What happens when heatwaves or droughts affect several of the key wheat producing regions at the same time? Our new ERL paper explores the impacts on global wheat production and trade, and identifies countries most vulnerable to production and export shocks. iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...

The impacts of concurrent heatwaves and droughts on global wheat production and trade

The impacts of concurrent heatwaves and droughts on global wheat production and trade, Vogel, Elisabeth, Sweet, Lily-belle, Ribeiro, Andreia F S, Mora, Camille J, Johnson, Fiona, Zscheischler, Jakob

iopscience.iop.org

It was inevitable, wasn't it🙄 Of course the Telegraph would run with something like this👇 So let's remove some of the rose-tinted spectacles and also look at some of that data comparing 1976 with modern heat waves Because the 1976 nostalgia porn is wearing a bit thin at this stage 🧵1/23

To keep track of the rapidly growing field of attribution research, Carbon Brief has mapped every published study on how climate change has influenced extreme weather. Explore the interactive map here ⬇️ interactive.carbonbrief.org/attribution-...

In our new paper in Science Advances, we show that AI-based forecasting models are not yet very good at predicting record-breaking events

Science Magazine@science.org · 3mo ago

When predicting extreme weather, new #ScienceAdvances research finds that a state-of-the-art physics forecasting system still outperforms #AI models. https://scim.ag/4t5wIk8

Physics-based models outperform AI weather forecasts of record-breaking extremes www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

Physics-based models outperform AI weather forecasts of record-breaking extremes

Physics-based models still outperform artificial intelligence-based weather models in forecasting record-breaking extreme events.

science.org

Extreme Klimafolgen sind auch bei 2 Grad Erwärmung möglich! Das zeigt eine Studie von #UFZ et al. Bislang wurden extreme Klimafolgen oft mit sehr hohen globalen Erwärmungsniveaus von 3 oder 4°C in Verbindung gebracht... @zscheischlerjak.bsky.social @bevacquae.bsky.social www.ufz.de/index.php?de...

NEW – Limiting global warming to 2C would not ‘rule out’ extreme impacts | @ayeshatandon.carbonbrief.org w/ comment from @bevacquae.bsky.social @erichfischer.bsky.social Read here: buff.ly/xRDSktf

Extreme global climate outcomes are possible even at 2°C of warming In our new Nature study led by @bevacquae.bsky.social with Jakob Zscheischler and @janasillmann.bsky.social, we show that even moderate warming of 2°C could lead to extreme outcomes. www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Moderate global warming does not rule out extreme global climate outcomes - Nature

Extreme global climate outcomes may occur even under moderate 2 °C warming and may turn out to be more extreme than model-averaged projections at 3 °C or 4 °C warming.

nature.com

Dürren und Starkregen könnten in Zukunft noch heftiger ausfallen als bislang angenommen, auch wenn die Welt das Zwei-Grad-Ziel schafft. Experten fordern deshalb neue Anpassungen und sagen, warum schon 2027 ein neuer Hitzerekord droht.

Klimawandel: Extreme Folgen schon bei Erwärmung um zwei Grad möglich

Dürren und Starkregen könnten in Zukunft noch heftiger ausfallen als bislang angenommen, auch wenn die Welt das Zwei-Grad-Ziel schafft. Experten fordern deshalb neue Anpassungen und sagen, warum schon 2027 ein neuer Hitzerekord droht.

spiegel.de

We are hiring: 4 PhD Positions in Ecology / Data Science and one Ecological Data Scientist. For more information, see www.uni-regensburg.de/universitaet...

We are hiring: 4 PhD Positions in Ecology / Data Science and one Ecological Data Scientist

We are looking for 4 PhD Positions and one Scientific Programmer / Ecological Data Scientist to join the AG Hartig (Theoretical Ecology)

uni-regensburg.de

Two exciting postdoc positions available! Historical windstorms - working with two insurance companies to explore UK wind risks: jobs.reading.ac.uk/Job/JobDetai... Extreme event storylines - working as part of a EU collaboration on event attribution: jobs.reading.ac.uk/Job/JobDetai...

So, I hate to be this guy, but as the director of Yale’s new program on attribution science (!?), uh, most of the commentary on Bluesky about Hurricane Melissa and climate change has been… not quite right

This is a good corrective to the BS narrative flowing through the Pielke/AEI/NYP/EID/DOE nexus. Their argument is designed so that we can never ever attribute extreme events to emissions - even singular events that would have *never* [for some suitable finite approximation] have happened before.

Chelsea Harvey@chelseaeharvey.bsky.social · 10mo ago

Today from @lesleyclark.bsky.social and @saraschonhardt.bsky.social + contribs from me: www.eenews.net/articles/cli...

Herzlichen Glückwunsch! Eine sehr verdiente Auszeichnung für eine herausragende Wissenschaftlerin und ausgezeichnete Mentorin!

Prof. Sonia I Seneviratne@soniaseneviratne.bsky.social · 11mo ago

Es ist eine grosse Ehre, den 2025 Deutschen Umweltpreis zu erhalten! Danke an alle meine jetzigen und ehemaligen Gruppenmitglieder und viele Kolleg:innen! @lukasgudmundsson.bsky.social @yasserhaddad.bsky.social @yannquilcaille.bsky.social @michaelgwindisch.bsky.social @usyseth.bsky.social

I had an engagement with blogger, failed California gubernatorial candidate, and self-identified reporter Michael Shellenberger this past week, which started out being about this new paper being heralded by climate skeptics as disproving global sea-level acceleration. (LONG 🧵)

Our new study on how large floods will change in Europe under climate change, led by @bfang.bsky.social, with @bevacquae.bsky.social

Communications Earth & Environment@commsearth.nature.com · 11mo ago

❄️🌧️Reduced snowmelt dominates changes in Northern Europe's largest floods, while heavy precipitation dominates Western Europe flood events. @bfang.bsky.social @zscheischlerjak.bsky.social 👉Read more here: www.nature.com/articles/s43...

I am looking for a Postdoc to join my team at @climate.columbia.edu and NASA GISS. We will be working with Corteva Agrisceince and advance our understanding of historical and future crop breeding using crop models. Exciting and ambitious, please share! academic.careers.columbia.edu#!/168193

Numerical weather prediction models (ECMWF IFS) still outperform AI weather models in forecasting record-breaking hot and cold extremes and unseen wind extremes Preprint arxiv.org/abs/2508.15724 with Zhongwei Zhang @erichfischer.bsky.social @zscheischlerjak.bsky.social and Sebastian Engelke

Numerical models outperform AI weather forecasts of record-breaking extremes

Artificial intelligence (AI)-based models are revolutionizing weather forecasting and have surpassed leading numerical weather prediction systems on various benchmark tasks. However, their ability to ...

arxiv.org

🏅Outstanding Publication! What if #ExtremeFloods are driven by compounding factors? Using #LightGBM + #SHAP to quantify how rainfall, soil moisture, snowpack & temperature interact, this study reveals "The Secret Network of Extreme Floods" 🔗: https://scads.ai/the-secret-network-of-extreme-floods/

To what extent does human-induced climate change contribute to global extreme wildfires? In our latest study, we quantified the contribution of human-induced climate change to over 700 observed extreme wildfires globally. www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Growing human-induced climate change fingerprint in regional weekly fire extremes - npj Climate and Atmospheric Science

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science - Growing human-induced climate change fingerprint in regional weekly fire extremes

nature.com

On International Firefighters’ Day, happy to share our latest research about challenges in international firefighting cooperation due to increasing fire weather season overlap between Australia and North America. doi.org/10.1029/2024...

Increasing Fire Weather Season Overlap Between North America and Australia Challenges Firefighting Cooperation

A warmer climate increases overlapping fire risk between North America and Australia, potentially compromising firefighting cooperation Variability of Australian fire weather dominates the risk o...

doi.org

UFZ@ufz.de · last yr.

#Klimawandel erhöht das Risiko gleichzeitiger Waldbrände, zeigen deutsche und australische Forschende in ihrer Studie. Die sog. Feuerwetter überlappen sich zunehmend und erschweren so staatenübergreifende Hilfe. #UFZ @zscheischlerjak.bsky.social @afsribeiro.bsky.social www.ufz.de/index.php?de...

Transdisciplinary coordination is essential for advancing agricultural modelling with machine learning. The opportunities are great, but to avoid pitfalls, we need to establish benchmarks, evaluation criteria and best practices. Our perspective: www.cell.com/one-earth/fu... @cp-oneearth.bsky.social

Transdisciplinary coordination is essential for advancing agricultural modeling with machine learning

Crop models play a key role in understanding and improving the climate-change resilience of food systems. If appropriately used, machine learning can help tackle some of the critical challenges of agr...

cell.com

#Klimawandel erhöht das Risiko gleichzeitiger Waldbrände, zeigen deutsche und australische Forschende in ihrer Studie. Die sog. Feuerwetter überlappen sich zunehmend und erschweren so staatenübergreifende Hilfe. #UFZ @zscheischlerjak.bsky.social @afsribeiro.bsky.social www.ufz.de/index.php?de...

🎺 #job alert: Are you interested in #Biodiversity and #Health linkages? Come and work with us in our lab at @ufz.de @idiv-research.bsky.social apply online via UFZ recruitment portal until 18 May 2025 👇 lnkd.in/eQmcKDQU

Our 2024 climate chronicles have just been published! Check out the Collection: www.nature.com/collections/... Thread below details all articles and their take-home messages. [1/n]

Climate chronicles

Climate chronicles brings together Nature Reviews Earth & Environment's annual series of 'Year in Review' articles.

nature.com

Looking for a new postdoc position in climate? Help us build a reanalysis-based storyline approach to consider how individual extreme events and their impacts are altered in different climates. Based in Edinburgh as part of collaborative project: elxw.fa.em3.oraclecloud.com/hcmUI/Candid...

If someone would like to do a postdoc with me on the Stanford campus aimed at thinking about allocation of resources across different domains (climate, environment, food, health, education, wealth transfer, etc) to improve human welfare (balancing near-term and long-term goals), please contact me.

📢 Postdoc Opportunity: Ocean Tipping Points & Impacts! We're hiring a postdoc in my group at the University of Bern, Switzerland, to study ocean tipping points and their impacts. The position is part of HEurope project TipESM (@tipesm.bsky.social). Feel free to reach out with any questions. 🌊

Interested in volunteering to be an author for the IPCC AR7 Working Groups? Nomination process open until 17th April: apps.ipcc.ch/nominations/...

Like to develop your own research profile? Work on a permanent contract in a diverse, inspiring & supportive work environment? We seek to appoint a scientist working on climate hazards for risk assessments & on data management & analysis. Join us at Wegener Center: jobs.uni-graz.at/en/jobs/6015...