Plausible record-shattering heat extremes Several recent forecast cycles have shown the possibility of >41°C in northern Switzerland and southern Germany during the first week of August. For many Swiss stations, this would exceed the current all-time record by 2–4°C.

Can climate models reproduce observed trends? The answer can be challenging. Our new review paper in Science Advances led by Isla Simpson and Tiffany Shaw @drshaw.bsky.social discusses challenges and ways forward in confronting climate models and observations. www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

We made a short video on our paper 'how to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather' 👇

Climate Adaptation Services (CAS)@stichtingcas.bsky.social · last yr.

Our new Nature Communications paper, led by Timo Kelder with coauthor Lisette Klok and an incredible team, explores how we can anticipate extreme weather before disaster strikes and build resilience to its impacts. 📽️ Watch this short video to learn more! 👇@naturecomms.bsky.social

It’s rare these days for an article to get me excited but this one sets out some excellent perspectives. #climatestorylines #unprecedentedweather #adapt www.nature.com/articles/s41...

How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather - Nature Communications

Unprecedented weather events are increasingly impacting societies worldwide. This Perspective explores methods to anticipate such hazards, and it highlights the role of transformative, incremental, an...

nature.com

New perspective article by Kelder et al. explores methods to anticipate unprecedented #weather events and highlights the role of transformative, incremental, and reactive #adaptation strategies to achieve enhanced #resilience. @stichtingcas.bsky.social www.nature.com/articles/s41...

How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather - Nature Communications

Unprecedented weather events are increasingly impacting societies worldwide. This Perspective explores methods to anticipate such hazards, and it highlights the role of transformative, incremental, an...

nature.com

For folks working with communities on climate action there is some excellent framing. Paying attention to stories helps process the new extreme/ reality & need for transformation. A story that resonated with me this year was ice rinks going out of business. We must respond.

Timo Kelder@timokelder.bsky.social · last yr.

1/ How to Stop Being Surprised by Unprecedented Weather Our new @naturecomms.bsky.social paper provides our multi-author perspective on methods to anticipate extreme weather and reduce impacts, shifting from reacting with surprise towards resilience. 🔗 Read it here: doi.org/10.1038/s414... 🧵⬇️

What do we do with this information? More transformative adaptation in advance to ensure greater resilience means less reactive adaptation required when the unprecedented event occurs.

Enjoyed being involved in this new perspective led by @timokelder.bsky.social, where we show the value of using multiple lines of evidence to assess plausible yet unprecedented extreme events that we need to be preparing for 🌍🌧️🌀🌡️

Timo Kelder@timokelder.bsky.social · last yr.

1/ How to Stop Being Surprised by Unprecedented Weather Our new @naturecomms.bsky.social paper provides our multi-author perspective on methods to anticipate extreme weather and reduce impacts, shifting from reacting with surprise towards resilience. 🔗 Read it here: doi.org/10.1038/s414... 🧵⬇️

How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather? Transformative adaptation, foundation for long-term resilience, supported by incremental adaptation through upgrading existing infrastructure, and reactive adaptation - early action and disaster response. www.nature.com/articles/s41...

How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather

Nature Communications - Unprecedented weather events are increasingly impacting societies worldwide. This Perspective explores methods to anticipate such hazards, and it highlights the role of...

nature.com

How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather Kelder et al. discusses a multitude of ways that we could anticipate unprecedented weather events that might otherwise be a surprise rdcu.be/ecWQF

How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather

Nature Communications - Unprecedented weather events are increasingly impacting societies worldwide. This Perspective explores methods to anticipate such hazards, and it highlights the role of...

rdcu.be

How can we stop being surprised by unprecedented weather? Led by @timokelder.bsky.social (+many other colleagues) look at this in a new OA paper in @naturecomms.bsky.social. In particular, we discuss methods for that help anticipate unprecedented weather hazards. www.nature.com/articles/s41...

We have seen many record-shattering and unprecedented weather extremes in recent years. In the paper led by @timokelder.bsky.social we review methods on how to stop being surprised by the next one.

Ed Hawkins@edhawkins.org · last yr.

How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather Kelder et al. discusses a multitude of ways that we could anticipate unprecedented weather events that might otherwise be a surprise rdcu.be/ecWQF

Excited to have been part of this perspective, led by @timokelder.bsky.social, discussing how society can build resilience to, rather than be surprised by, unprecedented weather: 💪 vs 😱 Includes a review of methods to anticipate events, and discussion on adaptation practice and disaster management.

Ed Hawkins@edhawkins.org · last yr.

How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather Kelder et al. discusses a multitude of ways that we could anticipate unprecedented weather events that might otherwise be a surprise rdcu.be/ecWQF

1/ How to Stop Being Surprised by Unprecedented Weather Our new @naturecomms.bsky.social paper provides our multi-author perspective on methods to anticipate extreme weather and reduce impacts, shifting from reacting with surprise towards resilience. 🔗 Read it here: doi.org/10.1038/s414... 🧵⬇️

Just for the record, a complete 🧵 of my 🧵 on adaptation. bsky.app/profile/lisa... Part I

Prof Lisa Schipper 🌍🍉💪@lisaschipper.bsky.social · 2y ago

Since COP29 is turning into an adaptation COP, I am bringing some of my past threads on adaptation from another place here. PART I: A 🧵 on adaptation and development over the years, digging deep back to the 1990s through to current scholarship.

#EGU24 High-impact climate events After a year of countless record-breaking extremes, we organize (again) an #EGU24 session on understanding and quantifying such high-impact climate events and developing storylines for them! Submit your abstract here: meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU24/sessio...