Virginia Rocha

@virginiarocha.bsky.social

Assistant Professor at IPOL/UnB. Previously postdoc at FGV and Max Weber Fellow at EUI | Studying elites' consequences to public transparency, electoral competition, affective polarization and SLBs. rochavirginia.com

Interested in democracy? Ever wondered why it varies so markedly within countries? Or simply keen to learn about Brazil? If so, check out our new piece in Studies in Comparative International Development (SCID)! I certainly had a blast working on it with Virginia & Tim! Link to the paper 👇 👇

Virginia Rocha@virginiarocha.bsky.social · 2w ago

So happy to see this piece out! ✍ In this paper, Javier Pérez Sandoval, Timothy Power, and I contribute to a growing body of literature examining within-country variation in political regimes. (1/4)

So happy to see this piece out! ✍ In this paper, Javier Pérez Sandoval, Timothy Power, and I contribute to a growing body of literature examining within-country variation in political regimes. (1/4)

Politics_Oxford@politicsoxford.bsky.social · 2w ago

New research by @javierpsandoval.bsky.social & Timothy J. Power, alongside Virginia Rocha asks what accounts for the striking differences in electoral democracy across Brazil’s 27 states 👇

“Writing is hard.” Thrilled to share that this simple idea led to a new paper in Political Analysis! Where most text methods focus on content, I test if expression is also effortful action. I find simple measures like character counts reveal attitudes and predict voting. cup.org/4cUmoXi 1/

Text as Behavior
Text as Behavior published in Political Analysis

by Omar Wasow

Abstract

Text analysis typically focuses on content—such as sentiment or topic—but expression is also a form of effortful action. Building on this insight, I propose using simple features of open-ended tasks to study text as behavior. This approach treats expression, such as writing, as cognitively, emotionally and temporally “costly” for subjects but inexpensive for researchers. I show basic statistics like the number of characters can approximate effort and significantly improve estimation of quantities of interest, including candidate choice, the probability of turning out to vote and psychological states about which a subject may not be fully aware. Further, these methods can convert nonresponse into informative data; validate survey instruments; serve as mechanism checks; be hard for a subject to “game”; work across different languages and analogize well to real-world situations. In sum, text as behavior can help address a range of issues related to quantifying attitudes and actions.

Needed - larger samples, more realism about (the lack of) heterogeneous treatment effects: -"less than a third of proposed hypotheses were supported... the largest predictor of positive exp. results was sample size" -"moderation hypotheses were rarely significant" academic.oup.com/poq/advance-...

An Audit of Social Science Survey Experiments

Abstract. Survey experiments have become a popular methodology for causal inference across the social sciences. We study the efficacy of survey experiment

academic.oup.com

If you know anyone considering doing a PhD in political science or sociology, encourage them to apply to the EUI PhD program and join the institute's landmark 50th cohort of PhD researchers in the SPS Department! Applications from Central and Eastern Europe are particularly welcome!

European University Institute@eui-eu.bsky.social · 11mo ago

🚨 Applications Now Open for the EUI PhD Programmes 2026-2027! 📊 Economics |⚖️ Law |📘 History | 🏛 Political and Social Sciences Join the EUI's 50th PhD cohort! Apply by 15 January 2026 (14:00 CET) for the academic journey of a lifetime! 👉: eui.eu/phd #EUIPhD #PhDOpportunity

📢 Call for Papers for EPSS 2026 conference in Belfast is out: epssnet.org/belfast-2026... Starting today, we'll feature two sections each week to provide more information about the conference. 🔝 This week: Electoral + Voting Behaviour & Climate Politics ▶️ Electoral + Voting Behaviour 🧵

Call for Papers | EPSS Belfast 2026 Conference

Submit your abstract or full paper for EPSS Belfast 2026. Share cutting‑edge political science research, network with peers & contribute to academic impact.

epssnet.org

Radical-right parties are often linked to the “left-behind”. But supporting them when stigma is strong is costly. So who is willing to pay that cost early on, before it’s normalized? In my new WP, I argue that breaking political norms is socially stratified. 🧵👇

🚨 New working paper: War, Propaganda, and Russian Fatalities in Ukraine @ifomichev.bsky.social and I study how Russian fatalities in the Russia–Ukraine war affect engagement with propaganda on social media in soldiers’ hometowns. Here's what we find 🧵 #workingpaper #ukraine #russia #propaganda

War, Propaganda, and Russian Fatalities in Ukraine

This article examines how military losses shape public engagement with propaganda. We combine data on Russia's military losses in its war against Ukraine with u

tinyurl.com