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Phil Haile

@philhaile.bsky.social

Professor of Economics at Yale

5 Posts2286 Follower618 Folgt
NBER@nber.org · 12mo ago

Using rich multi-level data on US House elections finds that marginal voters tend to favor Democrats. State voting policies have small but sometimes key effects and district maps net favor Republicans, from Steven T. Berry, Christian Cox, and Philip Haile https://www.nber.org/papers/w34149

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Tim Bresnahan@timobres.bsky.social · last yr.

Wishing courage and good luck to the folks at BLS. I know you will continue to make honest statistics, including revisions. I hope you get to publish honest numbers despite intimidation from the political side.

Michael Clemens@mclem.org · last yr.

This is an attack on democracy itself. No Democratic or Republican politician can be allowed to suppress the most basic facts that the reveal real-world effects of policy. Facts are the only basis for accountability, and thus a firebreak against dictatorship.

Joey Politano🏳️‍🌈@josephpolitano.bsky.social · last yr.

Unquestionably the most dangerous and corrupt attack on the independence of US economic data in American history. Trump is firing the head of the BLS, a longtime civil servant confirmed 86-8 by the Senate, simply because the job numbers came in below his expectations today

I was just informed that our Country’s “Jobs Numbers” are being produced by a Biden Appointee, Dr. Erika McEntarfer, the Commissioner of Labor Statistics, who faked the Jobs Numbers before the Election to try and boost Kamala’s chances of Victory. This is the same Bureau of Labor Statistics that overstated the Jobs Growth in March 2024 by approximately 818,000 and, then again, right before the 2024 Presidential Election, in August and September, by 112,000. These were Records — No one can be that wrong? We need accurate Jobs Numbers. I have directed my Team to fire this Biden Political Appointee, IMMEDIATELY. She will be replaced with someone much more competent and qualified. Important numbers like this must be fair and accurate, they can’t be manipulated for political purposes. McEntarfer said there were only 73,000 Jobs added (a shock!) but, more importantly, that a major mistake was made by them, 258,000 Jobs downward, in the prior two months. Similar things happened in the first part of the year, always to the negative. The Economy is BOOMING under “TRUMP” despite a Fed that also plays games, this time with Interest Rates, where they lowered them twice, and substantially, just before the Presidential Election, I assume in the hopes of getting “Kamala” elected – How did that work out? Jerome “Too Late” Powell should also be put “out to pasture.” Thank you for your attention to this matter!
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Phil Haile@philhaile.bsky.social · last yr.

I force myself to get through Bret Stephens' columns to get some sense of another perspective, and his defense of his months of "I can't vote for Biden or Harris" is pathetic. But worth reading, maybe especially for those looking for signs of decency from the right. www.nytimes.com/2025/04/17/o...

Opinion | Bret Stephens on Being a Trump Critic Who Resists the Resistance (Gift Article)

The columnist on the value of acknowledging the president’s wins.

nytimes.com