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A Jean Stevenson

@amandajean.bsky.social

Sociologist and demographer. Always trying very hard to advance human knowledge. Never repping coauthors or institutions or anything like that.

4434 Posts5699 Follower1930 Folgt
Christopher Julian@chrisajulian.bsky.social · 2d ago

I reanalyzed the CDC data behind the LGB “free fall” headline. It rests on a change in bisexual identification among one grade, in one wave, of one survey. Gay or lesbian identification did not change significantly. Calling it a "free fall" is sensational and just gives bad actors talking points.

Six small line charts showing the percent of U.S. high school students choosing each sexual identity response option by grade (9th to 12th), 2015 to 2025, with 95% confidence intervals. Heterosexual falls from about 85 to 90 percent before 2021 to about 73 percent in 2021 and 2023, then rises to about 78 to 80 percent in 2025. Gay or lesbian stays between about 2 and 5 percent throughout. Bisexual rises to about 12 percent in 2021 in every grade, then among 9th graders falls to about 7 percent in 2025, its 2019 level, while other grades stay near 10 percent. “Some other way,” added in 2021, falls from about 4 percent to about 2.5 percent. “Not sure” stays near 3 to 5 percent. A dotted line marks 2021, when CDC changed the response options.
The Washington Post@washingtonpost.com · 2d ago

Young teenagers are less likely to identify as lesbian, gay or bisexual than a few years ago, according to a new analysis. “It really does look like a free fall,” Jean Twenge, a professor of psychology, said. “But what’s causing it is unclear.”

Philip N Cohen@philipncohen.com · 2d ago

Is America in a demographic crisis? Demographers don’t think so. I conducted a survey of U.S. demographers, and this is what I found: 3%: “The low birth rate is a demographic crisis” 25%: "serious concern” 53%: "should be monitored, but no intervention necessary” 20% :“not a problem at all.”

Fig. 1 The United States has a total fertility rate around 1.6. Which of these statements comes closest to your view? N = 180 3.2 24.5 52.7 19.7 The low birth rate is a demographic crisis The low birth rate is a matter of serious concern The low birth rate should be monitored, but no intervention is necessary The low birth rate is not a problem at all 0.0 A rate below 1.6 would be better 0 10 20 30 Percent 40 50 60
Rebecca Sear@rebeccasear.bsky.social · 3d ago

A new Handbook of Evolutionary Psychology has just been published, in which it is claimed that the human species is polytypic: not only is race biologically meaningful but the races are distinct enough to be considered subspecies. Published by Elgar. In 2026.

Chapters in Part III take stock of the current state of evolutionary psychology, by casting wider attention to other social and behavioral sciences and assessing the field's influence on them. In Chapter 11 ('Evolutionary psychology and anthropology'), Heiner Rindermann identifies three major forces that oppose scientific anthropology: Religion, National Socialism ('Nazism'), and woke leftist ideology. Ironically, in this sense, woke left ideologues, who include most anthropologists themselves, geneticists, and other university academics, share much in common with the Nazis in their common opposition to scientific anthropology. Rindermann's extensive review of the literature leaves no doubt that humans are genetically polytypic and contain different biological races or 'subspecies' At the end of the chapter, Rindermann delivers devastating rebuttals to all potential arguments against the notion of races/subspecies among humans.
Maria Antoniak@mariaa.bsky.social · 3d ago

It's infuriating how the U.S. is treating our international researchers. We are so incredibly lucky that talented people want to come to our country to study, research, work, and build. Trump, Musk, and their cronies are destroying the best parts of science in the U.S.

Anna Gifty@itsafronomics.blacksky.app · 5d ago

A new IWPR report confirms that college-educated Black women are more likely to lead in government than in companies. Which is why the DOGE cuts that slashed federal jobs have been particularly devastating for college-educated Black women. #blacksky

Figure 3. College-Educated Black Women Are More Likely to Be Hired for Management Positions in the Public Sector than the Private Sector All women and Black women (bachelor's degree or higher) as a share of total managers in the public and private sectors, 2024 PublicPrivate 5.0% 15.0% 25.0% 35.0% Women's share of all managers 41.3% 24.3% Black women as a share of all college-educated women 15.9% 10.8% Black women as a share of women managers 19.8% 9.2% Black women as a share of all managers 8.2% 2.2% Get the dataDownload image Source: Author's analysis of Current Population Survey microdata, EPI Current Population Survey Extracts, Version 2026.7.8, https://microdata.epi.org Note: Race and ethnicity are mutually exclusive; Black women are all non-Hispanic.
Economic Policy Institute@epi.org · 5d ago

From 1979-2007, Black women with bachelor’s degrees were the only group of women to maintain labor force participation rates above 80 percent. Yet, despite their high labor force participation, highly educated Black women have been—and continue to be—systematically held back from upward mobility.

Leslie Root@lesja.bsky.social · last wk.

This. The most important thing I learned at PAA this year was @samsellers.bsky.social concept of demographic federalism. When the baby boom cohort is dying, births are slowing, and migration is completely fucked, the characteristics of a place are going to matter a LOT for its population patterns

Karen Benjamin Guzzo@karenguzzo.bsky.social · last wk.

This is a story of rurality, more than a story of political parties. Rural areas have older populations & more outmigration among young adults due to shifts in economic opportunities. Fewer young adults means fewer births.