Cool paper, @nilsblossey.bsky.social!

British Journal of Political Science@bjpols.bsky.social · 12mo ago

NEW - Austerity and Social Spending: Estimating the Long-Run Effects of Fiscal Adjustment - cup.org/4oAi3MF "Ageing populations and slower growth have compelled governments in mature welfare states to implement fiscal adjustments" ‬ - @nilsblossey.bsky.social #OpenAccess

The current state of AI for sustained work: exponential progress continues with no unexpected leaps but also no walls. (The METR measure is just one of many benchmarks, and like all benchmarks has flaws, but also has the advantage of have neither a ceiling or floor effect) metr.org/blog/2025-03...

Irritating Discourse Cliche - "The Public Are Frustrated With Mainstream Politics" - up there with vague references to "the dangers of populism". Look at the last century of democratic politics - * Pre WW2 * Post-War * Post-Post-War

New AI regulations suggested by the White House mirror changes to environmental permitting suggested by Meta and a lobbying group representing firms like Google and Amazon Web Services. www.wired.com/story/big-te...

Big Tech Asked for Looser Clean Water Act Permitting. Trump Wants to Give It to Them

New AI regulations suggested by the White House mirror changes to environmental permitting suggested by Meta and a lobbying group representing firms like Google and Amazon Web Services.

wired.com

New WP w/ @riazsascha.bsky.social: via >42 million placebo tests, we show type I error inflation in Unexpected Event during Survey Designs (UESD), propose an adjustment, implement via new R package uesdRobust, and demonstrate utility by replicating two top UESD studies. osf.io/preprints/os... 1/9

Cool paper showing that unemployment risks causally increase demand for welfare state insurance (in Denmark): doi.org/10.1111/ajps...

@mbusemeyer.bsky.social, @slstutzmann.bsky.social, and I have a new article in the special issue "Greening the Economy: Toward a New Political Economy" in @reggovjournal.bsky.social, now out in print. The article is open access — read it here: dx.doi.org/10.1111/rego...

Digitalization and the green transition: Different challenges, same policy responses?

How do citizens perceive labor market risks related to digitalization and the green transition, and how do these risk perceptions translate into preferences for social policies? We address these ques...

dx.doi.org

I've been a huge fan of Mr. Hussman's monthly market comments for years. Always informative and thought-provoking, he goes well beyond market analysis, weaving in broader social and economic themes. Just brilliant. Highly recommend!

John P. Hussman, Ph.D.@hussmanjp.bsky.social · last yr.

The April comment includes a fresh signal from our Recession Warning Composite (which tipped on Tuesday - Wednesday just made it worse), and detailed analysis, charts, and data on markets, debt, deficits, profits, and even "waste, fraud, and abuse." www.hussmanfunds.com/comment/mc25...

Terrific lineup for our Comparative Politics & Political Economy series this summer,incl @clandwehr.bsky.social @finseraas.bsky.social @eunjikim.bsky.social @ccavaille.bsky.social @anewq.bsky.social & @valentimvicente.bsky.social . Thanks for organizing @tobiastober.bsky.social @na-wehl.bsky.social

We just launched a call for a workshop and special issue proposal on "The Politics of AI"! Excited to see many great submissions—join us in Oxford!

Matthias Haslberger@mhaslberger.bsky.social · last yr.

📢Special issue and workshop on "The Politics of AI: Citizen Perceptions, Preferences, and Priorities" 📢 We aim to bring together cutting-edge research on the political ramifications of AI for a workshop in Oxford and a special issue in a leading political science journal.(1/2)

We just launched a call for a workshop and special issue proposal on "The Politics of AI"! Excited to see many great submissions—join us in Oxford!

Matthias Haslberger@mhaslberger.bsky.social · last yr.

📢Special issue and workshop on "The Politics of AI: Citizen Perceptions, Preferences, and Priorities" 📢 We aim to bring together cutting-edge research on the political ramifications of AI for a workshop in Oxford and a special issue in a leading political science journal.(1/2)

How do attitudes to 🇪🇺 European integration relate to political ideology and policy preferences? A major update of my study: - I added the latest 2023 ESS data for citizens and 2024 CHES data for parties - I built an app to explore these relationships across datasets, indicators, years & countries

I'm not a China expert, just an interested observer. But if you compare how China regularly celebrates the return of successful scientists with the way science is being treated in the US under Trump, the contrast could hardly be greater.

“The Rise of Affective Polarization: Is It What We Think, or Who We Are?” by John Konicki Preprint: osf.io/preprints/osf...

Important: Commission plan ‘Rearm Europe’ will not require unanimity. Hungary and Slovakia cannot block it on their own ec.europa.eu/commission/p...

Press statement by President von der Leyen on the defence package

We are living in the most momentous and dangerous of times. I do not need to describe the grave nature of the threats that we face. Or the devastating consequences that we will have to endure if those

ec.europa.eu

Trade with less developed countries reduces unionization in rich democracies. Global value chains lead to union decline even in countries with the most union-friendly institutions journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

Global Value Chains and Union Decline in Rich Democracies - Matthew C. Mahutga, Manjing Gao, Roshan K. Pandian, 2025

This article reassesses the classic thesis linking the globalization of production to union decline. Our argument is three-fold. First, prior literature does no...

journals.sagepub.com

Well, the next Boris Johnson column is going to be a doozy

Big tech has a tremendous impact on democracy 🚨New report out w focus on misinformation, content moderation & generative AI Team @anjabechmann.bsky.social @adler-nissen.bsky.social @madshovethy.bsky.social @golovchenko.bsky.social @fghjorth.bsky.social👏 Details⬇️ www.linkedin.com/posts/claes-...

Claes de Vreese on LinkedIn: Big tech has a tremendous impact on our democracies and societies. We…

Big tech has a tremendous impact on our democracies and societies. We presented our new report at a public hearing in The Danish Parliament - Folketinget. The…

linkedin.com

Come work with us! In my research group, we have two four-year PhD positions available in comparative politics. Happy to answer questions per email. Please share the ad. You can find the ad here: stellen.uni-konstanz.de/jobposting/d...

Erstaunlich, wie aktuell dieses Strauß-Interview von Günter Gaus—aufgenommen kurz nach der Niederschlagung des Prager Frühlings—heute wirkt: youtu.be/DI7Kw9TWS98?...

Günter Gaus im Gespräch mit Franz Josef Strauß (1968)

YouTube video by Leo Dietrich

youtu.be

DeepSunk

Carl Quintanilla@carlquintanilla.bsky.social · last yr.

(Bloomberg) - Microsoft Corp. has begun canceling leases for a substantial amount of datacenter capacity in the US, a move that may reflect concerns about whether it’s building more AI computing than it will need over the long term, TD Cowen said in a report. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

We streamlined six new DID-like estimators and created this tutorial for implementation in R. yiqingxu.org/packages/fec... Hope you no longer need to spend months figuring out what these estimators are and how to use them.

I am keeping a diary of daily events, as they unfold open.substack.com/pub/adamprze... It is available to everyone. I am new to Substack, so please let me know if something is wrong with the link or the file.

Diary

Week 1

open.substack.com

Last week, Sharon Baute and I were honored to receive the In_equality ECR Excellence Award from @excinequality.bsky.social for our recent paper in @bjpols.bsky.social! 🎉 #HonoredToBeHonored (hashtag credit to the great Tom Waits)

From our new issue: "Explaining Rural Conservatism: Political Consequences of Technological Change in the Great Plains" by Aditya Dasgupta and Elena Ramirez. #APSRNewIssue www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Read our new paper on how the economic empowerment of one generation of women drives greater political officeholding for the next 💪✨

British Journal of Political Science@bjpols.bsky.social · 2y ago

#OpenAccess from our latest issue - Working Mothers and Political Daughters: Intergenerational Dynamics of Women's Political Officeholding - cup.org/3Wujhgi - Moa Frödin Gruneau & @johannarickne.bsky.social

The application deadline for doctoral positions in #PoliticalEconomy and #EconomicSociology is fast approaching. We look forward to receiving your application by February 28. 👉 career.mpifg.de/jobposting/9... 👉 career.mpifg.de/jobposting/1...

Max-Planck-Institut für Gesellschaftsforschung (MPIfG)@mpifg.bsky.social · 2y ago

📣 Two new calls for doctoral students! For our IMPRS-SPCE program we’re seeking doctoral researchers with a master’s degree in sociology, political science, economics, or a related field. Details and links below. Please share widely! @unicologne.bsky.social @unidue.bsky.social 🧵 1/3

Our article 'A Crisis of Political Trust?' led by @viktorv.bsky.social is now out in @bjpols.bsky.social! We use >3,000 surveys in 143 countries between 1958 and 2019, finding that trust in representative institutions has generally been declining in recent decades. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...