dr roger cremades

@rogercre.bsky.social

Climate Change, Complexity Economics, Systemic Risks, Cities, Cascades and Ecology @ University of Leeds. Complex systems insights for sustainable futures. Assoc Prof FRSA https://is.gd/1alYNP + https://is.gd/PfiCiI Towards regional systemic risks.

What happens when heatwaves or droughts affect several of the key wheat producing regions at the same time? Our new ERL paper explores the impacts on global wheat production and trade, and identifies countries most vulnerable to production and export shocks. iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...

The impacts of concurrent heatwaves and droughts on global wheat production and trade

The impacts of concurrent heatwaves and droughts on global wheat production and trade, Vogel, Elisabeth, Sweet, Lily-belle, Ribeiro, Andreia F S, Mora, Camille J, Johnson, Fiona, Zscheischler, Jakob

iopscience.iop.org

July 22: #Bertha has officially made landfall in Louisiana as a 45 mph tropical storm. I must admit, I cannot immediately recall a landfalling tropical cyclone that has such minimal rainfall associated with it. Bizarre!

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Our latest annual report is out today—all the highlights of 2025, including Wave 15 of our main survey, W17 of the Innovation Panel, increased research use, growing influence on government policy, and a very productive scientific conference…

Understanding Society Annual Report 2025 - Understanding Society

Find out what Understanding Society did during 2025, plus read some of the research and policy impact from the year

understandingsociety.ac.uk

I recently came across the best ever rationale for species introduction to the UK: "I reckon we could just throw the middle spotted woodpecker into the UK. It would be very satisfying to have that gap between lesser and greater filled, regardless of the consequences."

Climate economics has by far been the legitimate discourse that has done the most to downplay the dangers of climate change. And it’s been the main lens though which policymakers—and non-scientist and non-climate journalists (and pundits)—have understood the crisis.

David Roberts@volts.wtf · 3w ago

We didn't previously integrate wildfire-smoke costs into the supposed cost of climate change for the US, and it turns out to be bigger than all those other costs combined. Oops! Gosh I wonder if we're underestimating anything else. Probably shoulda done something about this. Ah well.

Multiple interacting Nash equilibria co-evolving by chance into socially suboptimal outcomes? Joke, or perhaps not. I recommend starting with the book "hierarchy in the forest"; last point was serious.

72% of media articles failed to say what caused event that killed around 2700 UK people, let alone who caused it & why. I imagine most didn't say how how bad it could get, how we can take action, or the win-wins of acting now (only 5% mentioned net zero). www.theguardian.com/environment/...

Most UK media reports on June heatwave failed to mention climate crisis

Exclusive: Analysis of nearly 2,500 articles finds almost three-quarters made no reference to global heating

theguardian.com