Sheena McMullen

@sheenamcmullen.bsky.social

Senior Policy Advisor in NI for Joseph Rowntree Foundation

📢ICYMI: Last week, JRF launched the Disability and Poverty in NI report. This work was supported by an amazing Research Advisory Group & key organisations involved in providing support services in NI. You can hear some of their thoughts below & find the full report in this 🧵

in 4 people in Northern Ireland live with a disability or limiting long-term health condition but they often experience significantly higher levels of poverty, material deprivation and financial insecurity than non-disabled people. Want to find out more? Webinar link below 🔽

📊 A big change to the way official poverty statistics are constructed comes into effect this year. Family Resources Survey responses and official government benefit records will now be linked for the first time. 📝 In this short explainer video, we take you through what the changes mean.

On 26th March, new poverty stats are out. They'll look different though, with one of the biggest ever changes in methodology. Read why this is short-term pain for long-term gain, and why the changes are a bit like this Formula 1 season: linkedin.com/pulse/next-g...

Next generation poverty statistics

On the 26 March, we will see new, improved poverty statistics in Department for Work and Pensions (DWP)’s Households Below Average Income Statistics. Here's what you need to know.

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🔎Our Poverty in Northern Ireland (2025) report highlighted two consistent challenges emerge in the local labour market: pay and hours. Almost half (45%) of all workers here have experienced low pay in one of the last 5 years.

Image shows JRF branding and small girl crouched down, playing. The text reads: 6 in 10 children in poverty in Northern Ireland live in households where at least one adult is in work.

Many of us think that getting and keeping paid work protects us from poverty. But our report today challenges that view. 🔎 The reality for people in Northern Ireland is that too many are held back by low pay and significant barriers to work that keep them trapped in hardship.

Children are bearing the brunt of poverty in Northern Ireland. Too many families face unthinkable choices between feeding their children or keeping their homes warm. 18 months out from the next Assembly election, our Poverty in NI report looks at the action that's needed 🔽

🏘️ Our Poverty in Northern Ireland report shows housing costs, once a relatively modest pressure compared with other parts of the UK, have become a central risk factor of poverty. Despite ambitious targets, social housing completions have fallen far short of what’s needed.

These are big changes from Govt to protect existing disabled claimants from cuts - Govt has been listening. But new claimants from April 2026 still face deep hardship from cuts, which should be opposed. Over 400,000 new PIP & 700,000 new UC-health claimants will be £'000s worse off in 2029 1/2

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The OBR has not yet been able to forecast any employment gain from the cuts/changes to incapacity & disability benefits MPs are being asked to support around £6.5bn of cuts & increased conditionality for ill & disabled people without any clear assessment of what it will achieve

Text from OBR document: Labour supply impact of Spring Statement welfare and employment support measures: We have not made a comprehensive assessment of the labour supply impacts of those elements of the Green Paper that we have incorporated into the fiscal forecast. The individual measures’ labour market impacts are complex to assess and would have interacting effects. The Government did not provide us with a comprehensive and robust analysis of these potential effects, and we were not, in the very limited time available, able to develop our own analysis of their net impact on labour supply. In addition, some of the wider Green Paper reforms set out above, which are not included in the fiscal forecast, could also have labour market implications. We will make a full assessment of the Green Paper policies’ effects ahead of our next forecast

Confirmation of chunky cuts to SG and NI Executive budgets because of PIP cuts. Big choices for those Ministers as to whether to copy the cruel choices of UKG.

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The Chancellor said today that she would not do anything to put household finances in danger Yet the government’s own assessment shows their cuts to health related benefits risk pushing 250,000 people into poverty, including 50,000 children 📢 Their assessment also found... 1/3

Approx 29,000 children experiencing poverty currently in NI are in households where either a parent or child have a disability, legitimately limiting work as a route out of poverty for their household. PIP = lifeline for many in times of high costs & limited support services

This morning's Office for National Statistics (ONS) figures showed an unexpected slight fall in CPI inflation to 2.5%. This is welcome news for the government, but it also serves as a reminder of their recent commitment to raising real living standards for all. 🧵 (1/4)

Struggling with the decision not to allow Bangor Academy to go through an integration process. Integrated education here is conscious and intentional, in ethos, values and recruitment. When a school says ‘we wanna get better at this, would you help us’, I don’t think the right answer is no.