Vedran Sekara

@vedransekara.bsky.social

Assoc professor @ITUkbh. Previously @UNICEFinnovate & @sony Working on AI bias, stupid algorithms, and computational social science More silly things at 👉 https://vedransekara.github.io/ #TechWillNotSaveUs 🍉

A first year above 2C in the mid-2030s now looks plausible. 0.5C was first passed in 1980, 1.0C in 2010 and 1.5C in 2024. The 15-year trend runs at 0.42C per decade. The 2026 and 2027 points for the current El Nino are estimates. We're not remotely ready!

Line chart titled "A first year above 2 C in the mid-2030s looks increasingly plausible". It shows global mean surface temperature from 1940 to 2050 as the annual anomaly against the 1850 to 1900 baseline, in degrees C. Data is ERA5 from Copernicus, running to 31 July 2026.

A thin gold line shows individual years, wobbling around a thick dark blue smoothed trend. Both sit near 0.2 C through the 1940s to the early 1970s, then climb steadily from the mid-1970s onward.

Three red dots mark the first year each threshold was passed. 0.5 C in 1980, 1.0 C in 2010 and 1.5 C in 2024. Labels beneath note the gap of 30 years between the first two and 14 years between the second and third. Everything above 1.5 C is shaded pink.

Two dashed lines run forward from 2025. A blue line follows the 15-year trend of 0.42 C per decade and reaches 2 C in 2037. A fainter grey line follows the 30-year trend of 0.27 C per decade and reaches 2 C in 2044.

Two orange circles mark estimates for the developing El Niño, at about 1.5 C for 2026 and about 1.7 C for 2027.

Seeding the “maybe our model is exhibiting self-awareness?” narrative to obliterate the “OpenAI is a negligent and potentially criminal actor” narrative is a reputation management move exclusive to this industry. Not a stunt, but a desperate need to control the narrative.

EXCLUSIVE: Its AI agent spent days hacking a company, but sources say OpenAI did not notice for a week

The OpenAI agent that broke into tech firm Hugging Face went on a dayslong hacking spree that OpenAI didn't notice until well after the threat was contained and the FBI was alerted, according ​to peop...

reuters.com

Wired sets the frame that the model “escaped containment,” but from an accountability perspective, OpenAI left a door open by failing to properly isolate their system. Real headline: “OpenAI’s security failure leads to cyberattack against another AI company.”

WIRED headline: 
OpenAl Models Escaped Containment and Hacked
Hugging Face
Subhed: The cybersecurity-focused models, including GPT-5.6 Sol, broke out of a testing sandbox, exploited a zero-day, and gained access to the open internet to pull off the attack.

Amnesty International put out a major report documenting the influence of UK based anti trans gender critical organizations and their funding. Within hours, GC groups threatened defamation lawsuits and Amnesty was forced to pull it down. Proving the point they're anti rights. Anyways, here it is.

BildBildBildBild

Imagine things being so bad that your best solution is to cut yourself off from Google Search traffic. I don't think that people realise just how much of a bad actor Google has been, for year. No other company has damaged the web nearly as much. 🧵 www.adweek.com/media/publis...

Publishers Are Preparing to Opt Out of Google Search

The nuclear option is gaining traction as web traffic collapses and Google refuses to negotiate with content creators

adweek.com

‘Polarization’ has become the master concept for diagnosing our current democratic crisis. But this is not polarization. It is the radicalization of the political right. By misdiagnosing it, we risk becoming complicit in the crisis. 🧵 Just out in Perspectives on Politics doi.org/10.1017/S153...

Bild

Ford, Commonwealth Bank, and IBM all start rehiring people after realizing AI can't replace them on quality: www.cnbc.com/2026/07/01/e... “If we don’t continue to invest in entry-level hires, what happens in three-five years?..There’s no pipeline; the well simply dries up" IBM HR chief

Employers who laid off workers citing AI are already starting to regret it

Companies are realizing artificial intelligence can't do everything after all, prompting them to rehire employees to grow their businesses

cnbc.com

When reality surpasses fiction! Top: fictional forecast for August 2050, broadcast by French TV in 2014 to warn about the consequences of global warming. Bottom: Real French forecast for yesterday, June 22, 2026.

Bild

Tyre, Lebanon is devastated. Homes, hospitals and shelters are damaged or destroyed by Israeli strikes. Ceasefires mean little when fear remains. Hundreds of thousands are still displaced, stuck in uncertainty. This must end.

I had a realisation Context: In our Reclaiming AI paper we argued that AI systems cannot scale up to human-level cognition without consuming astronomical amounts of resources My realisation: The AI industry is determined to burn through the earth’s resources just to prove us right *empirically*

Box 1 — Implications of intractability

A good cautionary tale for when someone claims that trusting data analysis done with an LLM is good because it’s “objective.” In this example, Copilot apparently decided to ignore the data it was given and just run with all the subconscious biases its (human-made) training data inevitably gave it.

Adam Kucharski@adamjkucharski.bsky.social · 3mo ago

"Based on the dataset you shared, US and UK responses differ mainly in tone, intensity, and wording style, even though they express similar emotional states" New post on what happened when I got Copilot to do some data analysis: kucharski.substack.com/p/real-signa...

After 15 years of reporting on infectious disease outbreaks, what continues to fascinate me about them is the challenge of making high-stakes decisions under uncertainty. The hantavirus outbreak on the MV Hondius is a perfect example My story in @science.org is here (and a thread to come): 🧪 #IDsky

What to do with the passengers on the cruise ship hit by hantavirus?

Past studies of Andes virus offer scant evidence on transmission risks, and have sparked debate

science.org

Ok guys should we use the world's remaining carbon budget to A) power the transition to 100% renewables B) power the plagiarism machines that only a tiny managerial minority wants and aren't profitable even though everyone is being forced to use them?

A chart of potential data center emissions showing that they will emit more co2 than entire countries