I'm sure that there's a lot more that you could do with these data, so I've made a CSV file of all of the estimates available on GitHub for you to download and work with: github.com/jackobailey/...

1/ Happy to see @kaitlin-alper.bsky.social, myself, & Andreas Jozwiak's paper out @ejprjournal.bsky.social It's well-known that, on average, women support redistribution more than men. We find that the gender gap is conditional on household income & inequality within couples. tinyurl.com/3nrn53ej

Apparently someone thought the Robocop franchise appropriate to base not one but *two* animated children's cartoon series in. Haven't felt this level of dissonance since I watched a Transformers movie - family rating - and watched one robot tear out the spine of another robot and beat it with it.

🚨 New paper in @electoralstudies.bsky.social with @klaramueller.bsky.social! “How snap election calls shape vote intention uncertainty” We show that when a snap election is called, voters resolve their uncertainty about who to vote for almost *immediately* www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Bizarre conviction that you can simultaneously take public positions *and* remain left-right neutral through your own personal agency. Somehow it's always Americans that assert this *despite their political system being so so very obviously hypermobile*.

shambibble@shambibble.com · 2w ago

If Anyone Assigns Agency To The Political Right, Everyone Dies

UK parliament is sovereign, it is not actually the case that people can simply break the law by "getting in X days early" - there's no impediment to "individual donations above £X are illegal and that includes the ones that happened two weeks ago". No impediment, that is, except lack of will.

Sam Bright@writesbright.bsky.social · 2w ago

Labour should have acted quicker to stop this - and it may seriously regret not doing so

Listening to a podcast talking to Gen Z MP (Rest is Politics) - just as an aside one MP mentioned a friend using their inheritance to help pay off their UK student loan. Nobody in the interview pointed out that this would - in almost any combination of circumstances - be financial self-harm.

💔 Do you ever feel lonely – and have you ever thought of #loneliness as political? I’m super excited about this new publication with @mlewandowsky.bsky.social in @electoralstudies.bsky.social, in which we examine the relationship between loneliness and voting. 👉 www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Hmm

Couple of problems with this argument, but the principal one is that timelines are just ... wrong. For a start, three things need explaining (i) fall of Radical Right politics in 1945 & flat-lining until ~87 (ii) rise ~1988-2000 (iii) rise from ~2010

Will Stancil@whstancil.bsky.social · last mo.

The correct explanation for the global rise of far-right politics: 1. The cost of publishing to large audiences collapsed - first text, then video. 2. Competition for public attention hugely increased, forcing publishers to play to audiences’ biases/resentments. 3. Radicalization feedback loop.

Xing - job search website - no longer lets you use boolean (OR/AND/NOT) in searches in the basis (non-paid) service. Which is annoying.

Reform voters, and to a lesser extent Tories, are much likelier to think they hold the most common public view across several topics that our survey suggests is not the case, most notably: -2024 rioters -Trans ID -Bregret -Business reg -Lockdowns -Israel-Palestine -Trump yougov.com/en-gb/articl...

The 2024 US Presidential election was heralded as a “vibe shift” with public support swinging away from content moderation and towards freedom of speech. However, the pundits were wrong! In a new study we found that the so-called vibe shift in societal norms was largely an illusion.

This book - at least the chapter 1 very tight summary of arguments/contents available in tweet below this one - is very good! Explicit norms based model of some of the stuff I've been waffling around (RR voting can shoot up *without an economic driver/without an attitudinal shift in its favour*).

Rob Ford@robfordmancs.bsky.social · 2mo ago

For more on the power of norms to shape political behaviour, check out this book by @valentimvicente.bsky.social which really should be required reading for every British politician and advisor, and everyone in the British political media: academic.oup.com/book/57946

Re: Nathan Cofnas - seeing a lot of arguments posed as defending "academic freedom"... ...which on inspection aren't about academic freedom but instead just vanilla "post-doc hired to clean business management datasets publicly asserts that vaccines don't work and that that's what he's working on".

Academic Freedom != Unqualified Free Speech (phil postdoc contracted to write about liberalism can assert that vaccines don't work *both consequence free and be quoted as speaking with the authority of their academic post*)

8th May-3rd June 2026 British Election Study is now available, am opening up now if *anyone has any requests*. Context - that's following the local elections but before Starmer announces he'll resign.

The British Election Study@britishelectionstudy.com · last mo.

📢 New Data 📢 We are pleased to announce the release of Wave 31 of the British Election Study Internet Panel. You can find out more information, including where to download the data, here: www.britishelectionstudy.com/uncategorize...

Siskos

Risk tolerance/gender effects is one of the things not captured well by the two political compass factors (that does matter).

Luke Tryl@luketryl.bsky.social · last mo.

🌑☀️Does anti-system thinking correlate with disregarding official advice? Those who'd rather see our 'political and social institutions burn' than 'preserve and improve them' were more likely to look at the sun directly during the eclipse.

Call me spoiled, but I prefer my academic cranks to either crank about their specialised subject - or crank in a manner that is obviously singular to their discipline. But this stuff ... could be written by any of a hundred interchangeable columnists.

worms cited@christa.bsky.social · last mo.

New from Kathleen Stock: I am too dumb for climate change

Re: Clacton By-election - keep hearing people present "well, he might have consolidated his vote in Clacton, it go even higher" ... as if that matters. If Nigel Farage spends has to fight another by-election in Clacton - this time because of the thing he was trying to dodge ...

More basic than the moral quandary presented is the fact that it's imaginary. If someone says "rape 50 children or the planet blows up" ... before you start arguing consequentialism vs deontology, question 1 should be "Why do you believe these things are connected? What is the model in your head?".

Matthew Noe@noethematt.bsky.social · last mo.

If the options are save the country by sacrificing an entire group of people or don't save the country... We've already lost and the country isn't worth saving

Inherently hard to get data on, but looking at US poll miss data ( @gelliottmorris.com) and other research about consistent polling errors and it looks like Social Liberalism is a predictor of "Willingness To Sacrifice Time To Answer A Poll"

There was one with a better front man - George Galloway. A man who - unlike, say, Nigel Farage - had a long record of gambling on long odds and flipping unlikely seats. Whatever you think of him, he's good at campaigning.

Michael@michaeljsc.bsky.social · 2mo ago

this is a description of actually existing Starmerism. and fair enough, it could have done with a better frontman! but the actual product is not popular

Janan Ganesh continuing the braindead "a save the NHS, hang the Paedos party would clean up" ... ... somehow failing to note that the UK has had parties in this area 1945-2019 (most obv the BNP!) and they consistently failed.

Financial Times@financialtimes.com · 2mo ago

Why must a socialist also be woke? ft.trib.al/YduTkTO

It's a genuine gift to see an MP reasoning outloud in public with a Labour activist. The downside is that you can see the vast gaps in the chain of reasoning.

Jonathan Portes@jdportes.bsky.social · 2mo ago

I genuinely don't understand how @antoniabance.bsky.social gets from "I don't need mad speeches from the PM about strangers" [top] to "I'm broadly fine with [forced remigration of 100,000s of people who came here legally to work]" [bottom] ..which was the "mad speech about strangers" policy..

"It Couldn't Happen Now" => "Who Are You Going To Trust? Your Lying Eyes or the fact that Other People Aren't Panicking?"

Will 🏳️‍🌈@william-v.bsky.social · 2mo ago

I think part of the problem the UK currently faces is a failure by the few remaining reasonable voices in the media and politics to call a spade a spade. Musk is a white supremacist. It's not reasonable to use a platform owned by a white supremacist.

Remarkably, I was completely unaware of this thing until now: www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Euk...

Blake's Junction 7 (2005)

YouTube video by orac1978

youtube.com