Alan Gerard

@wxmanms1.bsky.social

35 year meteorologist in warning/forecast provision and research, now CEO of Balanced Weather LLC, Disney/Peanuts fan, golfer, sports fan, TK Little. For more weather info go to https://balancedweather.substack.com/about

Combined, the eastern + central North Pacific basins have exceeded their record *seasonal* Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE). Notably, both the ENP and CNP currently rank third when evaluated *separately*. Those years were hyperactive in one or the other, not both: CNP < 2015, 2018 ENP < 1990, 1992

Central North Pacific (180-140W) daily accumulated cyclone energy (ACE), a metric based on tropical cyclone (TC) wind speed that helps capture both strength (how high the winds are) and duration (how long the storm lasts). "Cumulative" means the daily ACE is added up from the start of the season through that day. Dates are labeled along the x-axis. The green line shows 2026 daily ACE through October 11. Thin gray lines are individual years from 1982 to 2025.Eastern North Pacific (140W to North America) daily accumulated cyclone energy (ACE), a metric based on tropical cyclone (TC) wind speed that helps capture both strength (how high the winds are) and duration (how long the storm lasts). "Cumulative" means the daily ACE is added up from the start of the season through that day. Dates are labeled along the x-axis. The green line shows 2026 daily ACE through October 11. Thin gray lines are individual years from 1982 to 2025.

A Flash Flood Warning has been issued for Burke, NC counties | Additional Amounts: 1.5-3 in | Torrential Rain: Occurring | Expires Sunday, 10/11/26 at 6:15 AM. Interactive map: https://greenewx.com/maps/urn_oid_2_49_0_1_840_0_b80c85a543c2bb4b56784a93efdb515cb0afc99c_001_1_bradpwcnc1.html

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Again, I never again want to hear the Republicans claim the mantle of, or be referred to as, the "party of national security." This, as with threatening to invade our NATO allies, should have long ago immediately ended his presidency. It also should again now.

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com · 3d ago

“Zelenskyy could’ve stopped this war many times, and he chose not to … he better damn well stop” — Trump is no longer trying to conceal that he’s fully on Putin’s side

Coastal water levels in SoCal are running ~1.5' above normal because of a record-strength El Niño. Rachel's battering waves on top of these elevated waters are likely to cause significant coastal damage during Sunday morning's high tide, with all-time top-10 water levels at San Diego and L.A.

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Bob Henson@bhensonweather.bsky.social · 2d ago

Among the many potential impacts of #Simon and #Rachel: torrential rains south of Puerto Vallarta, top-10 high tide events for San Diego & L.A., and high winds + flash flood threats across the U.S. Southwest. More from @drjeffmasters.bsky.social and me: yaleclimateconnections.org/2026/10/two-...