused message, vigorous campaigns) and sherrill (unfocused, half-hearted)

PENNSYLVANIA is now the first state with multiple Democratic House members to have the majority of its House Democratic caucus cosponsor the Block the Bombs Act (Lee, Scanlon, Dean, and Evans) www.congress.gov/bill/119th-c...

30 Districts

With 35% of precincts reporting, Krasner looks to be replicating his 2021 coalition powered by Black voters across the city plus white neighborhoods outside the Northeast

The last time Lancaster County elected a Democrat to the Pennsylvania Senate was in 1889, when John S. Hoover won a special election. 136 years later, James Malone joins the club.

With all precincts reporting, Democrat James Malone leads by 0.89%. Keep in mind, SD-36 completely excludes the City of Lancaster. It's the once reliably-red suburbs, exurbs, and small towns that have flipped this district.

I'm ready to call it: Democrat James Malone has FLIPPED SD-36. It will be the first time in who knows how long that Lancaster County has elected a Democrat to the State Senate.

Solid batch for Dem. James Malone. 89/120 precincts in and he's beating his benchmarks by about 1% on average. Rep. Josh Parsons needs to do several points better the rest of the way to catch up.

With 68/120 precincts reporting in SD-36, Democrat James Malone is beating his benchmarks in 42 precincts, and Republican Josh Parsons is beating his in 26. My model says we're headed for a close race, with Malone having a slight edge at the moment.

Another way I'm looking at PA SD-36 results so far: Dems lost this district by 12% in the 2023 Supreme Court race. In the 5% of precincts reporting election day votes so far, the Dem is overperforming that result by 15%.

6/120 precincts reporting election-day votes, and Democrat James Malone is beating his benchmarks in 5 of them.

Today's special election in northern Lancaster County presents the tantalizing but longshot possibility that the R-friendly incumbentmander of Pennsylvania's senatorial map could fail. I'll be following along just in case this gets interesting.

Out of the three Harris district Republicans in Congress, one has clearly proven himself as the best (when it comes to overperforming), Brian Fitzpatrick in #PA01. Despite Harris carrying his suburban Philly district, Fitzpatrick easily won re-election last year, winning by 13!

Last year in #PA08, we saw Democratic incumbent Matt Cartwright lose re-election to Republican Rob Bresnahan by about two points. This NEPA district has been trending to the right in the Trump era and Trump winning this district by 8 was probably enough to cost Cartwright.