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Torkild Hovde Lyngstad

@torkildl.bsky.social

Master procrastinator. UiO wage slave as sociology professor.

367 Posts1291 Follower3522 Folgt
Dr. Aaron Thierry@thierryaaron.bsky.social · 2d ago

A first year above 2C in the mid-2030s now looks plausible. 0.5C was first passed in 1980, 1.0C in 2010 and 1.5C in 2024. The 15-year trend runs at 0.42C per decade. The 2026 and 2027 points for the current El Nino are estimates. We're not remotely ready!

Line chart titled "A first year above 2 C in the mid-2030s looks increasingly plausible". It shows global mean surface temperature from 1940 to 2050 as the annual anomaly against the 1850 to 1900 baseline, in degrees C. Data is ERA5 from Copernicus, running to 31 July 2026. A thin gold line shows individual years, wobbling around a thick dark blue smoothed trend. Both sit near 0.2 C through the 1940s to the early 1970s, then climb steadily from the mid-1970s onward. Three red dots mark the first year each threshold was passed. 0.5 C in 1980, 1.0 C in 2010 and 1.5 C in 2024. Labels beneath note the gap of 30 years between the first two and 14 years between the second and third. Everything above 1.5 C is shaded pink. Two dashed lines run forward from 2025. A blue line follows the 15-year trend of 0.42 C per decade and reaches 2 C in 2037. A fainter grey line follows the 30-year trend of 0.27 C per decade and reaches 2 C in 2044. Two orange circles mark estimates for the developing El Niño, at about 1.5 C for 2026 and about 1.7 C for 2027.
PM2.5 Kills ~9 Million People Each Year Worldwide@tkovach.bsky.social · 3d ago

I remember when right wing media regularly used to play the clip of Al Gore saying "the planet has a fever" during his Congressional testimony in 2007 to make fun of him. But the planet has a fever, and it keeps getting worse

Zeke Hausfather@zekehausfather.com · 3d ago

I'm not sure folks have realized just how crazy the second half of 2026 and 2027 will be for global temperatures – on the back of a record-smashing El Niño event. Here is my latest estimate of where both years will end up compared to global temperatures since 1850.

Torkild Hovde Lyngstad@torkildl.bsky.social · last wk.

Family research often looks at effects of parents on children, but it's a two-way street! Check out our new paper in @pnas.org on evocative effects on family demographic outcomes in MoBa. Kids with much ADHD genes influence their parents' dissolution risk. www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/... 1/x

When children shape their families: Evocative effects analysis of 40,000 trios from the Norwegian Mother, Father and Child Cohort Study | PNAS

Family demographic behavior is often studied as a response to structural conditions or parental characteristics, yet children may themselves shape ...

pnas.org

Richard M. Carpiano, PhD, MPH@rmcarpiano.medsky.social · last wk.

"Even modest annual reductions in (MMR) vaccine coverage among young children generate a nonlinear increase in cases & hospitalizations, with costs totaling $7.77 billion over a 5-y period." 🛟😷📈🧪 health policy sociology polisky

The health and economic repercussions of declining MMR coverage in the United States | PNAS

The resurgence of measles in the United States, driven by declining childhood vaccination coverage, poses a substantial public health and economic ...

pnas.org

The Ukrainian Review@theukrainianreview.bsky.social · last wk.

😡📚🇺🇦 Russia destroyed 1.5 million Ukrainian books in just one incomplete month of July, — Budanov Enemy missiles destroyed printing houses, burned warehouses of publishing houses and hundreds of thousands of textbooks that were supposed to reach Ukrainian schoolchildren. 1/2

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Sunder Katwala (sundersays)@sundersays.bsky.social · last wk.

Elon Musk, owner of X, has called the editor of the Economist "a traitor to the West, plain and simple" after her recent interview with him. He now argues that "anyone who opposes remigration is a traitor" Musk has been socialising violence since Aug25: "fight or die, that's what it comes down to"

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Ryan D. Edwards@ryandedwards.bsky.social · 2w ago

Daft. Sociology (and economics) are plenty more than activist dogma. This is a vacant reading of real problems in a discipline (which have analogous problems in all other disciplines) Just a daft piece. The qualitative-quantitative rift is far more interesting www.wsj.com/us-news/educ...

Essay | Is It Time to ‘Liquidate’ the Study of Sociology?

Sociology has long been tasked with investigating society’s most pressing challenges. But these days, sociologists’ greatest obstacle may be themselves.

wsj.com