@theoharris.bsky.social

Advocating for a better economics @ New Economics Foundation

Current inflation is actually much lower than the headlines and most media commentary would seem to imply. Yes the CPI did rise by 3.8% in the 12 months from October 2024 to September 2025. But since April, CPI has only been rising at an annualised rate of 1.9%.

I'm glad NEF are are one of 11 NGOs calling today for the Bank of England to stop holding back the green transition. IMHO the Bank's outdated narrow-mindedness has led to an intransigence which is undermining not only the transition, but the UK's chances of economic prosperity and stability.

New Economics Foundation@neweconomics.bsky.social · last yr.

WARNING: The Bank of England is holding back the government’s plans for clean energy and higher living standards. That’s why we’ve joined with leading economic and environmental organisations to urge MPs to put pressure on the Bank to support the green transition. 1/3

Blue text on white background. Text reads: The Bank of England is holding back the green transition. Leading economic and environmental organisations are joining together to urge MPs to put pressure on the Back to support the green transition.

Thought I would try my hand at AI-powered satirical cartooning, in reaction to this government's rhetoric about the role of the financial sector and the need to de-regulate.

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The ECB must turn its compelling arguments on climate and nature into concrete policy action. In the last few years we've seen: ⌚ constant delays on greening the collateral framework 🔻 high rates brutalising the renewables industry 💨 green tilting made redundant by QT Time to put this right!

New Economics Foundation@neweconomics.bsky.social · last yr.

Today the European Central Bank published it's strategy statement and it was good to see them acknowledge the implications of climate change for price stability and financial stability. BUT we urgently need them to put that learning into practice...

Those blaming Reeves entirely for jobs cuts forget to mention that the Bank of England is purposefully trying to increase unemployment and depress wage-growth. Our outdated inflation-targeting framework is completely inept for dealing with supply-side shocks; and workers always pay the price.

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I think it's great that there's a spending boost for the NHS and for education, and higher capital investment all round. But this has essentially come at the expense of not increasing (or even cutting) spending in the other departments. In aggregate, not exactly national renewal.

New Economics Foundation@neweconomics.bsky.social · last yr.

This may not be an austerity #SpendingReview, but it certainly isn't the start of a decade of renewal. Departmental spending will be increasing at its lowest rate since the 2015 spending review from George Osbourne. 1/2

Chart showing department spending is set to increase at the lowest rate since the 2015 spending review

Had my first live radio interview on Sunday morning! Hopefully I said something sensible about resilience and protecting the hardest-off from global economic shocks…

New Economics Foundation@neweconomics.bsky.social · last yr.

"as well as trying to do trade deals, the (UK) government should be focusing on providing an adequate social security system to protect people from poverty" NEF's @theoharris.bsky.social discusses the latest on what Trump's tariffs and related rulings mean for the UK, on BBC Radio London.

My new report on the question: Should the ECB pretend that 2022 never happened? Short answer: no

Max Krahé@maxkrahe.bsky.social · last yr.

Tomorrow, the @ecb.europa.eu Gov Council starts its annual retreat. On the agenda: the first strategy review since the post-pandemic inflation wave. Today, we're publishing @jvtk.bsky.social's report on the review. How can the ECB better deliver price stability? Here's the gist 👇🧵. Link at end 1/9

At the end of a slightly terrifying week, where a major financial crisis was averted – for now – I thought I’d reflect on whether such a crisis might happen anyway, and what this means for UK financial sector policy. A thread. /1

As the Chancellor reaches for growth there's one place she won't find it - OBR forecasts. OBR multipliers devalue public spending and keep us in a doom-loop of austerity Our new report offers a framework that flexibly embraces the positive potential of public spending

The front cover of a NEF report titled "Forecasting a better future: The case for a 'bucket approach' to fiscal multipliers"

Excited by this new concept from my colleagues - an extreme wealth line. Like a mirror of the extreme poverty line: to set a level for when too much individual accumulation is unhealthy for societies

New Economics Foundation@neweconomics.bsky.social · 2y ago

NEW: How much wealth is too much?🤔 In partnership with @patrioticmillionaires.org we've published a new report exploring the case for an Extreme Wealth Line. We spoke to politicians, policy makers and millionaires to get their thoughts on the concept - here's some of what we found.

Text: Exploring an extreme wealth line, insights from political figures, policy experts and millionaires on a threshold for harmful wealth

I'm pretty furious if the rumours are true that the chancellor is planning to support airport expansion. This would spit in the face of all our other efforts to limit global warming, and won't even bring economic growth: just sending more Brits to spend their £s overseas. Convince me otherwise?

New Economics Foundation@neweconomics.bsky.social · 2y ago

Reeves' plan to drive growth through airport expansion suggests they haven't done their homework. It won't create the growth she so desperately wants. Business air travel has collapsed and the UK is sending 3 times as many tourists out of the country as it is bringing in. 1/3

Screengrab from Independent. Text reads: Rachel Reeves to back Heathrow third runway in bid for economic growth
Government could back much-delayed plan for third runway at Heathrow, as well as expansion of Gatwick and Luton airports

It's a mistake for the Bank of England to keep rates higher for longer, punishing workers and mortgage-payers. We’re living under a broken macroeconomic framework where, whatever happens, it’s the hard-at-heel who pay the price and banks that reap the profits.

Today's wage data: a sign of "unanchored inflation expectations"? Or just workers' pay catching up with where it was in 2021. Higher wages are a good thing. It's disappointing to see the media report today's data as bad news. The problem isn't wages going up, it's our monetary policy framework...

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