Carl F. Falk

@cffalk.bsky.social

Associate Professor | Quantitative Psychologist | Psychometrician https://www.psych.mcgill.ca/perpg/fac/falk/ https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=9BA_cL0AAAAJ

I have blocked exactly one person from a project on GitHub. Strong contender for #2 today: a Posit Senior SWE who pointed Claude at my portable-r-macos / portable-r-windows scripts, opened a PR, and linked my work as "existing art." That's not reference. That's laundering. Worse no signing on mac.

Screenshot of GitHub pull request #284 in rstudio/r-builds, titled "feat: portable, relocatable macOS and Windows R builds," merged by jmwoliver with 19 commits from the branch portable-r-mac-windows into main. A "Files changed" table lists paths and descriptions, including macos/build.sh (main macOS build orchestrator), macos/patch-mach-o.sh (Mach-O load command rewriting and codesigning), macos/make-relocatable.sh, macos/install-rprofile-hook.sh, macos/notarize.sh, macos/entitlements.plist, macos/test.sh, windows/build.ps1, windows/test.ps1, several .github/workflows YAML files, a Makefile, README.md, and a CLAUDE.md labeled "Developer notes." Below the table, an "Existing art for reference" section links to github.com/portable-r/portable-r-macos and github.com/portable-r/portable-r-windows.

Now I'm also looking for a research software engineer to implement a pile of research results to R packages loo, posterior, bayesplot, projpred, priorsense, brms or/and Python packages ArviZ, Bambi and Kulprit. Apply by email with no specific deadline (see contact info at users.aalto.fi/~ave/)

Aki Vehtari@avehtari.bsky.social · 10mo ago

I'm now also looking for a postdoc with strong Bayesian background and interest in developing Bayesian cross-validation theory, methods and software. Apply by email with no specific deadline (see contact information at users.aalto.fi/~ave/). Others, please share

I'm now also looking for a postdoc with strong Bayesian background and interest in developing Bayesian cross-validation theory, methods and software. Apply by email with no specific deadline (see contact information at users.aalto.fi/~ave/). Others, please share

Aki Vehtari@avehtari.bsky.social · 10mo ago

I'm looking for a doctoral student with Bayesian background to work on Bayesian workflow and cross-validation (see my publication list users.aalto.fi/~ave/publica... for my recent work) at Aalto University. Apply through the ELLIS PhD program (dl October 31) ellis.eu/news/ellis-p...

When there is a random way to do something, there is a less random way that is better but requires more thought. In this case, regression models that make no sense don't belong in a multiverse analysis. An inferential regression without a causal justification is like an opinion without reasons.

Joe Bak-Coleman@jbakcoleman.bsky.social · 10mo ago

Great piece on the absurdity of brute force multiverse analyses. www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

Bridge sampling estimates marginal likelihood. A recommendation has been to use an order of magnitude more posterior draws than otherwise. With Giorgio Micaletto we show how to compute MCSE for bridge sampling to decide how many draws are actually needed arxiv.org/abs/2508.14487

Bridge Sampling Diagnostics

In Bayesian statistics, the marginal likelihood is used for model selection and averaging, yet it is often challenging to compute accurately for complex models. Approaches such as bridge sampling, whi...

arxiv.org