Simon
@analytic.football
Stat nerdery, #lufc and miscellany Football team ratings model: analytic.football I chat about FPL @analyticf.pl
One reason England does so well is our second generation immigrants outperform their peers which is not true in most OECD countries. We are also very good at integration. And it's v sad that this is never acknowledge in debates on immigration.
Sam Freedman@samfr.bsky.social · last wk.New PISA data out England is now top ten in all three areas (reading, maths, science) and the second highest performing country outside of east Asia (after Estonia). This is a huge public policy success.
analytic.football is now using Opta data as the xG input, as the last bastion of only-cheaply-paywalled Statsbomb xG seems to be gone It meant a full retune, and the finishing module got a couple of upgrades (handling conditionality of rebounds better). New ratings on the left.
So in one week: 1) Reform get stung for dodgy finances, and the regulators play pass the parcel about enforcement 2) Farage announces plans to largely dismantle independent scrutiny of govt, and barely any press discussion of it 3) Masked thugs blockade a port, with narry a word from senior govt
To keep translating the Odyssey but never completing it to one's satisfaction seems rather apt.
Kirkdale Bookshop@kirkdalebooks.bsky.social · 2w agoCommitment to the bit www.theguardian.com/books/2026/s...
If we get Bahoya I think we ended up close to here. Few differences: - Kept 4 CBs not 5, sold Struijk with a first team LCB not RCB - Moved Stach to CM and signed a RW (Wilson) instead - Darlow chose to go and replaced with Zetterer - Didn't get another 9 No complaints with the first 3 #lufc
Simon@analytic.football · 4mo agoObviously, summers are unpredictable and it's not always possible to achieve everything, but I think this would be an ideal template:
Mahmood's proposals would force medium-skilled & care workers to leave the UK & would deter high skill workers from coming in future. This would widen the deficit/fiscal home. Would be deliberate economic and political self-harm for Burnham/Healey to proceed with them. inews.co.uk/news/politic...
Mahmood's 'hardline' immigration reforms hit by growing rebellion
More Labour MPs to publicly oppose Home Secretary's changes to indefinite leave to remain
inews.co.uk
Hull only 8 points from matching Derby's record but they only get to play Manchester United one more time so it's touch and go
We are under an hour away from kick off so it really is "just in time" for the final projections. A final few small bug fixes, improvements to the Monte Carlo uncertainty layer and getting the coefficients tuned to the nth decimal, we land here. Some comments below 👇
A Review of the Guardian’s Review of Channel 4’s ‘The Great ADHD Myth?’ theneuroscienceofeve... I reviewed the Guardian's review of The Great ADHD Myth, and found it... well, lacking doesn't really do it justice. #ADHD #Channel4 #Guardian #Neurodivergence
Championship projections are also live (for the first time Leeds aren't in it 🫣) and this was the state before any matches were played Bolton's win against Preston a nice early swing for them
Simon@analytic.football · last mo.New season means a new design for analytic.football, so here's a little rundown of what you can do And of course, the projections
New post out: "The myth of the 'Boriswave'" The online right claim that the immigrants who arrived between 21-24 will bankrupt the country. This isn't remotely true but they've created a mainstream panic that could lead us down a dangerous path. (£/free trial) samf.substack.com/p/the-myth-o...
The myth of the "Boriswave"
Over summer 2024 anonymous right-wing accounts on twitter, who support Reform or more extreme ethnonationalist parties, started using the term “Boriswave” to describe the brief but sharp rise in net m...
samf.substack.com
If you tried this before and got a 502 bad gateway, I've fixed what was making the app crash so happy exploring once again
Simon@analytic.football · last mo.New season means a new design for analytic.football, so here's a little rundown of what you can do And of course, the projections
New season means a new design for analytic.football, so here's a little rundown of what you can do And of course, the projections
Ah, well, nevertheless. Happy to see the club are targeting the position rather than just the Brandt opportunity, let's see what we end up with
Simon@analytic.football · 2mo agoBrandt would be a quality addition. The "he didn't sign immediately so we shouldn't sign him" never made any sense to me. We wouldn't get his best years, but even with some wage overpay in the out years it only adds up to a small effective transfer fee in terms of total cost. Fingers crossed #lufc
Brandt would be a quality addition. The "he didn't sign immediately so we shouldn't sign him" never made any sense to me. We wouldn't get his best years, but even with some wage overpay in the out years it only adds up to a small effective transfer fee in terms of total cost. Fingers crossed #lufc
Fucking hell as if receiving automated rejection letters for jobs wasn't bad enough.
Conflating 5 million of bribes with not filling out a form is like running over a child because you were on your phone while driving and saying "Well look, if the worst thing I've ever done is check my text messages, I can live with that.".
Cities dismantled their tram networks to become “motor cities of the future”. The result? You could travel further within 30 mins via public transport in 1957 than you can in 2026. Cities are seeking billions to rebuild networks. Incredible piece of work this.
The Exchange@theexchangeleeds.bsky.social · 2mo agoIf you stood on Briggate at 8am on a weekday in 1957, and stood there again in 2026, in which year could you reach more of the city in half an hour? Samuel Bancroft has crunched the numbers. Since the 1950s, Leeds has got bigger - but the city has effectively shrunk.
The government will take a £12 billion hit on the public finances if/when it belatedly reduces the current [unrealistically high] OBR projection of net migration averaging 235k for next 3 years to about 130-150k. (But it could double that cost if it wants to stay closer to zero net migration).
Ian Dunt@iandunt.bsky.social · 2mo agoIt's funny how no-one ever asks where the money is coming from when you announce a cut in immigration.
It's funny how no-one ever asks where the money is coming from when you announce a cut in immigration.
Can't believe he literally said
Simpsons: Leonardo Nimoy's Work is Done
Alt: Simpsons: Leonardo Nimoy saying My Work is Done Here
static.klipy.com
Pippa Crerar@pippacrerar.bsky.social · 2mo agoEnd of the Keir Starmer era: ‘My work here is done’. … and what will he do next? www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
"Overall carbon emissions have increased" in the UK, because of Net Zero, Kemi Badenoch repeatedly tells the BBC, to no pushback. Just completely untrue
Lol, lmao even
David Ornstein@david-ornstein.bsky.social · 2mo ago🚨 EXCLUSIVE: Chelsea reach verbal agreement with Aston Villa to sign Morgan Rogers. Bid of £117m accepted by #AVFC & being finalised. 6+1y contract, medical Monday. #AFC interested but 23yo attacker wanted #CFC; Xabi Alonso instrumental 🚨 @theathleticfc.bsky.social www.nytimes.com/athletic/639...
People really out here claiming short corners are automatically a bad tactic because you can potentially be found offside This is why no one should run forwards off the ball in football
Paul Harvey@paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc · 3mo agoIf you don’t want to be offside and n a corner stop taking short corners. No one is forcing you to immediately introduce a potential failure point
Absolute snip if we can get him for something around that price #lufc
Beren Cross@berencross.bsky.social · 3mo agoLeeds United are in ongoing discussions with Southampton over a deal for Shea Charles. A bid of around £20m has been lodged along the way. Midfield department already well stocked. Intrigued to see how this influences outgoings, if it gets done. #lufc