Kristian Ulrichsen

@kristianulrichsen.bsky.social

Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy. My work focuses on the study of the history, political economy, and international relations of the Gulf States.

For the first time since the 1990-91 Iraqi occupation of Kuwait, a regional crisis affects all six states simultaneously (albeit unevenly), but it remains to be seen whether the different interplay of interests leads them to respond separately. @kristianulrichsen.bsky.social

Gulf States Adjust to a New Normal - AGSI

Gulf capitals are facing immediate policy choices around how to restore order in a regional setting that is greatly changed – for the worse – as a result of the Iran war.

agsi.org

All too predictable, as I wrote for AGSI back in January. ‘heightened uncertainty over what line may be crossed next, such as the targeting of energy and other critical infrastructure vulnerabilities, including desalination plants, or severe disruption to shipping in the Gulf.’

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AGSI@gulfstatesinst.bsky.social · 4mo ago

The scale of the targeting of civilian and energy infrastructure, in addition to the network of military facilities hosting U.S. forces, has arguably exceeded the base-case scenarios of Iranian responses. @kristianulrichsen.bsky.social

'Having accurately assessed the risk/reward balance of military action against Iran prior to the February 28 start of the conflict and calculated their own vulnerability of being caught in the middle, there is no satisfaction in being proved right.' My latest ⬇️

AGSI@gulfstatesinst.bsky.social · 4mo ago

More than two months into a war that the Gulf Arab states long sought to avoid, the weeks of conflict and fragile cease-fire have revealed a series of hard truths and strategic dilemmas for regional leaders as they begin to chart a path forward. @kristianulrichsen.bsky.social

More than two months into a war that the Gulf Arab states long sought to avoid, the weeks of conflict and fragile cease-fire have revealed a series of hard truths and strategic dilemmas for regional leaders as they begin to chart a path forward. @kristianulrichsen.bsky.social

Gulf States Adjust to a New Normal - AGSI

Gulf capitals are facing immediate policy choices around how to restore order in a regional setting that is greatly changed – for the worse – as a result of the Iran war.

agsi.org

“Having accurately assessed the risk/reward balance of military action against Iran prior to the Feb 28 start of the conflict and calculated their own vulnerability of being caught in the middle there is no satisfaction in being proved right.” @kristianulrichsen.bsky.social agsi.org/analysis/gul...

Gulf States Adjust to a New Normal - AGSI

Gulf capitals are facing immediate policy choices around how to restore order in a regional setting that is greatly changed – for the worse – as a result of the Iran war.

agsi.org

Reposting this 🧵 from X, which—despite its enshitification by Elon—is still the best social media hub for quality Iran War analysis. Some of the scholars & analysts whom I’ve recommended here (see the final post here for those recommendations) are on this platform. But most aren’t/post there more.

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Clearly huge hurdles to overcome for forthcoming WC in US re conflict in Middle East, but - as discussed by @kristianulrichsen.bsky.social in this released shortly after initial US/Israel strikes on Iran last year - regional unrest hugely concerning for Saudi (WC34/SPL/project2030). pod.fo/e/2f6765

The Athletic FC Podcast: At what cost? Saudi Arabia and soccer

There's been two football tournaments in the United States this summer, the Club World Cup and the Gold Cup. Both with an ostensible Saudi feel, all part of grand plan to invest heavily in sport ba...

pod.fo