📄🌽 New study led by @sifangfeng.bsky.social In model simulations, low production in major breadbaskets worldwide does not systematically co-occur to produce global crop failures. But, climate change is expected to increase concurrent extremes across breadbaskets, favouring global-scale events.

The influence of spatial correlations in crop production on global crop failures in model simulations

Spatial correlation between climate variables may modulate concurrent regional crop failures and reduce global crop production. However, the influence…

sciencedirect.com

📄🔥 New study on Spatially compounding fire danger in Europe, led by E. Gauthier. We often view extreme fire weather locally—but what if multiple European countries face it simultaneously, potentially overwhelming shared firefighting resources via widespread fires? www.nature.com/articles/s44...

Human-induced climate change intensifies spatially compounding fire weather extremes across European countries - npj Natural Hazards

npj Natural Hazards - Human-induced climate change intensifies spatially compounding fire weather extremes across European countries

nature.com

Extreme Klimafolgen sind auch bei 2 Grad Erwärmung möglich! Das zeigt eine Studie von #UFZ et al. Bislang wurden extreme Klimafolgen oft mit sehr hohen globalen Erwärmungsniveaus von 3 oder 4°C in Verbindung gebracht... @zscheischlerjak.bsky.social @bevacquae.bsky.social www.ufz.de/index.php?de...

Great coverage by @ayeshatandon.carbonbrief.org at Carbon Brief on our new study about extreme global climate outcomes.

Carbon Brief@carbonbrief.org · 4mo ago

NEW – Limiting global warming to 2C would not ‘rule out’ extreme impacts | @ayeshatandon.carbonbrief.org w/ comment from @bevacquae.bsky.social @erichfischer.bsky.social Read here: buff.ly/xRDSktf

Here is a great News & Views article by Rachel Warren discussing our recent work: www.nature.com/articles/d41... @natureportfolio.nature.com

Extreme climate outcomes could still occur with just 2 °C of global warming

Moderate global warming creates a risk of climate impacts that are more severe than the most-likely impacts of high global warming.

nature.com

In a new Nature study, we show that extreme global climate outcomes may occur even under moderate 2°C warming for several sectors. The findings reinforce the urgency of limiting warming well below 2°C. Together with @erichfischer.bsky.social @janasillmann.bsky.social @zscheischlerjak.bsky.social

Moderate global warming does not rule out extreme global climate outcomes - Nature

Extreme global climate outcomes may occur even under moderate 2 °C warming and may turn out to be more extreme than model-averaged projections at 3 °C or 4 °C warming.

nature.com

🔥 PhD position alert ➡️ We are looking for a PhD candidate interested in studying spatially compounding fire risk and its drivers under climate change. Details & applications👇 recruitingapp-5128.de.umantis.com/Vacancies/33...

PhD Researcher (f/m/x) – Spatially compounding fire weather extremes across Europe in a changing climate

recruitingapp-5128.de.umantis.com

Our new study on how large floods will change in Europe under climate change, led by @bfang.bsky.social, with @bevacquae.bsky.social

Communications Earth & Environment@commsearth.nature.com · 11mo ago

❄️🌧️Reduced snowmelt dominates changes in Northern Europe's largest floods, while heavy precipitation dominates Western Europe flood events. @bfang.bsky.social @zscheischlerjak.bsky.social 👉Read more here: www.nature.com/articles/s43...

Indeed, it was a pleasure to contribute to this course with content on extreme events, climate change, and attribution science. Now it’s time for the examination! :)

Larisa Tarasova@lytarasova.bsky.social · last yr.

Today marks the end of my first teaching semester @unileipzig.bsky.social 📚🤩 it was a great experience to get to know such a great batch of students! Special thanks to my co-lecturer @bevacquae.bsky.social for the support 💪🏽

To what extent does human-induced climate change contribute to global extreme wildfires? In our latest study, we quantified the contribution of human-induced climate change to over 700 observed extreme wildfires globally. www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Growing human-induced climate change fingerprint in regional weekly fire extremes - npj Climate and Atmospheric Science

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science - Growing human-induced climate change fingerprint in regional weekly fire extremes

nature.com

🔥🌍 In a new paper led by Sifang Feng, we find a growing human-induced climate change fingerprint in weekly regional fire extremes. 📈 On average, climate change was responsible for a fraction equal to 8 ± 4% of the predicted probability of more than 700 fire extremes worldwide between 2002 and 2015.

Growing human-induced climate change fingerprint in regional weekly fire extremes - npj Climate and Atmospheric Science

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science - Growing human-induced climate change fingerprint in regional weekly fire extremes

nature.com

Hi - I'd like to share this story of what is happening at NOAA GFDL, where some of my colleagues and I worked until the mass firings at NOAA last week. "...the birthplace of weather and climate forecasting"

NOAA firings hit the birthplace of weather and climate forecasting

Dismissed researchers were improving severe weather predictions

science.org

Great job opportunity in Graz, check it out!

Douglas Maraun@dmaraun.bsky.social · last yr.

Like to develop your own research profile? Work on a permanent contract in a diverse, inspiring & supportive work environment? We seek to appoint a scientist working on climate hazards for risk assessments & on data management & analysis. Join us at Wegener Center: jobs.uni-graz.at/en/jobs/6015...

2024 was the first year to see global average temperatures rise more than 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. Has the Paris Agreement goal already bitten the dust? www.newscientist.com/article/2467...

Have we already breached the 1.5°C global warming target?

Although the climate goals set by the Paris Agreement are based on the long-term average temperature, one year of high temperatures might be a sign that the 1.5°C threshold has already been reached

newscientist.com

Two papers in Nature Climate Change suggest that exceeding 1.5 °C in 2024 may indicate that we have entered a multi-decadal period of 1.5 °C average global warming. https://go.nature.com/4hR9GYO https://go.nature.com/3WVdJM1 🧪

In Nature Climate Change, we show that a year above 1.5 °C signals that Earth is most probably within the 20-year period that will reach the Paris Agreement limit. @natclimchange.bsky.social

A year above 1.5 °C signals that Earth is most probably within the 20-year period that will reach the Paris Agreement limit - Nature Climate Change

What a first year with temperature 1.5 °C above the pre-industrial baseline implies for long-term temperature goals is unclear. Here the authors show that such a first year above the baseline is highl...

nature.com

Spiralling global temperatures: 2024 edition

We are delighted to announce the "Compound weather and climate events" session at #EGU25! We look forward to receiving your exciting abstracts! @compoundnet.bsky.social

We are delighted to announce the "Compound weather and climate events" session at #EGU25! We look forward to receiving your exciting abstracts! @compoundnet.bsky.social

Do you remember the extreme #drought in Europe in 2022? Our @naturegeosci.bsky.social paper shows that human-induced global warming contributed to 31% of the intensity, with 14–41% of such contribution due to warming-driven soil drying that occurred before 2022. rdcu.be/dXA1S 1/n

Climate change intensified the 2022 European drought "human-induced global warming contributed to over 30% of the drought intensity and its spatial extent via enhanced evaporation" www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Direct and lagged climate change effects intensified the 2022 European drought - Nature Geoscience

An attribution analysis using observations, hydrological models and climate models suggests that both direct and lagged effects of climate warming contributed to Europe experiencing the highest observ...

nature.com

Great to get the 3rd Como trainingschool on statistical modeling of @Compound_Event|s started with a keynote by @Bevacqua_E and an international cohort of early career researchers. Two exciting weeks ahead! @kan_risk

🔥 PhD position alert! 🌍 Are you interested in studying fire risk and its drivers in Europe under climate change via large datasets? Join our new research group on compound climate extremes! Details & applications👇 recruitingapp-5128.de.umantis.com/Vacancies/28...