Zack Labe

@zacklabe.com

Climate Scientist at @climatecentral.org | PhD | Passionate about improving science communication through data-driven stories | Harrisburg, PA | https://zacklabe.com/ Views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are only my own.

🚨 Last month set a new record for the hottest average global sea surface temperature in the month of July! Record warmth is found in both the deeper ocean and at the surface. This isn't necessarily a surprise, but it will have consequences for around the world. Data in the graphic from NOAA ERRSTv6

Green line graph time series of average sea surface temperature anomalies for each July from 1900 through 2026. There is large interannual variabaility, but an overall long-term increasing trend. Anomalies are computed relative to a 1981-2010 baseline.

100 years of July sea surface temperature anomalies... you'll see important patterns of regional climate variability as the animation evolves, but ultimately, the story behind the long-term trend toward record warmth is driven by human-caused climate change. Data from @noaa.gov ERSSTv6. 🌊

Monday ice update - #Arctic sea ice extent is currently the 12th lowest on record (JAXA data)... • about 10,000 km² below the 2010s mean • about 840,000 km² below the 2000s mean • about 1,680,000 km² below the 1990s mean • about 2,440,000 km² below the 1980s mean More: zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-i...

Line graph time series of 2026's daily Arctic sea ice extent compared to decadal averages from the 1980s to the 2010s. The decadal averages are shown with different colored lines with purple for the 1980s, blue for the 1990s, green for the 2000s, and white for the 2010s. Thin white lines are also shown for each year from 2000 to 2025. 2026 is shown with a thick gold line. There is a long-term decreasing trend in ice extent for every day of the year shown on this graph between July and September by looking at the decadal average line positions.

Overnight temperatures are warming up across much of the contiguous United States during the month of August. Some of the largest trends are across the West, especially for daytime maximum temperatures (which I will post later). More U.S. climate change visuals: zacklabe.com/united-state...

Map of changes in August minimum temperatures across the contiguous United States from 1976 to 2025. Nearly all areas are seeing warming, which is largest over the South and West. Data is from NClimGrid.

The story right now across both poles is very striking regional differences in sea-ice area. Fortunately, ice conditions improved a bit last month in the Bellingshausen Sea region (still below average). + Concentration means the fraction of ice in an area + Graphic from zacklabe.com/antarctic-se...

Two polar stereographic maps side-by-side showing Antarctic sea ice concentration and its anomalies relative to 1981-2010 for July 2026. Red shading is shown for less ice, and blue shading is shown for more ice. More areas are below average than above. Antarctica is masked out in grey shading.

Friday ice update - #Arctic sea ice extent is currently the 8th lowest on record (JAXA data)... • about 140,000 km² below the 2010s mean • about 990,000 km² below the 2000s mean • about 1,830,000 km² below the 1990s mean • about 2,600,000 km² below the 1980s mean More: zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-i...

Line graph time series of 2026's daily Arctic sea ice extent compared to decadal averages from the 1980s to the 2010s. The decadal averages are shown with different colored lines with purple for the 1980s, blue for the 1990s, green for the 2000s, and white for the 2010s. Thin white lines are also shown for each year from 2000 to 2025. 2026 is shown with a thick gold line. There is a long-term decreasing trend in ice extent for every day of the year shown on this graph between July and September by looking at the decadal average line positions.

Compare across different regions in 2026! These graphics look at the varying seasonality and trends in the magnitude of monthly temperature anomalies since 1940 for the Northern Hemisphere, Southern Hemisphere, Arctic, and Antarctic... Data from @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social ERA5 reanalysis.

Line graph time series of monthly mean surface temperature anomalies for the Northern Hemisphere region only. Every month is shown from 1940 to 2026. There is a long-term warming trend in all months of the year.Line graph time series of monthly mean surface temperature anomalies for the Southern Hemisphere region only. Every month is shown from 1940 to 2026. There is a long-term warming trend in all months of the year.Line graph time series of monthly mean surface temperature anomalies for the Arctic region only. Every month is shown from 1940 to 2026. There is a long-term warming trend in all months of the year and a strong seasonality.Line graph time series of monthly mean surface temperature anomalies for the Antarctic region only. Every month is shown from 1940 to 2024. There is a long-term warming trend in all months of the year, but less obvious than the other regions.

June saw a sharp gradient in temperature anomalies across the Canadian Arctic, with much warmer than average temperatures north of Hudson Bay (>5°C above the 1981-2010 mean) but relative cooler conditions toward the Beaufort Sea. Data from doi.org/10.24381/cds...

Regional map of the Canadian Arctic showing June 2026 temperature anomalies. Anomalies are calculated to a 1981-2010 baseline with red being warmer than average, and blue being colder than average using ERA5 data.

A quick look at a cross-section of temperature trends in the lower atmosphere during the month of July. The bottom of the y-axis is the lower troposphere, and the upper portion is reaching into the stratosphere. The x-axis is latitude. Data is provided by ERA5.

Graphic showing a vertical cross-section of zonal mean temperature trends for all latitude bands in July from 1979 through 2025. There is a long-term warming trend in the troposphere and cooling in the stratosphere. Red shading is shown for warming trends, and blue shading is shown for cooling trends.

Wednesday El Niño update - Some notable warming across a large part of the eastern half of the tropical Pacific Ocean during the last 7 days. And an ongoing strong westerly wind burst will continue to strengthen El Niño even further toward record territory. Data from NOAA OISSTv2.1. 🌊

Line graph time series of daily sea surface temperature anomalies in the Nino3.4 region. Years are shown from 1982 to 2025 in shades of blue to light yellow, and 2026 is shown in red. Climatologically, the largest anomalies are during the boreal winter in terms of magnitude. Data is from OISSTv2.1. Map of July 27, 2026 average sea surface temperature anomalies in the ENSO monitoring regions. Data is from NOAA OISSTv2.1 with anomalies relative to a 1991-2020 baseline.Graphic showing the 1-week change in sea surface temperature anomalies across the tropical eastern Pacific Ocean from July 20, 2026 to July 27, 2026. Data is from NOAA OISSTv2.1

Decided that I needed to share a scientific heart to heart today as part of my newsletter: Warmer planet=warmer oceans=higher rainfall rates & warmer minimum temperatures We understand this quite well - and the impacts all of this is having on our society are growing. tinyurl.com/5n7cvzb3

It's not just El Nino and the tropical Pacific - sea surface temperatures globally are at record warm levels

And the impacts on global climate and weather are significant

tinyurl.com

Sea surface temperatures are substantially warming around the entire #Arctic Ocean in July during the satellite-era. This is especially large in the Kara Sea. Note the blue shading mostly corresponds to areas of sea ice. Data by OISSTv2.1. For more info: doi.org/10.25923/pz7...

Polar stereographic map of sea surface temperature trends for Julys from 1979 to 2025. Red shading is shown for warming trends, and blue shading is shown for cooling trends. All areas of the ocean are observing warming.

Global mean sea surface temperature anomalies (departure from average) so far this year ➡️ 2nd highest on record 🌊 Data from ERSSTv5 averaged over January to June.

Green line graph time series of average sea surface temperature anomalies for each January to June period from 1900 through 2026. There is large interannual variability, but an overall long-term increasing trend. Anomalies are computed relative to a 1981-2010 baseline.

Monday ice update - #Arctic sea ice extent is currently the 8th lowest on record (JAXA data) • about 230,000 km² below the 2010s mean • about 1,130,000 km² below the 2000s mean • about 1,920,000 km² below the 1990s mean • about 2,710,000 km² below the 1980s mean More: zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-i...

Line graph time series of 2026's daily Arctic sea ice extent compared to decadal averages from the 1980s to the 2010s. The decadal averages are shown with different colored lines with purple for the 1980s, blue for the 1990s, green for the 2000s, and white for the 2010s. Thin white lines are also shown for each year from 2000 to 2025. 2026 is shown with a thick gold line. There is a long-term decreasing trend in ice extent for every day of the year shown on this graph between June and August by looking at the decadal average line positions.