Shaun Ratcliff
@shaunratcliff.bsky.social
Pollster, political scientist and applied data scientist, Accent Research.
Fresh #DemocracySausage is out! 🌭🎙️ @zalisteggall.bsky.social & @allegraspender.bsky.social join @markgkenny.bsky.social & @marijataflaga.bsky.social to unpack the launch of Community Strong Australia — its logic, its irony, & whether teal voters will get on board. 🎧 ausi.anu.edu.au/news/democra...
Democracy Sausage Episode: Two Teals, One Ticket | Australian Studies Institute
ausi.anu.edu.au
The results from the May RedBridge Group and Accent Research MRP indicate that if an election were held now the result would be intense political fragmentation and realignment On our median estimate, no Coalition MPs would be elected in Qld, WA, SA or Tas
Along with More in Common Director Luke Tryl, we discussed the drivers of political fragmentation in both countries, and whether the Australian federal government can use the budget to turn it around Listen here www.abc.net.au/listen/progr...
Something has to give: will the budget deliver intergenerational relief? - ABC listen
Anthony Albanese is going where no Labor leader has successfully gone before with the budget expected to see cuts to negative gearing and capital gains tax discounts. But will it deliver the changes ...
abc.net.au
Yesterday I spoke to Fran Kelly on ABC Radio National Hour about the causes and implications of the rise of One Nation in Australia, and Reform in the UK
Yesterday I spoke to Fran Kelly on ABC Radio National Hour about the causes and implications of the rise of One Nation in Australia, and Reform in the UK
The other day I spoke to Joshua Peach from the AFR on the Farrer by-election and recent RedBridge-Accent Research polling on One Nations increased support since the last election Here’s what he wrote: www.afr.com/markets/equi...
Can One Nation really flip Farrer? Yes, and here’s why in five charts
Here’s what the polls can tell us about Pauline Hanson’s next big test on Saturday in NSW.
afr.com
Whenever I see results like this I always wonder how much of it is driven by a poor quality sample
onion person@junlper.beer · 3mo agofunniest thing i’ve ever seen
The April AFR/RedBridge/Accent Research poll is out now. It shows that the One Nation surge may have stalled. This is the third month in a row where their primary vote has been stuck in the high 20s: it was 26% in Jan, 28% in Feb, 29 per cent in Mar, and is now back at 27%
The April AFR/RedBridge/Accent Research poll is out now. It shows that the One Nation surge may have stalled. This is the third month in a row where their primary vote has been stuck in the high 20s: it was 26% in Jan, 28% in Feb, 29 per cent in Mar, and is now back at 27%
Really enjoyed chatting with @benraue.com and @shaunratcliff.bsky.social about the growing importance of housing and asset ownership in voting on The Tally Room podcast. Take a listen if you're interested!
Ben Raue@benraue.com · 5mo agoToday's podcast features @joshgoddard98.bsky.social and @shaunratcliff.bsky.social and is about how your position in the housing market (and your asset wealth) is becoming a more significant determinant of how you vote. www.tallyroom.com.au/64384
Today's podcast features @joshgoddard98.bsky.social and @shaunratcliff.bsky.social and is about how your position in the housing market (and your asset wealth) is becoming a more significant determinant of how you vote. www.tallyroom.com.au/64384
Podcast #163 – Home ownership, renting and voting
How does owning your home or renting impact on how you vote? For today’s podcast, Ben was joined by Shaun Ratcliff and Josh Goddard to discuss what we know about how home ownership (or asset …
tallyroom.com.au
I spoke to Marija Taflaga and @markgkenny.bsky.social on ANU's Democracy Sausage podcast about our polling and what it means for Australian politics Listen here: reporter.anu.edu.au/all-stories/...
Democracy Sausage: Realignment of Australian Politics
Social and political data scientist, Shaun Ratcliff joins Democracy Sausage to discuss new polling on the realignment of the Australian political landscape.
reporter.anu.edu.au
Listen to the latest episode of ANU's Democracy Sausage podcast, where I talk to Marija and Mark about the January AFR/RedBridge/Accent Research poll, and the potential of a realignment of the Australian party system
Shaun Ratcliff@shaunratcliff.bsky.social · 6mo agoI spoke to Marija Taflaga and @markgkenny.bsky.social on ANU's Democracy Sausage podcast about our polling and what it means for Australian politics Listen here: reporter.anu.edu.au/all-stories/...
How has the preferential voting system masked the decline of the major parties and why is the decline worse for the Liberals and Nationals? 🗳️ #AUListen #DemocracySausage 🎙️ @shaunratcliff.bsky.social @marijataflaga.bsky.social @markgkenny.bsky.social 👉 ausi.anu.edu.au/news/democra...
Listen to the latest episode of ANU's Democracy Sausage podcast, where I talk to Marija and Mark about the January AFR/RedBridge/Accent Research poll, and the potential of a realignment of the Australian party system
Shaun Ratcliff@shaunratcliff.bsky.social · 6mo agoI spoke to Marija Taflaga and @markgkenny.bsky.social on ANU's Democracy Sausage podcast about our polling and what it means for Australian politics Listen here: reporter.anu.edu.au/all-stories/...
The January AFR/RedBridge/Accent Research poll is out now. It shows that since December, the vote share of the former Coalition parties has collapsed further. The Liberal, LNP and National vote is less than half of their pre-election high.
The January AFR/RedBridge/Accent Research poll is out now. It shows that since December, the vote share of the former Coalition parties has collapsed further. The Liberal, LNP and National vote is less than half of their pre-election high.
Just built my own media monitor service in Claude. It searches a set of news outlets for several topics I've specified and emails it to me three times per day. This is going to disrupt a few businesses...
The latest AFR/RedBridge/Accent Research poll is out, this time for NSW state vote intention If a NSW state election were held now, Labor would win in a landslide (2pp 57% to Labor) www.afr.com/politics/swi...
The latest AFR/ RedBridge/ Accent Research poll is now out. Based on a sample nearly 5,000 Australian voters collected over November, shows that consistent with our previous poll, 18% of voters would give One Nation their first preference if an election were held today
The latest AFR/ RedBridge/ Accent Research poll is now out. Based on a sample nearly 5,000 Australian voters collected over November, shows that consistent with our previous poll, 18% of voters would give One Nation their first preference if an election were held today
The November AFR/RedBridge/Accent Research poll is out. The big story is the ongoing decline of the Coalition primary vote, which is down 5 points since Oct, to 24%, 8 points lower than the May election
The November AFR/RedBridge/Accent Research poll is out. The big story is the ongoing decline of the Coalition primary vote, which is down 5 points since Oct, to 24%, 8 points lower than the May election
The 1st publication from the 2025 Cooperative Election survey was launched yesterday prepared by the Macquarie Housing & Urban Research Centre, this report explores perceptions of housing affordability and perceived solutions (thread)
Join us on Wednesday for a free webinar hosted by Macquarie Uni where researchers will present the fascinating insights they have drawn from data collected by Accent Research showing how voters' demographics, backgrounds and economic interests shape housing politics in Australia
Ben Spies-Butcher@bspiesbutcher.bsky.social · 10mo agoHow did #Housing shape the 2025 #auspol Election? Come to our free webinar. We analyse new data to see how generation, tenure and voting shape housing politics With @emmabaker.bsky.social @shaunratcliff.bsky.social and @everybodyshome.bsky.social Maiy Azize events.humanitix.com/webinar-on-h...
Shaun Wilson in the @theconversation.com using data from Accent Research surveys to answer the question "Why has support for One Nation surged since the 2025 federal election?" theconversation.com/why-has-supp...
Why has support for One Nation surged since the 2025 federal election?
With Labor re-elected with a thumping majority, voters at the conservative end of the Coalition are drifting away, spurred by anxieties about immigration.
theconversation.com
