Caraden Davis

@caraden.bsky.social

This is vile. Anyone who can stomach this judgement is disgusting and cannot be trusted. The courts need to stop deciding cases without a factual matrix which will destroy the lives of real people. We're only beginning to see the impact of FWS.

Elizabeth Taylor@elizabethtaylor47.bsky.social · 2mo ago

For Women Scotland won another case against the Scottish government, this time at Court of Session. Trans prisoners must now be housed in birth sex prison as a result of 2025 FWS. www.heraldscotland.com/news/2621030...

Fuck anyone saying "if this were happening to any other community" when it comes to anti rights backslides and threats to community events. We are all of us facing escalating hate crimes and all of us have been for a long time.

A lot of our discourse seems to assume that 1) these wrong beliefs somehow arise naturally and 2) politicians have a duty to behave as if these wrong beliefs are true. It saves asking questions about old and new media, or doing anything brave, but it’s rotting our society and economy.

Sunder Katwala (sundersays)@sundersays.bsky.social · 3mo ago

Most of Britain thinks net migration is still rising — when it has actually fallen by more than three-quarters From our new 2026 @britishfuture.bsky.social study of public attitudes to immigration, published online here www.britishfuture.org/britain-thin...

Frustrated with the election pundits talking as if votes only 'swing' from one party to another. I did some analysis of the results, and my modelling (based on votes only, not polls) suggests that the largest movement since 2024 local elections (by a long way) is from 'Did Not Vote' -> Reform

A Sankey diagram, titled "Voter flows, UK local elections 2024 to 2026"

The conclusion "Reform won the seat from Lab therefore biggest vote swing is Lab to Reform" does not follow from this pattern. There are multiple vote flows here: Lab to Grn, Lab to abstain, Lab to Ref, Con to Ref, abstain to Ref...Lab to Ref is only one part of this, not typically the largest

Important data point here: “A sharp fall in Labour's performance is accompanied more often by an above average Green performance than it is by a strong Reform performance”. The Greens have already hurt Labour even before any direct gains.

Bild

An often overlooked point. Less politically engaged voters tend to have much more elastic political views/allegiances. A big part of the reason Reform is doing so well currently is they focused on one issue (immigration) and controlled the narrative around it. Most Reform voters aren't die-hards.

James Ball@jamesrball.com · 3mo ago

Voters often don't work like pundits or activists think – the Green/Reform floating voter is very much real, even if not necessarily super common. (just like there were UKIP to Labour switchers in 2017, because some of them liked Jeremy Corbyn).

Statements that have now come to light from a handful of @TheGreenParty candidates are totally unacceptable & require immediate action. There’s no place for anti-semitism or any hate speech in the party. This is a society-wide problem & needs to be rooted out wherever it’s found

Many powers exist for protest conditions (location, timing) and for policing unlawful conduct on them (intimidation, harassment, proscribed orgs) - A high threshold to ban a specific event re public order - Almost certainly a disproportionate restriction on speech rights to ban any specific theme

Sam Freedman@samfr.bsky.social · 3mo ago

Fwiw I don't think protests should be banned. If people are doing illegal things on them they should be arrested under existed laws. Otherwise it's important to protect free speech.

Can't believe there might be a place in AI for massively overconfident self-proclaimed geniuses who believe you can data-logic your way through any complex societal problem if you just reject complexity, empathy, morality and legality as obsolete weaknesses.

Sam Freedman@samfr.bsky.social · 3mo ago

It's v interesting that Cummings, Liam Booth-Smith (Sunak's Chief of Staff) and now McSweeney are all working in or planning to work in AI. As well as Osborne and Sunak.