Stephen Fesler ๐Ÿงฆ ๐Ÿฅ‘๐Ÿšถโ€โ™‚๏ธ๐ŸšŒ ๐ŸšŠ ๐Ÿš† ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ•Š๏ธ

@safesler.bsky.social

Dad x2. Full-time cat herder. Elderly urban planner. Some SimCity brah. Pavers and cobbles stan. Pro bono @theurbanist.org. Probably far from home. AMDG. Pax.

FEDWATCH: โ€œ.. the longโ€‘dated prediction market now assigns roughly a 65% chance that the Strait won't fully reopen until 2028 .. .. That leaves the prospect of a 6% handle on the 10โ€‘year still lurking, driven by increasingly adverse demand dynamics in the Treasury market.โ€

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Our Iowa U.S. Senate polling average is a dead heat, with Josh Turek (D) leading Ashley Hinson (R) by just 0.9 points, 46.1% to 45.2%. VoteHub rates the race Tilt R, with a final margin of R +1.3.

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