In seriousness, I remember at the start of the summer coming across a very touching video of Abdul El-Sayed talking to a woman at a town hall in the UP who had been struggling with a cancer diagnosis + paying for healthcare. That's an issue that hits close to home for me!

Another county I was waiting on has fully reported: Marquette County, the UP's lone blueberry in an ocean of red, comes in strong for Abdul El-Sayed: He wins about 58% of the vote to Stevens' 36%.

Much more reported now: Abdul still dominant here, but not by as much. He's winning it with "only" 62% of the vote now.

Con Flambers@themagicconch19.bsky.social · 16h ago

Grand Traverse County in northwest Michigan going BEAST MODE for Abdul: it's his best county, with him getting about 71% of the vote (caveat: only 17% of the vote in, we'll see if that holds!)

Just made this, thoughts, people who don't believe in yooper supremacy? (wrong people, btw)

Con Flambers@themagicconch19.bsky.social · 15h ago

Abdul El-Sayed is gonna win the UP... Yoopers for Abdul, come through

Abdul El-Sayed is gonna win the UP... Yoopers for Abdul, come through

We're looking at... I dunno, El-Sayed +4 or 5 by the time it's done? I'm a Wisconsin guy, I moonlight as a Minnesota and Michigan guy

Working on Ukrainian to pass the time here. It's still geroyam slava, by the way

Now Dearborn has 31 out of 42 precincts in so far, with El-Sayed beating Stevens 87% to 12%

Con Flambers@themagicconch19.bsky.social · 16h ago

One county in Michigan that's reported little: Genesee, home of Flint. Only 24% in. Some notable areas that we have little to nothing from -Flint -Saginaw -Kalamazoo -Dearborn -Flint -Marquette -Lots of non-Detroit parts of Wayne County generally

One county in Michigan that's reported little: Genesee, home of Flint. Only 24% in. Some notable areas that we have little to nothing from -Flint -Saginaw -Kalamazoo -Dearborn -Flint -Marquette -Lots of non-Detroit parts of Wayne County generally

Grand Traverse County in northwest Michigan going BEAST MODE for Abdul: it's his best county, with him getting about 71% of the vote (caveat: only 17% of the vote in, we'll see if that holds!)

I think an honest evaluation of the evidence suggests that El-Sayed is clearly favored, but that his victory is going to be in the single digits, and thus below expectations (seems like the conventional wisdom had him winning more in the 10-15 range, and that sounded reasonable to me)

My eyebrows raised a bit when I saw Stevens was winning Marquette County, the lone blueberry in the UP's sea of tomato soup (not my line). And then I saw it was ~10% reported. Good reminder to not draw broad conclusions from small portions of votes.

Re rural Michigan's results: seems like El-Sayed is doing well in the UP and on the cherry coast (northwest Michigan) and Stevens is doing very well in mid Michigan and northern Michigan more broadly.

Can we get some more UP votes here? Hashtag Yoopers for Abdul

In WI-03 news: there's a type of guy who loves to reply to Rebecca Cooke posts, I guess in the hopes that she's looking for love in the comments of her campaign accounts, because that's clearly where one goes to look for human connection: amid a torrent of weirdos calling you a communist

Part of me would like to vote for Roys, since I actually do like her, but like... a good poll for her has her at like 6% lol Personally, my experience of this primary has less been "oh my god, it's so negative!" (has felt honestly mostly rather tame) and more so, "oh my god, this is unsatisfying"

Does seem like Michigan Senate is tightening a decent bit as more votes get counted!

I'm not a Special Politics Guy so I don't get to see this stuff, but I think one way you can understand Evers' odd behavior in our gov primary is that the WisDems have polling data showing Hong losing to Tiffany. That suddenly makes his decisions a bit more discernible. Just speculation, of course!

Tbh looking at these (Very early) drops, think the expectation at this point is if El-Sayed basically meets or exceeds expectations (my understanding is the conventional wisdom has him winning by low double digits or so, that's def what the polls have looked like). But if he cracks, say, 60%...

Susan Collins announcing she'll vote against a controversial nominee is basically the moment it becomes clear that nominee will be confirmed. It means Thune has enough votes to confirm, and thus, Collins gets a pass to look independent.

They know voters hate this shit. So they wait until Blanche has the votes for Collins to come out against him. So she can claim to be a moderate. So she gets reelected. So she can spend the next two years voting for more Todd Blanches.

Collins Watch@collinswatch.bsky.social · 22h ago

Susan comes out against Todd Blanche now that he's got the votes. So tiresome. (We called it: tinyurl.com/3bepafkz) #MEpolitics

1. this guy fucking sucks, dude. It's no wonder he's in the Republican Party, considering who leads them and the resentful, misogynistic men they court. 2. Congratulations Brian Poindexter, I guess

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com · 22h ago

Rep. Max Miller: "When I was reported for child abuse of my daughter for a broken collarbone, my daughter was in my ex-wife's care 9 out of the last 11 days and she took her to the emergency room, which is a contempt violation from our shared parenting plan."

One reason I am curious about how Michigan's primary turns out: I want to see how the UP votes, since they're Wisconsin's hat.

"The way to stop fascism is to improve peoples' lives" is a real [citation needed] moment. Life expectancy under Biden went up after it dropped under Trump, overdose deaths started to drop, more people than ever had healthcare. Were things perfect? No. Are they any better now, tho?

The Wisconsin gubernatorial election will be a test of whether bad posts from 2020 are more important than trying to overturn an election in 2020.

we all remember his gleeful destruction, he can't rewrite this history

Sky Marchini@sky.skymarchini.net · 2d ago

are we in hell?

Yeah we obviously are, but I do think one reason we need to talk about USAID way more than we currently do is because Musk is clearly starting to feel worried about his crimes here.

Sky Marchini@sky.skymarchini.net · 2d ago

are we in hell?

I do love how Tom Tiffany talks about "Madison politicians." My dude, you WERE a Madison politician who then went on to be a Washington politician.

Con Flambers@themagicconch19.bsky.social · 2d ago

I do think people may underrate how effective this shtick might be against a candidate like Hong in particular. And let's not ignore the elephant in the room: Hong is a Korean-American woman from the state's most liberal city. "She's not like us REAL Wisconsinites!" will be used as a line of attack.

Pretty clear that Tom Tiffany's campaign strategy is to portray himself as the moderate choice: highlight Hong's past comments on wanting to abolish the police, do some good ole red baiting, and vaguely talk about cost of living issues. Just don't ask him about his voting record in the House.

Just want it to be clear that this guy being prominent among gun fetishists and him talking about women like this are two sides of the same coin.

Chris Hayes@chrislhayes.bsky.social · 2d ago

It was this one, and, yes, I do believe that was an All In first.