BeWell Antifa

@collapsewatch3.bsky.social

California,Western US, Canada traveler. Finding beauty in nature while it's still here and I still can. Nature photography, in search of wilderness💚 Collapse aware since age of 4 Remember the children of Kali

How short-sighted displaying remarkable limited thinking skills and awareness were people who thought I can't vote for or support Kamala because of Gaza. Just a stunning example of human stupidity. From which society as we know it will never recover. Let that sink in.

Karly Kingsley@karlykingsley.bsky.social · 6d ago

The Russians are attacking trains right at the border of Poland, shortly after former UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson and top European security officials had passed through. Kamala Harris told us how it was all going to go.

With widespread temperatures in 95-105F range, plus very high humidity (dew points mostly 65-70F), heat index/apparent temperatures are now 105-110F across most of SoCal, with pockets of 110-115F. Peak may be a bit higher still later this PM. This humid heatwave is no joke! #CAwx

Snapshot of current observed heat index values across SoCal from a NWS map.

Recorded and now available, in case you missed it. Since this session ended, the NWS has now issued an Extreme Heat Warning for most or all of coastal SoCal for Wednesday (yes, tomorrow will be even worse) for the genuinely dangerous combination of extreme humidity plus heat.

Daniel Swain@weatherwest.bsky.social · 2w ago

Short-notice pop-up livestream TODAY (Sep 8) at 10am PT: A steamy tropical airmass associated with remnants of Hurricane Marie has allowed thunderstorms to develop near LA this AM, and will bring extreme humid heat over next 48 hours. Live discussion to follow.

Honored to keynote the Kentucky Emergency Services Conference today. My message was about closing the “confirmation gap” between getting a warning and believing it enough to act. Really grateful KESC gave me the room to make that case. Then I signed a bunch of Y’all-O-Meters 😂

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The ECMWF seasonal ensemble has just updated for September, and it continues to suggest that a soon record-strength El Niño will exert a very strong tilt in the odds toward wet conditions across the U.S. southern tier, including all of California, the Lower Colorado, and SE U.S.

Plot showing data from ECMWF SEAS5 seasonal model September update. It depicts the most likely "tercile" of precipitation during Jan-Mar 2027, and California is painted as "upper tercile" with 70-100% confidence.

🚨The most important NASA graph in the world has another 6 months of data, and it looks even worse. 🚨 NASA CERES satellites measure how much sunlight Earth absorbs and how much heat is radiated back to space. The difference is heat accumulation, which has more than tripled over the past 26 years!

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Leon Simons@leonsimons.com · 7mo ago

🚨The most important graph in the world has another year of data, and it doesn't look good!🚨 NASA CERES satellites measure how much sunlight Earth absorbs and how much heat is radiated back to space. The difference is heat accumulation, which has more than tripled!

Last week the folks on Fox News laid it on thick. It's the MOST important midterm of our lifetimes. Trump is best of what will ever be. He waved a flag! The most consequential president. Trump moves golf stakes! He NEVER brags about himself! This is North Korea level nonsense.

I just finished my winter outlook. There is one part of the country that I think could get absolutely ROBBED this winter. And another that could massively overperform for snow. You’ll see the whole map very soon.

* CARNEY SAYS U.S. TERMS IN TRADE TALKS MEANT CANADIAN INDUSTRIES EITHER WOULD BECOME U.S. SUBSIDIARIES OR BE WOUND DOWN * CANADA SAYS WE CAN START HAVING TRADE DISCUSSIONS WITH THE U.S. WHEN "AMERICANS STOP DOING MEMES, STOP THROWING SHADE, STOP TRYING TO BE TOUGH AND START BEING SERIOUS"

Given the very high level of interest, this turned into a 90-minute super-session on the wide range of potential outcomes (currently ranging from benign to quite high-impact) regarding a tropical storm near California this weekend. The recording is now available!

Daniel Swain@weatherwest.bsky.social · 3w ago

On Monday, Aug 31 at 3pm PT, I'll have a live virtual office hour focused solely on potential for an East Pacific tropical storm or hurricane to affect California next weekend (mostly likely indirectly, but with slight chance of a more direct approach). .

Temperatures in the area of the #Glacier Collapse have been increasing at about 2X the average global warming rate… about 5°F since 1940. While we need further investigation on this particular event, it’s clear glaciers around the World are becoming less stable. 1/

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Remnants of Tropical Storm Iselle will send considerable mid- and upper-level moisture, and some marginal mid-level instability, toward CA over the next 48 hours. Expect "tropical skies," continued elevated humidity, & isolated light showers/very slight chance of t-storms. #CAwx

Satellite snapshot depicting swirling remnants of former TS Iselle approaching California coast from the southwest.

GRAPHIC WARNING: This video contains sensitive footage that may disturb some viewers. A massive flash flood in the Himalayan border areas of Nepal and ‌China's Tibet washed away villages while damaging roads, bridges and power projects in a region bordering Tibet, authorities said

Trump's unhinged Lake America meltdown is all because the insecure piece of shit got butthurt over Ontario Premier Doug Ford calling him a "dictator," "bully," "loser," and "the king of bankruptcies."

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In case you missed it, this session was recorded (as always!) and is now available at the same link below. In addition to my primary focus on the long-duration humid heat in coastal SoCal, I also threw in a bit of wildfire, tropical storm, and ENSO discussion.

Daniel Swain@weatherwest.bsky.social · 4w ago

I'll have a "Lunch hour" (12 Noon Pacific Time) livestream on Mon, Aug 24 to discuss this week's major SoCal heatwave, including the role of elevated coastal humidity in amplifying human health risk from heat and which places could potentially break records.