Ammar Shamaileh

@ammars.bsky.social

Associate Professor of Politics & IR at the Doha Institute for Graduate Studies - MENA politics, political economy and repression/violence

My op-ed in support of considering a federalist system in Syria is now out in the @thenewarab.bsky.social. To be clear, this is not support for any plan that is currently being circulated. My main point is that a symmetric federalist approach should be explored. www.newarab.com/opinion/defe...

In defence of federalism in Syria: Should it still be taboo?

Syria's new political roadmap must at least consider federalism as a viable option to accommodate all of Syria's diverse communities, says Ammar Shamaileh.

newarab.com

This is the most petty and self-centered letter I could ever imagine somebody writing in this situation. Even in this most, Assad can't think of anything other than himself; not Syria, not Palestine, and not even his supporters. It's all about him and his image.

BildBild

I have spent decades envisioning different scenarios where Assad fell. I never pictured a scenario where it would happen like this. I am also completely shocked at how well HTS has managed the political and social side of things. They've been quite brilliant so far.

Let's hope Russia and Iran enter discussions tomorrow planning on a post-Assad Syria. How much longer can they continue propping up the corpse of this regime? Do they really want to risk complete defeat? Of course, I doubt there will be any serious discussions of the interests of Syrians.

I believe that my anti-Assad credentials are solid enough that I can express my opinion without it being misunderstood: The recent developments in Syria are horrible for Syrians and I can't believe how many people are cheerleading for HTS.

These are Palestinian firefighters, likely from either Burj al-Barajna or Shatila refugee camps. FWIW, Palestinian civil protection units do a lot of mutual aid outside the camps, made more significant by the fact that they are *stateless*. They've responded to wildfires in Lebanon, for example.

Sally Hayden@sallyhayd.bsky.social · 2y ago

First responders on the scene during the aftermath of one of the airstrikes on Chiyah, greater Beirut, today. #lebanon #beirut

The goals the Israeli gov't is articulating for South Lebanon echo the stated aims of the 1982 invasion very closely (different groups firing missiles from South Lebanon, same idea of clearing a border area to secure the Galilee). So anyways, Israel then occupied South Lebanon for 18 years.

My article on preference falsification on surveys is now out in @PSRMJournal. Nonresponse rates are often used as a proxy for the sensitivity bias associated with PF. This article casts doubt on the utility of such measures. dictatorsky, polisky www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

On the measurement of preference falsification using nonresponse rates | Political Science Research and Methods | Cambridge Core

On the measurement of preference falsification using nonresponse rates

cambridge.org

Whenever anyone wonders why the UAE hasn’t frozen its normalization with Israel over Gaza, I suggest looking at its incredibly destructive ongoing role in fueling the horrific war in Sudan and it becomes quite easy to understand.

💣🐚 Revealed: Israeli spy chief ‘threatened’ ICC prosecutor over war crimes inquiry Mossad director Yossi Cohen personally involved in secret plot to pressure Fatou Bensouda to drop Palestine investigation www.theguardian.com/world/articl...

Revealed: Israeli spy chief ‘threatened’ ICC prosecutor over war crimes inquiry

Mossad director Yossi Cohen personally involved in secret plot to pressure Fatou Bensouda to drop Palestine investigation, sources say

theguardian.com

UN experts "horrified at details emerging from mass graves unearthed in the Gaza Strip. Over 390 bodies have been discovered at Nasser & Al Shifa hospitals, including of women & children, w/ many reportedly showing signs of torture & summary executions, & potential instances of people buried alive.”

Onslaught of violence against women and children in Gaza unacceptable: UN experts

GENEVA (6 May 2024) – UN experts* today condemned the continued and systematic onslaught of violence committed against Palestinians in Gaza, with most victims being women and children over the past se...

ohchr.org

Please correct me if I'm wrong, but according to what the news has reported, Israel helped construct a proposal that Israel hasn't agreed to yet, and Blinken is praising it as generous even though they haven't actually even agreed to it. N.B. It's not generous even if they agree to it.