🚨🥵🚨 💀 🚨 EXTREME CLIMATE HEAT ALERT. Paris is heatwave is back to 40C by next Tuesday. These are deadly conditions, especially for the poor and vulnerable, all over Europe. And this will only get worse, due to fossil fuel corruption of our governments and media. 1/7
William F. Lamb
@wflamb.bsky.social
Climate policy researcher at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research. I work on emissions trends, policy evaluation, carbon dioxide removal and climate obstruction. Scot in Deutschland. https://lambwf.github.io/
This weekend I learned that even with: - good insulation - window shutters - triple glazing on half our windows (double on the rest) - maximum night-time ventilation ...there is no way to keep our flat naturally cool over such an extended heatwave
😧 Now do it for electric vehicle, heat pump, solar pv and healthy diet adoption
"Misinformation was estimated to contribute to nearly 2.3 million cases & 66 000 hospitalizations in 2021. Misinformation resulted in $2 billion in extra costs of hospitalization & 45 000 avertable deaths." Misinformation about COVID vaccines cost the US $2 billion academic.oup.com/healthaffair...
I have updated Tidy GHG Inventories - a dataset of greenhouse gas emissions based on country submissions to the UNFCCC. Summary figures: lambwf.github.io/Tidy-GHG-Inv... Dataset: zenodo.org/records/1969... This version has much more detailed energy sector data⚡including the split by fossil fuel 🛢️
Tidy GHG Inventories
lambwf.github.io
Back in 2020, I wrote a big paper that explained why different datasets of global fossil CO₂ emissions gave different numbers. 📢Now @wflamb.bsky.social has hand-picked a crowd of experts and gone much further: "Differences in anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions estimates explained", out today.
essd.copernicus.org
We have a pretty good understanding of the differences between GHG emission estimates, but when it comes to some sectors (e.g., land), estimates seem all over the place! Why is this? @wflamb.bsky.social has you covered... essd.copernicus.org/articles/18/... 1/
🧵 New report just dropped 🚨 "Fractured Reality: How Democracy Can Win the Global Struggle Over the Information Space" — from the EU Joint Research Centre, led by Mario Scharfbillig and I. A landmark read for anyone working on disinformation, platforms & democracy. 👇 1/10
“We can’t be shrinking away from this space,” say the scientists combating misinformation by taking strategies from the influencer playbook. Good feature on what's involved in getting very online by @catrionaclarke.bsky.social @nature.com www.nature.com/articles/d41...
The science influencers going viral on TikTok to fight misinformation
Scientists and medical experts are countering climate denialism, vaccine scepticism and wellness pseudoscience on social media.
nature.com
NEW – Analysis: UK newspaper editorial opposition to climate action overtakes support for first time | @joshgabbatiss.bsky.social @sylviahayes.bsky.social Read here: buff.ly/eAPkvkx
PIK at #IPCC: Nine PIK scientists joined the first Lead Authors’ Meeting for the 7th Assessment Report on the state of climate science in Paris last week. The meeting marked the start of drafting the 3 Working Group reports: www.pik-potsdam.de/en/news/late... @ipcc.bsky.social @wflamb.bsky.social
I think one line of evidence for this is the scale of backlash that fossil interests have mobilised against existing and working climate policies - and what happens to renewables, counterfactual emissions, etc. when they get shutdown!
It's funny to have to make this case but tbqh we don't make it enough: human efforts to counter fossil fuel use have had *at least some* effect on total greenhouse gas emissions since the signing of the Paris Agreement in 2015, and there's some evidence to back up this position A lil thread 🧵
It's funny to have to make this case but tbqh we don't make it enough: human efforts to counter fossil fuel use have had *at least some* effect on total greenhouse gas emissions since the signing of the Paris Agreement in 2015, and there's some evidence to back up this position A lil thread 🧵
a man is talking about being entirely successful .
Alt: a robot is is talking about not being entirely successful .
media.tenor.com
New national climate plans have barely moved the needle on limiting global warming. Yet there is hope. According to UNEP's latest #EmissionsGap Report, accelerated adoption of renewable energy and falling costs mean we have the tools to cut emissions now: www.unep.org/news-and-sto...
Expertise from the Potsdam Institute. 8 Lead Authors for @IPCC_CH #AR7: nico bauer Niklas Boers Franziska Piontek Iulii Didovets Barbora Sedova @wflamb.bsky.social Jan Minx Elmar Kriegler First Lead Author meeting Dec 2025, report out 2028/29. www.pik-potsdam.de/en/news/late...
About 1500 of the approx. 2300 people that will have lost their lives across 12 European cities last week would still live, if it wasn't for our burning of oil, coal and gas. If we care about the right to life, we need to stop burning fossil fuels. www.imperial.ac.uk/grantham/pub...
Out today: Freedom for Capital not People: The Mont Pèlerin Society and the Origins of the Neoliberal Monetary Order @versobooks.bsky.social
Höhepunkt der Emissionen noch nicht erreicht - Tagesschau Online berichtet über Report „Indikatoren des globalen Klimawandels“. Es werde immer schwieriger, die 1,5 Grad noch zu halten, je länger Emissionen nicht reduziert würden, so PIK Forscher @wflamb.bsky.social www.tagesschau.de/wissen/klima...
Höhepunkt der CO2-Emissionen noch nicht erreicht
Während Delegierte aus aller Welt in Bonn die nächste Klimakonferenz vorbereiten, offenbart ein neuer Bericht die fragile Lage des Weltklimas. Die Forderungen nach einem Umsteuern werden immer lauter....
tagesschau.de
Just did a small update of Tidy GHG Inventories: lambwf.github.io/Tidy-GHG-Inv... 81 countries have now submitted inventory data with their Biennial Transparency Reports. Quite a few still haven't (its 6 months past the deadline btw).
The land use change (LULUCF) sector is pretty confusing, since it can be a source of emissions (deforestation, disturbances) as well as a source of removals (regrowth, management). Including LULUCF can speed up, slow down, or change the overall dynamic of economy-wide emissions.
Quite possibly the biggest climate story of the year (especially when we look back on this in a few years' time) For the first time on record, China's emissions are falling due to clean energy growth, not slow power demand...
NEW – Analysis: Clean energy just put China’s CO2 emissions into reverse for first time | @laurimyllyvirta.bsky.social Read here: buff.ly/6eAcjRU
Will Lamb @wflamb.bsky.social has pulled the troops together & submitted an article to explain why different datasets can give different estimates of GHG emissions. My favourite: differences in accounting for fire emissions. Article in review, please comment! essd.copernicus.org/preprints/es...
New preprint: differences in anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions explained essd.copernicus.org/preprints/es...
Differences in anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions estimates explained
Abstract. We examine differences in global and national greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions estimates and highlight the important role of varying system boundaries and conceptual approaches in driving thes...
essd.copernicus.org
Greenhouse gas emissions are still mostly from fossil fuels by the way!! lambwf.github.io/UNEP-Gap-Rep...
The EU has released its latest GHG emission inventory, with data up to 2023. The good news, GHG emissions continue a downward trend, currently 37% below 1990 levels. The bad news, a significant downward revision of land-use removals (LULUCF). 1/
So the US was supposed to report its greenhouse gas emissions to the UNFCCC yesterday. For the first time since 1997, it didn't. This follows last week's revelation that Trump's EPA is stopping collection of GHG emission from 40 of 41 sectors www.propublica.org/article/trum...
Trump’s EPA Plans to Stop Collecting Greenhouse Gas Emissions Data From Most Polluters
Climate experts expressed shock and dismay at the move. “It would be a bit like unplugging the equipment that monitors the vital signs of a patient that is critically ill,” one said.
propublica.org
According to Carbon Monitor, emissions could have been 9.8GtCO2 higher in 2024... if renewable energy supply had been met with expected fossil sources instead www.nature.com/articles/s43...
Global carbon emissions and decarbonization in 2024 - Nature Reviews Earth & Environment
Global CO2 emissions in 2024 increased 0.9% on the previous year, totalling 36.3 Gt CO2. These ongoing emissions further deplete remaining carbon budgets, with some estimates suggesting the 1.5 °C bud...
nature.com
I've updated the Tidy GHG Inventories dataset, which is now complete for Annex I countries: doi.org/10.5281/zeno... This also shows the progress to date in countries submitting Biennial Transparency Reports under the Paris Agreement ⬇️
Prominent climate communicators continue to "joke" that what Trump is doing is "degrowth". It is not, and such claims are actively harmful. A quick🧵