#OpenAccess from @polanalysis.bsky.social - Post-Treatment Problems: What Can We Say about the Effect of a Treatment among Sub-Groups Who (Would) Respond in Some Way? - https://cup.org/4o2fmn6 - Chad Hazlett, Nina McMurry & Tanvi Shinkre #FirstView
Bence Hamrak
@bencehamrak.bsky.social
Research Fellow at the European University Institute @eui-eu.bsky.social bencehamrak.github.io
Thrilled to announce my paper with @dianamejordan.bsky.social & sky-less Trent Ollerenshaw is now published open-access at @apsrjournal.bsky.social. In a (very) large replication & extension, we show that design effects of repeated measure experiments are nonzero but typically small. Thread:
#OpenAccess from @apsrjournal.bsky.social - New Evidence and Design Considerations for Repeated Measure Experiments in Survey Research - https://cup.org/4sVtFLj - @dianamejordan.bsky.social, TRENT OLLERENSHAW & @atrexler.com #FirstView
For years, but especially in the last few months, I have been trying hard to imagine what it will feel like seeing Orban decisively defeated. I just couldn't. And yet here we are: it is truly and well over. I have more reservations about Peter Magyar than I could say in 300 characters or a thread...
What a night
📄Published Today in Nature: 500 researchers reproduced 100 studies across the social & behavioral sciences to assess their analytical robustness (led by @balazsaczel.bsky.social & @szaszibarnabas.bsky.social). Article: www.nature.com/articles/s41... Preprint: osf.io/preprints/me... TLDR: 1/11
Very happy that our review article (with the @annualreviews.bsky.social) on „Austerity and Populism“ is now available as preprint: www.annualreviews.org/content/jour... - with @sattlersthomas.bsky.social
Austerity and Populism
A large literature explains the rise of populist parties with the economic insecurities stemming from globalization and technological change. But despite the long-standing focus of the comparative and...
annualreviews.org
We (@stawi-univie.bsky.social) are hiring a PhD researcher: - focus: representation, party competition, pol behavior, pol institutions, pol econ, or related - 4 years, starting 1 Oct 26 - 30h/week, incl some teaching - deadline: 28 Jan 26 jobs.univie.ac.at/job/Universi...
jobs.univie.ac.at
How do “fear dictators” become “spin dictators” once societies go online? My new open-access article in @democratization.bsky.social traces how the Lukashenka regime in #Belarus and its bureaucracy have retooled their information control in response to #digital uptake: doi.org/10.1080/1351...
A fear dictator who is spinning? Conceptualizing authoritarian responses to digital uptake through the case study of information control in Belarus
Contemporary authoritarian regimes increasingly rely on digital technologies in their information control strategies, such as censorship, surveillance, and propaganda. However, the digital transfor...
doi.org
🇪🇺🇩🇪 Published Today in @bjpols.bsky.social 🇮🇹🇫🇷 How a voting advice application affected voting behavior in three large-scale field experiments: shorturl.at/2ekBj TLDR of our study (with @simonhix.bsky.social & @rlachat.bsky.social) below 👇 1/14
Do policy preferences of voters and non-voters differ in European democracies? My new article in @ejprjournal.bsky.social finds: Yes, sometimes, but this is not the norm. Let's break it down. 🧵 1/10
🚨 Job Alert! Postdoc in POLITICAL TEXT ANALYSIS in the MULTIREP project You do quant text analysis? You are interested in political representation? Enjoy working in teams? Would like to live in a great city? Consider joining us in Vienna! ⏱️ Apply by 15/12/2025 wratil.eu/files/MULTIR... 1/4 🧵
We’re looking for an RA for the MULTIREP ERC project at @univie.ac.at — working on citizens' fundamental motivations for political representation. We look for MA students with some experience and a lot of interest in surveys & experiments. Deadline is 10 Nov, 23:59pm! wratil.eu/files/Resear...
🔍🇰🇿 Even in #authoritarian #parliaments, not all voices speak in unison. My new paper examines possible pockets of rhetorical dissent or "embedded rhetorical contestation" in #Kazakhstani Senate debates. The paper is now in OA thanks to @weareceu.bsky.social: shorturl.at/YoY9h
Whispers of dissent? Analyzing the rhetorical alignment of the elites with the authoritarian incumbent through parliamentary discourse in the Kazakhstani Senate
Parliaments are often thought to be key arenas of elite signaling in authoritarian regimes. This paper examines the patterns of rhetorical alignment between individual elite members of parliament a...
tandfonline.com
Paths to Power (PtP) is out in @bjpols.bsky.social! It is a database with data on cabinet members' social profile globally from 1966-2021. This is a great team effort with @chknutsen.bsky.social, @peterla.bsky.social, @inalkristiansen.bsky.social. But many more helped us along the way 🙏 A short 🧵
Paths to Power: A New Dataset on the Social Profile of Governments | British Journal of Political Science | Cambridge Core
Paths to Power: A New Dataset on the Social Profile of Governments - Volume 55
cambridge.org
NEW! The public opinion effects of antisemitic elite cues: a survey experiment on the Hungarian Soros campaign in @eepolitics.bsky.social w/ @bencehamrak.bsky.social @erinjenne.bsky.social G.Simonovits. Soros cues worked through partisan motivated reasoning & not antisemitism doi.org/10.1080/2159...
🚨We are looking for a research assistant at the masters level to help us with designing & running some surveys in the MULTIREP project. If you are based in Vienna or around, have some interest in political representation & experience with surveys, consider applying! 👇 wratil.eu/files/Resear...
How common are “survey professionals” - people who take dozens of online surveys for pay - across online panels, and do they harm data quality? Our paper, FirstView at @politicalanalysis.bsky.social, tackles this question using browsing data from three U.S. samples (Facebook, YouGov, and Lucid):
Final day to submit to 24h of Political Psychology in February! We hope to see many of you in Vienna! 📚🎊
🎉We're back! 24 hours of Political Psychology is once again coming to Vienna - save the dates: 26 / 27 February 2026 ▶️ Abstract submission is OPEN - find the link & further information here: 24hpolpsy.univie.ac.at Very excited to co-host with @markuswagner.bsky.social and @isabellareb.bsky.social
no better way to depart from #ecprgc25 than 👀 my paper just published in @eupthejournal.bsky.social! I find localism in an unlikely place & show that people feel more represented when they live in incumbent MEPs' hometowns, using survey data from 🇷🇴🇭🇺🇮🇹🇧🇪 doi.org/10.1177/1465... #Polisky
The effect of MEPs' local ties on perceived representation: Evidence from four EU member states - Daniel Kovarek, 2025
Concerned with the electoral and attitudinal effects of localness, a large literature studies how candidates’ and elected deputies’ local ties shape perceived r...
journals.sagepub.com
🧪 🗳 New in Scientific Data "The #AUTNES Online Panel Study 2017–2024: A Dataset of Austrian Voter Attitudes and Behavior” The new data descriptor offers background on study design & data quality. ➡️ doi.org/10.1038/s415... 📂 Dataset: doi.org/10.11587/HNU... #OpenScience @aussda.bsky.social
My experiment on election outcomes, partisan identity & affective polarization is now out in @electoralstudies.bsky.social. Puzzle: From a group ID lens, outcomes could shift both perceived out-party threat & in-group status → ambivalent predictions for affective polarization.
🚨 Big News for European Political Science 🚨 We’re thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community. 🔗 epssnet.org Here’s a thread with everything you need to know. 🧵
🚨 REPLICATION REPORT UPDATE: One year ago, a tweet by John Holbein alerted me, @ollefolke.bsky.social, and @jopieboy.bsky.social to a paper with a shocking result about Sweden’s law criminalizing the purchase of sex.🧵
take a gentle intro course on R @weareceu.bsky.social @methodsnet.bsky.social Summer School with me! I assume zero pre-existing knowledge w/ programming & guarantee that you'll leave Vienna with strong analytical skills and plenty of data viz tricks up your sleeve!
Who does Spiderman vote for? Who you vote for. In a new paper w/ @markuswagner.bsky.social we show that people engage in motivated projection of political identities. In the absence of explicit info on politics, individuals rely on valence to infer the politics of others doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
If you are interested in how to design survey experiments in the social sciences, I am teaching a course on exactly that @methodsnet.bsky.social Vienna summer school at CEU! Early bird discount applies through 26 March 👇. Looking forward to meeting you ☺️ methodsnet.org/course/d01-0...
D01-01AM: Designing Survey Experiments – Methodsnet
Not a Member yet? Check out the long list of benefits here – Student Membership from only €33.00 and FREE for some locations! > Courses > D01-01AM: Design
methodsnet.org
if need a break from #BTW25, here's a 📄 on 🇭🇺 TISZA, a new challenger to #Orbán! A genuinely new party, led by a #Fidesz defector is currently leading the polls in #Hungary & has a 🇪🇺 pro-European, knowledgeable, and low trusting electorate. Voters are more pro #Ukraine🇺🇦 + culturally liberal. #Polisky
Elite defection and opposition realignment in Hungary: Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) in the 2024 European Parliamentary elections
The 2024 European Parliamentary elections yielded an opposition landslide in Hungary. Respect and Freedom (TISZA), a genuinely new party led by a Fidesz defector, emerged as Orbán's unequivocal cha...
tandfonline.com
Social media posts containing misinformation evoke more moral outrage than posts with trustworthy information, and that outrage facilitates the spread of misinformation, a new Science study finds. 📄: scim.ag/4f6WzRF
Misinformation exploits outrage to spread online
We tested a hypothesis that misinformation exploits outrage to spread online, examining generalizability across multiple platforms, time periods, and classifications of misinformation. Outrage is high...
scim.ag
APSR will start inviting replications for a random subset of accepted papers. I really like this as well as the constructive tone around it 👏 (from the latest Notes from the Editors)
Why do academic journals have such strict/varied formatting guidelines on first submission? (Beyond length) Isn’t formatting for a journal, only to be rejected, just a massive unnecessary cost imposed on scientists? Couldn’t scientists put their time to better use?
#OpenAccess - Why Politicians Won't Apologize: Communication Effects in the Aftermath of Sex Scandals - cup.org/498h7ba - Bence Hamrak, Gabor Simonovits, Alex Rusnak & Ferenc Szucs #FirstView