Or in other words:

Ryan Enos@ryanenos.bsky.social · 6h ago

Don't posit a theory that is only interesting because it implies X causes variation in Y, test for a statistical relationship between X and Y, but then say you are not interpreting causally. Of course you are interpreting it causally. That was the whole point of what you just did.

Don't put causality on a pedestal

Jeremy Labrecque@jeremylabrecque.bsky.social · yesterday

Making a causal claim, however weak and tentative, without even listing all your assumptions = Asking for the million dollar lottery prize without demonstrating that you have all matching numbers

"Finally, ministers pointed out that communication during moments of crisis could further be reinforced through timely coordination and should be more coherent, especially to counter malicious external actors engaged in foreign information manipulation and interference." Amen.

Tom Jenkins@tomoljenkins.bsky.social · yesterday

Positive 🇮🇪 @consilium.europa.eu Presidency on Ceuta. UK press and assorted RW scumbags here and in the US (👀 Vance) will be disappointed. Good point about countering "malicious external actors engaged in foreign information manipulation and interference" www.consilium.europa.eu/en/meetings/...

Spent an hour today cleaning all the different Python version I cluttered my machine with over the years. Hopefully everything is clean now. I really can't understand why anyone would have a preference for this ecosystem.

public libraries ftw

I'm so happy to announce version 2.0.0 of my #Rstats package WeightIt is out on CRAN! New features: censoring weights, multilevel propensity scores, improved weights for continuous treatments, bias-reduced ordinal and multinomial models, M-estimation in subgroups Check out the website below!

Weighting for Covariate Balance in Observational Studies

Generates balancing weights for causal effect estimation in observational studies with binary, multi-category, or continuous point or longitudinal treatments by easing and extending the functionality ...

ngreifer.github.io

It's honestly what I love about it. I set it to work, get started on reading papers. Yes: Reading. Papers. Something I thought I would never have time to do ever again. And then I check back with AI every once in a while.

Letting the AI work and working out in the meantime

Prediction: This paper will generate a lot of discussion. www.nber.org/papers/w35544

Two Selection Problems, One Bias Term: Experimental Sign-Up Is Treatment Choice in Disguise

Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...

nber.org

Some slightly under-the-radar bad news from Ukraine: it's not doing the judicial reforms it promised to get into the EU (and indeed to continue getting EU aid) www.economist.com/europe/2026/...

Ukraine needs the EU to force it to reform

The government is shirking the work required for membership

economist.com

Monday vibes

stunlocked remembering that one time i said “kant” in a history class with the german vowel in my australian accent

cafkafk@cafkafk.bsky.social · 2d ago

top 5 red flags: - Reading Kant - Thinking Kant is right - Wanting to be Kant - Liking Sigmu- No surpise this is also Kant - Kant

Wales becomes first country to withdraw support for Fifa president Gianni Infantino

Wales becomes first country to withdraw support for Fifa president Gianni Infantino

Infantino last week shelved his widely denounced plan to sell off World Cup stakes to private investors

irishtimes.com

KI duzen oder siezen?

Over the last 20 plus years of attending academic conferences I've watched the assistant professor and graduate student presenters become increasingly more methodological sophisticated and the methods become increasingly complex. And it's hard to keep up.

Peak German Cuisine youtube.com/shorts/iP3nq...

German food is interesting

YouTube video by Uyen Ninh

youtube.com

Reading about Infantino / FIFA and the obvious conclusion is how Trump has normalised massive corruption for those in his circle. And the opportunities are huge in today's globalisation. Hence the importance of some form of global rules however compromised.

This is a bit of a wild read. www.theguardian.com/education/ng...

Playbooks, plagiarism and a pig’s head: new claims surrounding a star Cambridge professor

Jason Arday was regarded as an academic superstar, but then questions about his work prompted scrutiny of his backstory and counterclaims of racism

theguardian.com

Wenn das ein hybrider Angriff gewesen wäre, um Europas Entschlossenheit, Zusammenhalt und Reaktionsfähigkeit zu testen, dann hat Europa den Test nicht bestanden. Das ist auch eine der Lehren der letzten 48 Stunden.

Jan Skudlarek@janskudlarek.bsky.social · 4d ago

"Die Europäer haben auf eine Bedrohung von außen nicht gemeinsam reagiert, sondern sind übereinander hergefallen. Der gestrige Tag war ein schwarzer Tag für Europa und ein Fest für seine Feinde." www.zeit.de/politik/2026...

American colleges too. I had a classmate/nominal roommate who moved in with her prof boyfriend; in grad programs it was incredibly common for men's second wives to be the much-younger grad student (look up wikis of those you admire) & it was v common for them to hit on grad students at conferences.

This look should've been Infantino's end

Me when I read about you wrapping up the semester in May vs. Me wrapping up the semester now

Pedro Sánchez's letter to von der Leyen today. It absolutely tears them apart 🎯

🇺🇦 FM warns of a 🇷🇺 campaign using #Ceuta pictures to sow destabilisation. Are 🇮🇹🇫🇮🇩🇰 governments talking of suspending Schengen—not mentioning that (a) 🇪🇸 quickly got the Ceuta situation under control & (b) there are border controls between Ceuta and EU mainland anyway—aware whose game they are playing?

Has Infantino overplayed his hand?

The Associated Press@apnews.com · 4d ago

UEFA says it has lost confidence in FIFA President Gianni Infantino and that “no option should be off the table” as it will pursue a full review of his now abandoned plan to sell stakes of the World Cup to private equity investors.

Glad someone senior from the sector is pushing back. Labour MPs need to understand the serious real anger from graduates and the people who produce them. And the dangerous financial situation they have allowed to fester, or indeed worsened, in one of Britain’s leading sectors.

Labour has harmed universities as much as Trump, London School of Economics head says

LSE vice-chancellor Larry Kramer points to domestic student fees freeze, international student limits and rise in employers’ national insurance

ft.com

European academics crying silently in the corner

Bloomberg Law@bloomberglaw.com · 5d ago

A deceased New York University sociology professor’s $5.2 million retirement account will go to the Democratic Socialists of America based on his 50-year-old beneficiary designation favoring the leftist New American Movement.

Turns out I've been using a TeX version from 2017 up until today

Happy Elderly Woman Taking a Picture

ALT: Happy Elderly Woman Taking a Picture

static.klipy.com

The PI presenting the paper written entirely by the rest of their research team

Academics are well aware