Isabel Elaine Allen
@datacooker.bsky.social
sailor, biotech entrepreneur, biostatistician, runner, knitter, stats & analytics prof, musician, sabrmagician
🧪 #alzheimer #amyloid Amazing new paper from @sfackley.bsky.social that exposes the statistical alchemy Lilly applied to their donanemab data: jamanetwork.com/journals/jam... There is little to no correlation between amyoid removal and clinical outcomes with donanemab (or lecanemab).
Methodological Considerations for Quantile Aggregation in Alzheimer Disease Trials
This study evaluates the quantile-aggregation method using both simulated data and publicly available Alzheimer disease randomized trial data.
jamanetwork.com
Beware the reanalysis -
Eli Lilly’s reanalysis of TRAILBLAZER-ALZ 2 proposes a new method for evaluating amyloid as a surrogate endpoint and argues the resulting high R-squared values are “unlikely to be artificially inflated.” Our response now out in JAMA Neurology: they are. jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
1) A covariate that is predictive of outcome should be in the model even if unpredictive of assignment (eg matched pairs design). 2) A covariate that is not predictive of outcome should not be in the model, even if predictive of assignment. 3) The propensity score is stupid.
Our new paper led by Yembe W. Njamnshi, MD while a GBHI Fellow @ UCSF. Using TabCAT assessment in Longitudinal Early Onset Alzheimer's Disease Study (LEADS) focusing on 3 different levels: convergent, diagnostic, & neuroanatomical validity: alz-journals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...
Competition is extremely intense among top AI companies to achieve computing breakthroughs that might indicate the eternally imminent arrival of AGI, so a post like this from such a high-ranking executive caught the industry’s attention.
The embarrassing episode sprouted from a misunderstood post, amplified by an OpenAI executive as proof of GPT-5’s mathematical prowess, but turned out not to be what it seemed. https://sherwood.news/tech/openai-claimed-a-math-breakthrough-this-weekend-only-to-be-smacked-down/
ICYMI: “And now, a response from the leader of the frog resistance...” 🐸 🎵 #Colbert
working on a new unified theory of american reality i'm calling "everyone is twelve now"
🔎 Meta-analysis and triangulation depend on credible science. 📈 TIME-AD’s latest paper, led by Dr. Sarah Ackley, examines 20,000+ abstracts using an LLM to determine whether P value trends reflect changes in p-hacking, publication bias, or statistical power. Read it: tinyurl.com/3f3nuxma
How left-handedness, learning differences, seizures, and autoimmune disease influence both the clinical presentation and age at onset of Alzheimer’s disease—So great to finally see this published: alz-journals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10....
Neurodevelopment and neural environment inform Alzheimer's disease age at onset and phenotype
alz-journals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
The Dutch for the win. #Disney #ABC latenighter.com/news/watch-d...
Watch: Dutch Late-Night TV Imagines a Post-Kimmel Disney - LateNighter
You thought Stephen Colbert’s Thursday night cold open—a parody of Beauty and the Beast’s “Be Our Guest”—went there? Try the Dutch late-night show LUBATCH, which reimagined not just one Disney classic...
latenighter.com
9/16/25 is a Pythagorean triple day! 3 squared + 4 squared = 5 squared! A right triangle. Read my classic story "The Square Root of Pythagoras" written with Paul Difilippo. www.rudyrucker.com/completestor...
completestories
rudyrucker.com
If you are in TimesSquare - see the billboard highlighting two of our UCSF Global Brain Health Fellows -amazing Elijah Rock sings songs you know by heart - and the artwork is by Kiggundu Rawdney. Have a listen. Funded in part by the Alzheimer’s Association.
Maybe ChatGPT is just prescient and is predicting books these authors will write?
This was just posted by @tbretc.bsky.social on another platform. The Chicago Sun-Times obviously gets ChatGPT to write a ‘summer reads’ feature almost entirely made up of real authors but completely fake books. What are we coming to?
Resisting the urge to restart the negative binomial vs. Poisson wars...
Consider using a free textbook with your students- read the blog post:
Is it time to worry about the decline in higher education #OER awareness and use? We discussed why it may be a little early to worry in our OpenStax, Rice University blog post. openstax.org/blog/guest-p...
From @bayviewanalytics.bsky.social on OER (Open Educational Resources) - The Many Factors Influencing OER Awareness and Use #EduSky @openstax.org hewlett.org openstax.org/blog/guest-p...
OpenStax | Free Textbooks Online with No Catch
OpenStax offers free college textbooks for all types of students, making education accessible & affordable for everyone. Browse our list of available subjects!
openstax.org
Feels like some more people around here might want to see this and share your feedback. I'm sure the folks at Heritage Foundation would appreciate your honest opinions.
I’m somehow on a Heritage Foundation mailing list (😂) and they sent a survey to see what we think of DOGE. Who wants to offer some m-fing feedback?!? secured.heritage.org/the-heritage... Please share with a friend or a thousand :)
Why else would universities be replacing all their epidemiologists with 'digital health scientists'?!
Dishonest charts are coming from all directions, and they're only going to hit harder. Unless we push back. So, an interactive guide: Defense Against Dishonest Charts flowingdata.com/projects/dis...
Defense Against Dishonest Charts
This is a guide to protect ourselves and to preserve what is good about turning data into visual things.
flowingdata.com
Check out my letter on amyloid-targeting drugs in STAT! www.statnews.com/2025/02/22/l... A thread #episky
Is there an amyloid mafia? STAT readers weigh in
“Lecanemab has given us more years together. That’s not ‘minute’ nor ‘minimal’ to me,” writes one reader in STAT’s letters to the editor this week.
statnews.com