Isabelle Guinaudeau
@iguinaudeau.bsky.social
Political scientist, CNRS researcher at Sciences Po, CEE - currently at Centre Marc Bloch in Berlin: researching comparative politics, party competition and how elections shape policy
I'm hiring! Three-year postdoc (80%) in my research group at @ipz.bsky.social, starting January 2027. Digital technology and politics, some teaching. Deadline: 30 September 2026. Questions welcome, and please share! www.ipz.uzh.ch/dam/jcr:bbee... (pdf)
How do individuals normatively assess changes to the social order and what does this tell us about electoral realignment? New publication with @dpzollinger.bsky.social and Tabea Palmtag out now in the Journal of European Public Policy 😊 doi.org/10.1080/1350...
Back-to-office surprise: Our piece on ideological divides in citizens’ deservingness perceptions now comes with page numbers! 📃✨ @theresmatthiess.bsky.social @iguinaudeau.bsky.social
European Political Science Review@epsrjournal.bsky.social · last mo.🍋 18.3 Who gets what? 🎁 @elisadeisshelbig.bsky.social, @iguinaudeau.bsky.social & @theresmatthiess.bsky.social question which social groups are viewed as deserving of beneficial policy, using French and German survey data, to find that divides create incentive for competition 🥈 buff.ly/wpDYJE3
🍋 18.3 Who gets what? 🎁 @elisadeisshelbig.bsky.social, @iguinaudeau.bsky.social & @theresmatthiess.bsky.social question which social groups are viewed as deserving of beneficial policy, using French and German survey data, to find that divides create incentive for competition 🥈 buff.ly/wpDYJE3
Who deserves? Ideological gaps in citizens’ deservingness perceptions | European Political Science Review | Cambridge Core
Who deserves? Ideological gaps in citizens’ deservingness perceptions - Volume 18 Issue 3
buff.ly
📰 Le scrutin majoritaire en France a perdu ses principales justifications : dégager une majorité de gouvernement et clarifier les responsabilités. Dans la revue Conférence, @iguinaudeau.bsky.social & @egrossman.bsky.social montrent que la proportionnelle apporterait plus de cohérence démocratique.
La proportionnelle, pour plus de cohérence démocratique
De la démocratie directe et du scrutin proportionnel aux nouvelles formes de délibération citoyenne, des chercheuses et chercheurs explorent pour la revue Conférence n°5, La Ve République sous tens...
conference.sciencespo.fr
It is risky buisness 🎲 @theresmatthiess.bsky.social, @elisadeisshelbig.bsky.social & @iguinaudeau.bsky.social address electoral targeting research gaps using a German pre-registered survey to examine how voters respond to targeted policy
Risky appeals: The electoral consequences of group-targeted campaign pledges | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
Risky appeals: The electoral consequences of group-targeted campaign pledges
buff.ly
#OpenAccess from @ejprjournal.bsky.social - Risky appeals: The electoral consequences of group-targeted campaign pledges - https://cup.org/4fqMG57 - @iguinaudeau.bsky.social, @elisadeisshelbig.bsky.social & @theresmatthiess.bsky.social #FirstView
Risky group appeals? 😱 Our paper on how citizens react to electoral promises targeted at different social groups is published in @ejprjournal.bsky.social With @iguinaudeau.bsky.social & @elisadeisshelbig.bsky.social 🚀 🔓 doi.org/10.1017/S147...
Risk It For The Biscuit
ALT: Risk It For The Biscuit
static.klipy.com
Isabelle Guinaudeau@iguinaudeau.bsky.social · 3mo ago💫 New paper! @elisadeisshelbig.bsky.social, @theresmatthiess.bsky.social & I are happy to see our new paper published in open access with the @ejprjournal.bsky.social Do group-targeted campaign pledges pay off electorally? We test this with a preregistered survey experiment in Germany.
Really interesting study! The impact is probably even more crucial in countries using majoritarian systems such as France.
Werner Krause@krausewe.bsky.social · 3mo agoNew paper out in the @thejop.bsky.social (w/ @christinagahn.bsky.social) Do opinion polls shape election results? Using both cross-national data and a survey experiment, the answer we find is yes - though it depends on how we communicate polling results. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
💫 New paper! @elisadeisshelbig.bsky.social, @theresmatthiess.bsky.social & I are happy to see our new paper published in open access with the @ejprjournal.bsky.social Do group-targeted campaign pledges pay off electorally? We test this with a preregistered survey experiment in Germany.
Very happy to see this article on ideological gaps in citizens’ deservingness perceptions written with @iguinaudeau.bsky.social & @theresmatthiess.bsky.social published first view by the @epsrjournal.bsky.social ✨ 🔗 Read the article here: shorturl.at/XGMk8
Who deserves? Ideological gaps in citizens’ deservingness perceptions | European Political Science Review | Cambridge Core
Who deserves? Ideological gaps in citizens’ deservingness perceptions
cambridge.org
Theres Matthieß @theresmatthiess.bsky.social · 4mo ago🚨 Our article “Who deserves? Ideological gaps in citizens’ deservingness perceptions?” is out in @epsrjournal.bsky.social. Joint work with @elisadeisshelbig.bsky.social and @iguinaudeau.bsky.social from the 🇫🇷🇩🇪 UNEQUALMAND project. 👉🏻 shorturl.at/qoBDU%F0%9F%... 1/3
🚨 Our article “Who deserves? Ideological gaps in citizens’ deservingness perceptions?” is out in @epsrjournal.bsky.social. Joint work with @elisadeisshelbig.bsky.social and @iguinaudeau.bsky.social from the 🇫🇷🇩🇪 UNEQUALMAND project. 👉🏻 shorturl.at/qoBDU%F0%9F%... 1/3
There are only a few days left to apply for the UNEQUALMAND workshop in Paris! If interested, make sure to send me your proposal by 31 May 🤗
Isabelle Guinaudeau@iguinaudeau.bsky.social · 4mo ago📣 Call for papers! Final UNEQUALMAND workshop on social groups, mandate responsiveness & political (in)equality 📍 Sciences Po, Paris 📅 24–25 Sept 2026 🏫 Lodging 🚅 Travel≤€500 📝 Proposals due 31 May Details: lnkd.in/gjXsmb7y With @elisadeisshelbig.bsky.social and @theresmatthiess.bsky.social
Reminder 🤗 A little less than 2 weeks left to apply for our final project workshop in Paris 👇
Isabelle Guinaudeau@iguinaudeau.bsky.social · 4mo ago📣 Call for papers! Final UNEQUALMAND workshop on social groups, mandate responsiveness & political (in)equality 📍 Sciences Po, Paris 📅 24–25 Sept 2026 🏫 Lodging 🚅 Travel≤€500 📝 Proposals due 31 May Details: lnkd.in/gjXsmb7y With @elisadeisshelbig.bsky.social and @theresmatthiess.bsky.social
📣 New paper out in BJPolS 📣
British Journal of Political Science@bjpols.bsky.social · 4mo agoNEW - Who Do Parties Speak To? Introducing the PSoGA: A New Comprehensive Database of Parties’ Social Group Appeals https://cup.org/43fmXFj - @alonadolinsky.com, @lenamariahuber.bsky.social & @rwillh11.bsky.social #FirstView
📣 Call for papers! Final UNEQUALMAND workshop on social groups, mandate responsiveness & political (in)equality 📍 Sciences Po, Paris 📅 24–25 Sept 2026 🏫 Lodging 🚅 Travel≤€500 📝 Proposals due 31 May Details: lnkd.in/gjXsmb7y With @elisadeisshelbig.bsky.social and @theresmatthiess.bsky.social
This link will take you to a page that’s not on LinkedIn
lnkd.in
Pas de majorité stable, et une représentation déformée du vote des Français. Il est temps de corriger le système. C’est le sens de notre initiative transpartisane sur la proportionnelle aux législatives avec @g-gouffiervalente.bsky.social @erwanbalanant.bsky.social & Marie Recalde 🗳️ ⬇️
« Un premier caillou dans un chemin assez long » : à l’Assemblée, une démonstration de force en faveur de la proportionnelle
Après avoir déposé en octobre un texte, resté lettre morte, visant à réformer le mode de scrutin aux législatives, un quatuor de députés org
leparisien.fr
A reminder that applications for this 3-year fully funded PhD position close at the end of next week (May 17). This is a great opportunity to work on climate politics comparative politics in a vibrant environment, with loads of freedom to develop your own project. www.sciencespo.fr/centre-etude...
Call for applications for a 3 years doctoral contract
For the ERC GREENLOSS Project - Application deadline: May 17, 2026
sciencespo.fr
Can France still be governed under its current electoral system? After almost two years of parliamentary fragmentation, the situation remains unsettled: huge frustration, no stable majority and a presidential election already casting its polarising shadow over parliamentary life.
Today! 👇🙂
Isabelle Guinaudeau@iguinaudeau.bsky.social · 5mo agoMany thanks to the @mzesunimannheim.bsky.social for the invitation to present our new experiment with @elisadeisshelbig.bsky.social and @theresmatthiess.bsky.social next Tuesday! I really look forward to the discussion 👀 Please let me know if you are in Mannheim and would like to meet.
Many thanks to the @mzesunimannheim.bsky.social for the invitation to present our new experiment with @elisadeisshelbig.bsky.social and @theresmatthiess.bsky.social next Tuesday! I really look forward to the discussion 👀 Please let me know if you are in Mannheim and would like to meet.
MZES Uni Mannheim@mzesunimannheim.bsky.social · 5mo ago❗️ Tue, May 5, 12:15-13:30 CET 📍 A 231 and ZOOM MZES Speaker Series with @iguinaudeau.bsky.social "Wallets, Redistribution, and Vote Choice: Experimental Evidence from Germany" 👉 www.mzes.uni-mannheim.de/en/news/even... 1/2
For months, Germany has been controversially debating the return of military conscription. But who actually supports it? And more importantly, why? Here are some insights based on a representative survey from last autumn. A thread 🧵 www.bbc.com/news/article...
Chères·chers collègues enseignant·es en français, pour un cours de 1ère année portant sur les systèmes politiques, je suis à la recherche d’un manuel en français. Est-ce que quelqu’un aurait la gentillesse de partager une suggestion ? Merci bcp ! @iguinaudeau.bsky.social @fredericmerand.bsky.social
🚨Job alert 🚨 I have an opening for a postdoc in my team at @ipz.bsky.social in the area of digital democracy starting Sep 1, 2026. If you are working on the impact of the digital transformation on politics, please apply by 🗓️ Mar 1, 2026. 📤 Please share widely! www.ipz.uzh.ch/de/ueber-uns...
Offene Stellen / Open Positions
ipz.uzh.ch
Liebe Survey-Erfahrene in 🇩🇪, @elisadeisshelbig.bsky.social, @theresmatthiess.bsky.social und ich hätten Fragen an Euch 🤓 1) Gibt es Bedenken gegen die Erhebung von PLZ oder Gemeinde, um lokale soz.-ökon. Indikatoren zu mergen? 2) Kennt Ihr gute Datensätze auf PLZ-/Gemeindeebene? 🙏 🙏 🙏
Today in @theguardian.com, I argue that Donald Trump’s foreign-policy playbook is increasingly about attention capture, or what I call geopolitical clickbait. Plus I outline why this matters for Europe & what to do about it. 🧵 www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Trump wants our attention. Let’s stop falling for his geopolitical clickbait | Catherine De Vries
Whether he’s targeting Greenland, tariffs or Iran, Trump’s agenda is to distract – because a Europe that is always reacting is never planning, says political scientist Catherine De Vries
theguardian.com
Over the past couple days I have seen so many accounts that *never* post anything political, speak out against ICE. I sincerely hope Dem leaders don’t let up. This momentum is everything.
Claire Adida@claireadida.bsky.social · 8mo agoA tipping point?
An important point. A study of police in Chicago police between Jan. 2011 and Dec. 2015, “found that more than half of the officers received fewer than one complaint a year. By contrast, the worst 1 percent of officers generated about 25 percent of the complaints.” www.theroot.com/how-to-go-fr...
southpaw@nycsouthpaw.bsky.social · 8mo agoIt’s notable that both of the killers were, with varying degrees of success, spraying irritants in bystanders’ eyes seconds before the shooting.
En France, tenir ses promesses électorales ne rapporte rien Avec @egrossman.bsky.social, on revient pour @france.theconversation.com sur ce résultat contre-intuitif et ce qu’il dit de la représentation & de la responsabilité des gouvernants de la Ve République 👇 theconversation.com/en-france-te...
En France, tenir ses promesses électorales ne rapporte rien
Une analyse des mandats présidentiels entre 1995 et 2022 montre que le respect – ou non – des promesses de campagne n’a aucun impact mesurable sur la popularité des présidents français.
theconversation.com
The @financialtimes.com calls Trump's Board of Peace "a fledgling club of autocrats". A data-based view fully supports that:
Adam Scharpf@ascharpf.bsky.social · 8mo agoThe graph ranks the countries based on their BoP status and their ruling regime. Data: BoP status comes from Wikipedia, data on regimes from @vdeminstitute.bsky.social. Note: Regime data for Vatican City and the EU is not available.
