NEW from @pewresearch.org: Political party affiliation in the US, 2020-2026, based on the National Public Opinion Reference Survey (paper/phone/online survey conducted January-June 2026 among 5,511 US adults) www.pewresearch.org/politics/fac...
Baxter Oliphant
@baxteroliphant.bsky.social
Researcher at Pew Research Center; Ph.D. in politics from Princeton. Husband, father, bike commuter, gamer, inline skater, car camper and hiker. Spends way too much time reading the news and nonfiction books. RTs & likes do not equal endorsements.
Americans are more optimistic about #AI’s impact in medical care but pessimistic about its impact on education and jobs.
And a broader look at where Trump stands with the public: www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...
pewresearch.org
In our charts, we sometimes illustrate the margin of error through error bars, also called confidence intervals. But what do they mean? How should they be interpreted? Here are some answers to common questions that might help you better understand charts with error bars.
Understanding error bars in charts
Error bars illustrate the margin of error for a survey estimate by showing how precise that estimate is. Here are some answers to common questions that might help you better understand charts with error bars.
pewresearch.org
Countries where large shares of the public say the economy is in good shape also tend to have large shares who are satisfied with democracy. www.pewresearch.org/...
this year, we produced a visual tour of turnout and vote switching between the last two presidential elections. check out our illustration of the flow of voters and nonvoters between 2020 and 2024 here: www.pewresearch.org/feature/how-...
How Changes in Turnout and Vote Choice Powered Trump’s Victory in 2024
In this interactive feature, explore how changes between the 2020 and 2024 elections in how – and whether – people voted helped to return President Trump to office.
pewresearch.org
On today's 10th anniversary of the Obergefell ruling, it's worth noting that same-sex marriage is among a small number of issues to see a complete reversal of public opinion in a relatively short span: 60% opposed it in 2004; 63% favored it by 2023. www.pewresearch.org/2024/09/13/h...
Quite a stat: Medicaid paid for 4 out of every 10 births in the United States in 2023. www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
A June 2025 Pew Research Center survey found that 55% of Republicans (incl. leaners) say it would be acceptable to deport immigrants to a different country if they cannot return to their home country. By comparison, 13% of Democrats say this would be acceptable. pewrsr.ch/446QJwe
My team at @pewresearch.org studies the global size and demographic characteristics of religious groups, including the religiously unaffiliated. Some recent reports: Modeling the Future of Religion in America www.pewresearch.org/religion/202...
Modeling the Future of Religion in America
Since the 1990s, large numbers of Americans have left Christianity to join the growing ranks of U.S. adults who describe their religious identity as atheist, agnostic or “nothing in particular.” If re...
pewresearch.org
New from @pewresearch.org "How Much Discrimination Do Americans Say Groups Face in the U.S.?" Link: pewrsr.ch/4jcI40H
How Much Discrimination Do Americans Say Groups Face in the U.S.?
Republicans are less likely than in 2024 to say there is discrimination against Black, Hispanic, Asian and White people.
pewrsr.ch
NEW REPORT: Believing in Spirits and Life After Death Is Common Around the World
Believing in Spirits and Life After Death Is Common Around the World
Belief in an afterlife, God and spirits in nature is widespread globally. Older adults are more likely than younger adults to believe in God. Pew Research Center.
pewresearch.org
Striking chart from @wsj.com shows the cumulative number of executive orders by each recent president through their first 100 days: www.wsj.com/politics/pol... In a new @pewresearch.org survey, 51% of Americans say Trump is doing too much by executive order: www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...
47% of Americans are extremely or very concerned about Russia invading other countries, and 43% are concerned about Russia defeating and taking over Ukraine. Republicans have become less concerned about both possibilities in recent months, while Democrats have become more so.
Now that @pewresearch.org on Bluesky is a thing, I'll try to post new data from our Global Attitudes research! First up today, timely data on how Americans view trade between the U.S. and China, Canada and Mexico. Includes public opinion and trade data! www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
Hey there, Bluesky! We are excited to share our data and insights here with you, and so are our researchers: go.bsky.app/3QzdR9p What would you like to see from us? Drop suggestions below!
What Americans think about President Trump’s immigration actions early in his second term. (@baxteroliphant.bsky.social Joseph Copeland @pewresearch.org) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/250209
NEW from @pewresearch.org: Faith on the Hill: The religious composition of the 119th Congress
Faith on the Hill
Christians will make up 87% of voting members in the Senate and House of Representatives, combined, in the 2025-27 congressional session.
pewrsr.ch
NEW: House Republicans will be working with the narrowest majority in modern history when the 119th Congress begins in January. They'll have a five-seat edge, but even that small advantage will get smaller amid several expected vacancies. www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
Chart: When in a presidential campaign do voters make their decision? www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...
New from Pew Research Center: After Trump’s victory, Democrats are more pessimistic about their party’s future 49% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents are pessimistic about the future of their party; just 13% of Rep/Lean Rep say the same www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
After Trump’s victory, Democrats are more pessimistic about their party’s future
The partisan gap in Republican and Democratic views of their parties’ futures (35 percentage points) is much larger than after any recent election.
pewresearch.org
NEW: Women in the US have long outpaced men in college graduation, as the chart on the left shows. But it's now happening in each major racial and ethnic group, too, as the chart on the right shows. www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
Disney owns both The Muppets and Star Wars, and the fact they are not making a Muppet version of all nine main-series Star Wars movies is only explained by the fact that they secretly hate making money.
NEW: To mark 20 years of the Pew Research Center, we took a look back at some of the biggest changes in US public opinion during that time. Of note: Complete reversals on same-sex marriage and marijuana legalization, and the emergence of China as a perceived threat.
How U.S. Public Opinion Has Changed in 20 Years of Our Surveys
We took a closer look at how Americans’ views and experiences have evolved on a variety of topics over the last 20 years.
pewresearch.org
We just released a new analysis about the potential for opt-in surveys -- those where people volunteer to take surveys -- to provide misleading results, especially for young adults and Hispanics pewrsr.ch/49BMhqF
Online opt-in polls can produce misleading results, especially for young people and Hispanic adults
We examine how an opt-in poll may have unintentionally misled the public about the sensitive issue of Holocaust denial among young Americans.
pewrsr.ch