Irvine, CA will vote on a #RankedChoiceVoting ballot measure this November. If it's approved, Irvine will use ranked choice voting to elect its mayor and city council members as early as 2028. @calrcv.bsky.social https://bit.ly/3Rjf5jN

Irvine, CA will vote on ranked choice voting in November - FairVote

If the measure passes, Irvine will use ranked choice voting to elect its mayor and city council members as early as 2028.

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LAist@laist.com · 3w ago

Irvine's City Council voted Tuesday to put ranked-choice voting on the November ballot. If approved, the city could potentially switch to the system in 2028. Some are worried about the costs. 🔗 vist.ly/5bdq2 ✍️ Cato Hernández 📸 Allen J. Schaben/Los Angeles Times via Getty Images

Oh man. This chart of the #COGov GOP primary is an all-timer from the gambling markets. They know the winner neither before polls close nor after! (And we don't, either: The race remains uncalled, with Kirkmeyer ahead by just 953 votes.)

The Kalshi gamblers have done it again.

Looking at the remaining vote, Supervisor Foley will need to win between 58-60% of what is left in her contest to get over 50%. The last few updates have had her winning the counted ballots with 52%. It improves her vote share, and she will be leading soon, but isn't enough to avoid a runoff.

Update on Orange County's outstanding vote and what that means for races like OC Board of Supervisors, District 5. Current turnout is 26.9%, but if you add in the 200k unprocessed ballots received by the OC Registrar of Voters, that turnout rate jumps to AT LEAST 37.3% Turnout in 2022 was 35.2%

BREAKING: Democrats just flipped the Florida House district that includes Mar-a-Lago. Yes, Donald Trump is going to be represented by a Democrat. Our complete recap -->

Florida Democrats flip Donald Trump's home district in Palm Beach

Emily Gregory will now represent Mar-a-Lago—and Trump himself

the-downballot.com

It's really just comical at this point. I don't even know what there is left to say.

The gambling markets have done it again. Masterful work, gamblers.

"Wisdom of the crowds! Wisdom of the crowds!!" I shout into the void.

Big day for people using gambling sites as sources of data to tell how a race is going

Another L for the "wisdom of crowds" crowd. Ignore this trash!

High-speed visual of gamblers being loudly wrong until they get punched in the face by reality. Stop using betting markets as reportable "data." It’s worthless.

Merry Christmas! 🎄 My present to all this year is access to high resolution versions of the maps I've posted in the last month. Enjoy! 🎁 drive.google.com/drive/folder...

Finally, Prop 50 results by precinct in Orange County. The largest Yes margin came from the UCI student housing communities precinct (Camino del Sol) 96.5% of voters voted Yes on Prop 50 The largest No margin came from a gated community in Laguna Niguel along Morning Dove 84.6% voted No

Prop 50 results by Orange County Cities and CDPs

Prop 50 results by old Congressional District

Prop 50 by County Supervisor District I wonder if the Republicans on the BOS who drew this map realize they created a dummymander politicaldictionary.com/words/dummym...

Prop 50 results by State Senate District Steven Choi is really lucky.

Prop 50 results by Orange County Assembly District All results are from Orange County only (I'm sure AD 74 as a whole is actually quite a bit closer due to the San Diego portion not being represented here)

Prop 50 results by city in Orange County

Fashion Island, Newport Beach Prop 50 (2025) Yes: 256 (34.0%) No: 498 (66.0%) US President (2024) Harris: 380 (35.3%) Trump: 677 (63.0%) Despite a modest shift away from Trump in 2024, Fashion Island/Newport Center moved back towards the president only one year in.

Balboa Island, Newport Beach Prop 50 (2025) Yes: 404 (31.9%) No: 861 (68.1%) US President (2024) Harris: 585 (34.7%) Trump: 1,077 (63.8%) Median home price: $4.4 million Extremely wealthy communities continue to move towards Trump, in contrast to every other demographic group.

Los Rios Historic District, San Juan Capistrano Prop 50 (2025) Yes: 204 (75.6%) No: 66 (24.4%) US President (2024) Harris: 253 (62.2%) Trump: 150 (38.9%) This precinct shifted 23 pts to the right from 2020 to 2024 and has shift back (and then some) This is 90% Hispanic precinct in South OC

Little Saigon (Bolsa and Magnolia), Westminster Prop 50 (2025) Yes: 667 (55.0%) No: 547 (45.0%) US President (2024) Harris: 818 (42.8%) Trump: 1,063 (55.7%) This precinct had already shifted towards dems from 2020 -> 2024 (1.9 dem shift). This Vietnamese community is worth paying attention to.

Shady Canyon, Irvine Prop 50 (2025) Yes: 124 (34.9%) No: 231 (65.1%) US President (2024) Harris: 214 (36.1%) Trump: 355 (60.0%) The median home price in this neighborhood is about $9.1 million

Westminster, California Prop 50 (2025) Yes: 13,084 (52.8%) No: 11,703 (47.2%) US President (2024) Harris: 16,506 (44.3%) Trump: 19,850 (53.2%) Big Viet shift (if you can call it that) against Trump (-14.5 points)