I wrote this because most journalists facing this pressure can’t. The paper we count on to check authoritarianism spiked an investigation into the Democratic Party because the party’s lawyers threatened to sue. Holding authoritarians accountable starts with holding your own side accountable.

With Fear and Favor

Institutions don’t have courage. They have incentives.

data4democracy.substack.com

NEW #firstonline and #openaccess article 🚨🚨 How can a party become an effective presidential tool? This article traces a process of organisational changes and #personalization for the case of #Ecuador, during Rafael Correa's time in power (2007–2017). 👇 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

Publication alert! 🚨🚨🚨 I am very happy to share my latest publication! This comes from my phd thesis. It was a chapter that pushed me beyond my disciplinary and methodological boundaries. I enjoyed the ride and I am very happy with the result and outlet. A proper thread will come in due course.

JPLA@jplaeditor.bsky.social · 2mo ago

NEW #firstonline and #openaccess article 🚨🚨 How can a party become an effective presidential tool? This article traces a process of organisational changes and #personalization for the case of #Ecuador, during Rafael Correa's time in power (2007–2017). 👇 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

Our (with Radha Sarkar) meta-reanalysis of the experimental religion and politics literature is now out at @apsrjournal.bsky.social Open-access link: doi.org/10.1017/S000... Brief thread

📢 I’m hiring 2 three-year postdocs at Dept of Political Science, @au.dk! Come work with me on The Politics of Shaming and Shamelessness — a new project on elite rhetoric, emotions, norms, hostility and political violence. Deadline: 31 August 2026 Start: Dec 2026–Feb 2027 Please share widely! 🙏

2 three-year postdocs in political communication and political psychology at Aarhus University - Vacancy at Aarhus University

Vacancy at Department of Political Science, Aarhus University

international.au.dk

1/3 A minimum participation rule in a multilateral treaty does not just set a ratification bar — it actively pulls countries across it. New paper out with Carsten Schulz (Cambridge) in Journal of Conflict Resolution 70(6), pp. 1018–1043.

Reaching for the Threshold: How Minimum Participation Rules Facilitate Multilateral Treaty Ratification - Christian Arnold, Carsten-Andreas Schulz, 2026

Uncertainty about other states’ willingness to cooperate often impedes collective action. Many multilateral agreements address this by incorporating Minimum Par...

doi.org

According to this Harvard study, Elon Musk's cuts to USAID through DOGE are responsible for an estimated 400,000 preventable deaths of children in Africa. hsph.harvard.edu/news/usaid-s...

USAID shutdown has led to hundreds of thousands of deaths | Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health

The Trump administration’s decision to shut down the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) has resulted in hundreds of thousands of deaths from infectious diseases and malnutrition, accord...

hsph.harvard.edu

Thrilled that this is out at the APSR! 😀 I document how male elites creatively adapt to electoral reform in Indian village councils. Relevant for how we think about: 1) limits of reforms meant to equalize power, 2) (male) elite capture, 3) the "proxy" representative debate. A (late) 🧵

American Political Science Review@apsrjournal.bsky.social · 4mo ago

From our FirstView: Democratic Deepening or Elite Persistence? How Local Elites Adapt to Electoral Reform in Rural India by @alyssarheinze.bsky.social. doi.org/10.1017/S000...

Good news everyone 🥳 Our (w @vincentab.bsky.social) primer on models as prediction machines (with the marginaleffects package) is finally officially published!> journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

Models as Prediction Machines: How to Convert Confusing Coefficients Into Clear Quantities - Julia M. Rohrer, Vincent Arel-Bundock, 2026

Psychological researchers usually make sense of regression models by interpreting coefficient estimates directly. This works well enough for simple linear model...

journals.sagepub.com

The ICS ranges from 0-200. Republicans are way below where they were with Trump I and about where Dems were under Biden. Dems are even below where Reps were under Biden. Independents have never been lower. The ICS is full of partisanship but when so many things go badly, almost everyone notices.

#OutNow in #iCS This article examines how Freedom Convoy supporters on X have evolved their messaging over time. Early posts focused on mobilisation and logistics, while later ones leaned on anger and fear to hold a shrinking protest community together. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Episodes of sustained protest: temporal patterns of online mobilization on X

The rise of social media has allowed the rapid manifestation of collective actions that are both large in scale and persist over extended periods of time. Yet, little is known about how the mobiliz...

tandfonline.com

My new book, "Unity Through Particularism: How Electoral Reforms Influence Parties and Legislative Behavior," is finally out with Cambridge University Press. A 20% discount is available on the Cambridge site using the code UYTPM25. www.cambridge.org/us/universit...

Francisco was a brilliant scholar and amazing human being. It is wonderful to see a scholarship named after him.

Instituto Juan Linz@institute-juanlinz.bsky.social · 5mo ago

🎓 3 Full Scholarships funded by the Dept. of Social Sciences, the Juan Linz Institute & Banco Santander 📅 Deadline: April 30, 2026 Among them, the *IJL–Francisco Cantú* Scholarship, honoring an exceptional scholar and awarded to the top candidate among recipients Apply 👇 ijlinz.es/en/postgradu...

How much does it pay to publish an open access academic book? Read this thread for my story and 💲💰 amounts. 🧵 www.routledge.com/9781032908724

job Canada Research Chair, Tier 1 in AI & Inequality (Full or Associate Professor) - Western University Closing Date to Apply: Review of applications will begin on April 10, 2026 and continue until the position is filled. csn-rec.ca/job-postings... @cpsa-acsp.bsky.social

📣 Call for Papers (SeLAB 2026) 📣 Submit paper & poster proposals for the 4th annual Southeast Latin American Behavior (SeLAB) mini-conference, Fri, Oct 23, 2026 at University of Maryland, College Park. Submit: forms.gle/GMB62rfo9BNuRY… Hope to see you in Maryland this fall!

“Receiving the Luciano Tomassini Award is truly one of the greatest honours of my career. I accept it with deep humility and gratitude." — @llschenoni.bsky.social Find out more about Dr Luis L. Schenoni' book and award: tinyurl.com/LASASchenoni @ucl.ac.uk #Books #InternationalRelations #LASA

Dr Luis L. Schenoni awarded Luciano Tomassini Latin American International Relations Book Award

UCL Department of Political Science & School of Public Policy is delighted to share that Dr Luis L. Schenoni has been given the prestigious award for his book.

tinyurl.com

If anyone is interested in different forms of racist discourse in text, do I have a paper for you!!!

Sebastián Vallejo Vera@svallejovera.bsky.social · 6mo ago

After a long journey, our paper "Machines Do See Color: Using LLMs to Classify Overt and Covert Racism in Text" is out at Sociological Methods & Research. In it, we develop a theoretically driven approach to identify and classify covert and overt racism in text: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

📣📣📣And, just this morning I learned that @yesolakweon.bsky.social & @jeonghyunkim.bsky.social is available for free download too!! Be sure to get your cooy in the next 2 weeks 🎉📚🦉 www.cambridge.org/core/element...

Double Glass Ceiling

Cambridge Core - Politics: General Interest - Double Glass Ceiling

cambridge.org

“Focusing on the cost of enslavement to the enslaved shows that slavery was a market failure in addition to a moral failure.” via @rickhornbeck.bsky.social & @trevondlogan.bsky.social in 2023 www.chicagobooth.edu/review/emanc... #econsky

Emancipation May Have Generated the Largest Economic Gains in US History

Conventional economic analysis of slavery overlooks the costs imposed upon the people who were enslaved.

chicagobooth.edu

1/ Sorry for double-posting from X. Sharing a new working paper for the Year of the Horce 🐎: "An AI-assisted workflow that scales reproducibility in empirical research" (bit.ly/repro-ai) w/ Leo Yang Yang

It’s official → Registration to #CPSA_ACSP26 is open! See you there? 👉🏽👉🏽 conta.cc/4tqlVCt @jonathanmalloy.bsky.social @emmettmacfarlane.com @queenspols.bsky.social @westernupolisci.bsky.social @jlisayoung.bsky.social @matthewlebo.bsky.social @kaelkropp.bsky.social @joannaeveritt.bsky.social

After a long journey, our paper "Machines Do See Color: Using LLMs to Classify Overt and Covert Racism in Text" is out at Sociological Methods & Research. In it, we develop a theoretically driven approach to identify and classify covert and overt racism in text: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

Sage Journals: Discover world-class research

Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

journals.sagepub.com

After a long journey, our paper "Machines Do See Color: Using LLMs to Classify Overt and Covert Racism in Text" is out at Sociological Methods & Research. In it, we develop a theoretically driven approach to identify and classify covert and overt racism in text: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

Sage Journals: Discover world-class research

Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

journals.sagepub.com

#OpenAccess from @psrm.bsky.social - Beyond the mean: how thinking about the distribution of public opinions reduces politicians’ perceptual errors - https://cup.org/4kltoyE - Nicholas Dias, @jacklucas.bsky.social & @liorsheffer.bsky.social #FirstView

Congrats to Auriane Egal, physics & astronomy adjunct professor and astrophysicist, on being named Radio-Canada's #Scientist of the Year for her work completing the first-ever comprehensive study of an #asteroid tracked from space through to its impact on Earth! @rci.bsky.social ☄️

Auriane Egal, Scientifique de l’année 2025 de Radio-Canada

C'était seulement la septième fois dans l'histoire de l'astronomie qu'un impact d'astéroïde était prédit avec succès avant qu'il ne se produise.

buff.ly

🎺 Call for proposals 🎺 1️⃣ replicate an existing experiment 2️⃣ run a novel experiment on repdata.com 3️⃣ coauthor with Mary McGrath and me to meta-analyze the replications and existing studies 4️⃣ publish your study details: alexandercoppock.com/replication_... applications open Feb 1 please repost!

Meet Professor Laura Stephenson in this week’s Wisdom Wednesdays: Humans of Social Science. From election research to critical citizenship, her story explores how understanding motivation helps us make sense of political life. 🔗 ssc.uwo.ca/humans_ssc/m...

Matt Lebo, on Carney standing up to the bully: “If everybody takes a step forward then you’ve done something successfully and banded the kids together to be a united front against the bullying,” he said. “And if all the kids take one step back, then you’re screwed.” www.thestar.com/politics/fed...

Donald Trump’s turbulent day in Davos ends with hope of ‘forever’ deal on Greenland

The U.S. president has said America must acquire the Danish island to protect against national and international security threats.

thestar.com

⏳ Deadline approaching! We’re hiring 2 fully funded postdocs in #NLP. Join the MilaNLP team and contribute to our upcoming research projects (SALMON & TOLD) 🔗 Details + how to apply: milanlproc.github.io/open_positio... ⏰ Deadline: Jan 31, 2026