📉 #TourDeFrance impacted by climate change (July temperatures in France) – @vikkithompson.bsky.social 2️⃣ bsky.app/profile/vikk... ⬇️
Vikki Thompson
@vikkithompson.bsky.social
Climate scientist at the University of Edinburgh. Researching weather and climate extremes. Climate modelling, statistics, attribution.
🚴♂️Today #TourDeFrance races into #Paris to finish this years' edition. We have seen stages shortened due to extreme heat and wildfire – a direct impact of #ClimateChange 🧵1/4
🚴♂️Today #TourDeFrance races into #Paris to finish this years' edition. We have seen stages shortened due to extreme heat and wildfire – a direct impact of #ClimateChange 🧵1/4
🔥🥵🔥This summer the UK is experiencing unprecedented wildfires - many near urban areas. Following the heatwave of 2022 we showed climate change is leading to increasing fire weather in the UK. doi.org/10.1002/cli2... @hcbloomfield19.bsky.social @nathanaelmelia.bsky.social @climatedann.bsky.social
Detecting Rising Wildfire Risks for South East England
In July 2022 southeast England experienced a record breaking heatwave and unprecedented wildfires in urban areas. We investigate fire weather trends since 1960 in southeast England using a large ense...
doi.org
⛈️ Edinburgh, June 2026 ⛈️ As foretold by UKCP18 and others, we are seeing an increase in extreme heat and heavy rainfall in summer, and feeling the impacts of both.
📣Calling all Scotland-based climate scientists: Abstract submission for the second annual Scottish Climate Science Network Workshop now open! forms.office.com/e/brhjAJ0WEK
What happens if you replay real weather from 1903 and “turn up the heat”? While temperatures rise across the board, the most noticeable increases occur during cold snaps and warm spells. ncas.ac.uk/turning-up-t... #earth-science #SciComm 🧪
What would 1903 weather look like today under climate change? - NCAS
Climate scientists are now replaying the past to predict the future, to show how everyday weather could feel in a warmer world.
ncas.ac.uk
It’s London Climate Action Week! And how appropriate that a major heatwave is settling in across much of Europe. For most of us, an uncomfortable inconvenience. For the vulnerable, a severe health risk. And for everyone, a reminder that climate change is already here. #LCAW2026
Successive record-breaking European heatwaves in the same summer - as we are experiencing now - are exactly what @drlaurasuarez.bsky.social shows could happen: www.nature.com/articles/s43...
Worst-case European heat storylines generated using ensemble boosting - Communications Earth & Environment
Worst-case European heatwaves occur predominantly after another extreme heatwave, compounding danger to ecosystems, according to analyses of worst-case Earth system model simulations.
nature.com
In Edinburgh this weekend? Why not come along to #PeopleFest I'm speaking at an event where we will consider, in this changing climate, how catastrophe and the mundane interwoven and balanced against each other in our daily lives. Register for free here: shorturl.at/aqutE
Imagine the same synoptic weather patterns occurred in a warmer world. How would our experience of the weather be different? Warmer? Yes Wetter? Only on the wettest 10% of days Everyday weather in a warmer world by Thomas et al.: egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/20...
Extreme rainfall will become more frequent and intense in a warmer climate, however not every event follows the general trend In our new study we show the Ahr floods of 2021 may have been the perfect storm: rdcu.be/fh2YW @erichfischer.bsky.social @knmi.nl @ivm-vu-amsterdam.bsky.social
Comparing multiple attribution methods increases confidence in conclusions - we need all the puzzle pieces to see the full picture 🧩🌀☀️🌧️🧩 Hear more about the many different weather and climate #attribution methods at #EGU26 today, including Shirin Ermis' talk on method comparisons, 1045 in room F1
Where is most susceptible to record breaking humid heat? 🥵🌡️🔥 Today at #EGU26, @regclimo.bsky.social will tell you, room 2.24 from 1400. @drlaurasuarez.bsky.social @karinvdwiel.bsky.social Paper: agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...
How would extreme events differ in warmer or cooler climates? Initial results from our project ReBASE are being shown at #EGU26 this afternoon. Catch Rhidian Thomas at his poster, X5.151 from 1615. ed-hawkins.github.io/ReBASE/resul...
This morning at #EGU26 @tamarahappe.bsky.social is presenting our work on operational multi-method #attriibution. Chat to her at poster X3.56 from 10.45! vikki-thompson.github.io/images/EGU26...
Last day to submit an abstract to EMS...
Working on impact attribution of extreme weather events? Submit to our session at the EMS Annual Meeting in Utrecht in September! meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EMS2026/sess... @tamarahappe.bsky.social @sannemuis.bsky.social
At least one person is super excited about the prospect of counterfactual reanalysis-based storylines! Discussing many potential uses within the energy sector today 🌬️☀️⚡ vikki-thompson.github.io/images/ReBAS...
Join us at the #EMS26, the European Meteorological Society meeting this September in Utrecht for our session on high-impact extremes! 📍 UP3.7. High-impact climate extremes: physical understanding, storylines, impacts and projections lnkd.in/efWVVCYX Abstract submission deadline is 27th of March.
Working on impact attribution of extreme weather events? Submit to our session at the EMS Annual Meeting in Utrecht in September! meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EMS2026/sess... @tamarahappe.bsky.social @sannemuis.bsky.social
⚡9 days left to submit your #EGU26 abstract, if you work on weather and climate hazards consider our session: www.egu26.eu/session/56049 @tamarahappe.bsky.social @yinglintian.bsky.social @kornhuber.bsky.social @karinvdwiel.bsky.social @regclimo.bsky.social
Two exciting postdoc positions available! Historical windstorms - working with two insurance companies to explore UK wind risks: jobs.reading.ac.uk/Job/JobDetai... Extreme event storylines - working as part of a EU collaboration on event attribution: jobs.reading.ac.uk/Job/JobDetai...
Where have the greatest humid heat extremes been observed? Where is statistically likely to see unprecedented extremes? New study led by @regclimo.bsky.social investigates:
What do we talk about when we talk about unprecedentedness? Without a clear baseline, understanding & preparedness for climate extremes may be out of whack. We sought to improve this for humid heat in our new paper out now in @aguadvances.bsky.social: agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...
Can simple circulation analogues detect observed changes in extreme rainfall? In many cases, no. Rainfall is too complex and circulation alone cannot predict it. 🧵1/2 🌧️ New paper 🌧️ iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
We are very delighted to have @karinvdwiel.bsky.social and @regclimo.bsky.social as invited speakers in our #EGU26 session on NH11.2 Future Changes in Weather and Climate Hazards! Consider to present your fantastic work with us!! @nh.egu.eu @pik-potsdam.bsky.social
👻🎃 It's that time of year again, time to start thinking about #EGU26! 🔥🌧️🌀 Our session on Future Changes in Weather and Climate Hazards is now open for abstract submissions 🔥🌧️🌀 meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU26/sessio... @tamarahappe.bsky.social @yinglintian.bsky.social @kornhuber.bsky.social
Looking for a #PhD in #ClimateExtremes? We are advertising a project attributing causes of recent #droughts using counter-factual storylines. Based in #Edinburgh, working with Andrew Schurer, me, @gabihegerl.bsky.social, & @edhawkins.org tinyurl.com/5n7b52fr
☀️🌧️ Extreme weather events are increasing 🌀🌤 Our new paper discusses the range of extreme weather attribution methods available and how we should be combining them to improve confidence in our attribution statements with co-authors: @marylouathanase.bsky.social & Shirin Ermis doi.org/10.1002/wea....
The need for multi‐method extreme event attribution
Over the past 20 years, extreme event attribution has developed rapidly, providing a wide range of methods to attribute weather events – from unconditioned probabilistic to strongly conditioned story...
rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
👻🎃 It's that time of year again, time to start thinking about #EGU26! 🔥🌧️🌀 Our session on Future Changes in Weather and Climate Hazards is now open for abstract submissions 🔥🌧️🌀 meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU26/sessio... @tamarahappe.bsky.social @yinglintian.bsky.social @kornhuber.bsky.social
Experiencing extreme heat first hand today in Cantabria, and the 5 year old is enjoying quizzing me on a topic I am happy to discuss in detail - but I'm not sure if these could be fire clouds on the horizon?
Europe's current climate could produce a 'mega heatwave', feat. more than a month of +40C temps & intense drought Extra scary fact: The worst-case heatwaves occur predominantly after another extreme heatwave. In other words, rolling waves of deadly heat www.newscientist.com/article/2491...
Europe could face weeks of 40°C heat in current worst-case scenario
A perfect storm of conditions priming the atmosphere for extreme heat could result in devastating droughts and deadly temperatures lasting for weeks across Europe
newscientist.com